Ran across some 2003 Predictions - does/could it hold true?

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Mattie
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Ran across some 2003 Predictions - does/could it hold true?

#1 Postby Mattie » Sat Sep 13, 2003 2:22 pm

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=6006

An excerpt:

According to meteorologist Jill F. Hasling and Dr. John C. Freeman of Weather Research Center, the 2003 Atlantic storm season is expected to be busy for the Atlantic Seaboard with a 64% chance of a tropical storm or hurricane making landfall.

. . .


According to the forecast, there is a 36 percent chance of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. coastline in 2003. Major hurricanes are defined as Category 3 or higher with sustained winds of at least 111 mph.
In the forecast for the 2003 Hurricane season, meteorologist Jill F. Hasling expects 3 storms to make landfall somewhere along the U.S. coastline. According to the OCSI model, the East Coast of the United States from Georgia to Maine to has the highest risk of a tropical storm or hurricane strike during the 2003 hurricane season. (emphasis added)

The United States Gulf coast in the area from Texas to the Florida Keys has a 46% chance of a storm making landfall. According to the Orbital Cyclone Strike Index [OCSI] developed at Weather Research Center; there is a 73% chance of a tropical storm or hurricane affecting the Gulf of Mexico oil leases with a higher chance of a storm forming in either the Gulf of Mexico or Bay of Campeche.[/b]
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