ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
That tiny eye only looks to be the start. If conditions remain favorable, that tiny eye could clear out even more and turn into something nasty.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Recon aborting normal flight pattern? Heading back toward center for more real time data?
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
Arthur has recovered nicely since yesterday evening when dry air eroded the NW eyewall. Better start turning soon or the folks inland might get a surprise visit.....MGC
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Re:
TheStormExpert wrote:It's funny how Jim Cantore just mentioned how Hurricane Irene(2011) hit Eastern/Outer Banks of NC as a strong Cat.2 Hurricane, when it was only a 85mph Cat.1? Why must the media always overhype and say these things??
Yea twc likes to do that
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
#Arthur could also be the earliest-known landfalling hurricane in NC. A 1901 hurricane hit on July 11th; Bertha (1996) hit on July 12th.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
sicktght311 wrote:Still here in northern obx in corolla (currituck coubty). No evacuations, stores seem pretty calm, minor gas lines. Seems a lot of People either got out of dodge, or are just sticking with what they've got and riding it out. Thankfully this far north I think barring a large tick west, we should stay out of a lot of he major sustained hurricane force winds, but still no pickle for us. Gonna be a violent evening.
Please keep us posted. Nothing like a direct observation!
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.
I just watch TWC for the live coverage during the storm.
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I hope this starts that anticipated turn soon... It looks to be headed straight toward the NC/SC border.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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well it sure better start turning more or Wilmington area going to see a landfall ...
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I don't even see a hint of gradual curve right now. I see straight NNE. MUCH More north than east.
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:well it sure better start turning more or Wilmington area going to see a landfall ...
12z GFS is showing landfall not to far from Wilmington.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
Agreed. It is going to have to make a very sharp turn at this point if it is to remain offshore.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
12z GFS is running and it is sticking to it's guns with a Beaufort initial landfall in 18hours


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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
sicktght311 wrote:Still here in northern obx in corolla (currituck coubty). No evacuations, stores seem pretty calm, minor gas lines. Seems a lot of People either got out of dodge, or are just sticking with what they've got and riding it out. Thankfully this far north I think barring a large tick west, we should stay out of a lot of he major sustained hurricane force winds, but still no pickle for us. Gonna be a violent evening.
Your lucky not to have to deal with Pamlico. The people in Colington may be surprised though, they get a good fetch off Albemarle Sound.
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Heck….it is going due NORTH. imo
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Re:
HurriGuy wrote:Heck….it is going due NORTH. imo
only a little east of north..
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask

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I believe the sky is falling...
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