ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Kohlecane]

Can someone post a good link for a vis. And an IR thank you

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/

Thank you on a phone so need them on the go

[SunnyThoughts]

[Aric Dunn]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/i ... h-rgb.html

[theworld]

Can someone post a good link for a vis. And an IR thank you

[url]
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_p ... 100pc.html[/url]

[TheAustinMan]

Can someone post a good link for a vis. And an IR thank you

Preferably a loop

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

[capepoint]

more and more wobbling closer to south port and wilmington... not too much longer more


just did a pretty good jog to the NNE

was just watching that too. Getting gusts to well into the 30's at Atlantic Beach NC out of the E to ENE. Very humid and temps in the high 80's as well. That jog to the N may have been the nail in the coffin for it staying offshore. Looks like it would have to hook a sharp right turn to meet forecast points. I wonder if they are getting nervous at NHC yet?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[PTrackerLA]

Looks like more of a NE wobble according to the latest visible and radar loop. Wilmington may be spared the eyewall but it will be hard for Morehead city to miss it IMO.

[Aric Dunn]

more and more wobbling closer to south port and wilmington... not too much longer more


just did a pretty good jog to the NNE

was just watching that too. Getting gusts to well into the 30's at Atlantic Beach NC out of the E to ENE. Very humid and temps in the high 80's as well. That jog to the N may have been the nail in the coffin for it staying offshore. Looks like it would have to hook a sharp right turn to meet forecast points. I wonder if they are getting nervous at NHC yet?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

looking at a couple local report.. already 40mph sustained gusting to 57mph at southport

[supercane4867]

Satellite presentation approaching major hurricane standard. Raw T# now at 5.5/102kt

[Aric Dunn]

looks like its going to go between the forecast point and wilmington..

[Rail Dawg]

Why not play it safe and expand the warning area a bit?

I don't like too much confidence. We are after all... human.

[WilmingtonSandbar]

If this motion continues.. the heavy outer eywall convection will be rotating into .. south point, carolina beach then wilmington over the next couple hour..

Haha Aric, it's Southport, not South Point. I have been saying it for the last 2 days.

BTW Wind and rain have really picked up quite significantly over the past 30 minutes.

[artist]

Duke energy is reporting outages in the following areas, and time stamp following is the expected restoration...
*New Hanover: roughly 2,600 customers affected (6:30pm)
*Pender: 70 customers affected (5:15pm)
*Bladen: roughly 1,300 customers affected (4:45pm)
from wect

[Aric Dunn]

If this motion continues.. the heavy outer eywall convection will be rotating into .. south point, carolina beach then wilmington over the next couple hour..

Haha Aric, it's Southport, not South Point. I have been saying it for the last 2 days.

BTW Wind and rain have really picked up quite significantly over the past 30 minutes.

lol funny did not even catch it..

[wxman57]

Looks like more of a NE wobble according to the latest visible and radar loop. Wilmington may be spared the eyewall but it will be hard for Morehead city to miss it IMO.

That NE motion may be an optical illusion as the northern part of the eye is becoming obsured by heavy squalls north of the center. Won't miss Wilmington by much.

[artist]

via wect, -We had a little wind in Garner

[Okibeach]

more and more wobbling closer to south port and wilmington... not too much longer more


just did a pretty good jog to the NNE

was just watching that too. Getting gusts to well into the 30's at Atlantic Beach NC out of the E to ENE. Very humid and temps in the high 80's as well. That jog to the N may have been the nail in the coffin for it staying offshore. Looks like it would have to hook a sharp right turn to meet forecast points. I wonder if they are getting nervous at NHC yet?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

looking at a couple local report.. already 40mph sustained gusting to 57mph at southport

Yeah, been sustained wind for about 45 minutes now. Frequent gusts shaking the house a bit (on pilings) I am right on the IC waterway and the water is still at High tide level which occurred several hours ago.

[Time_Zone]

What time will recon be in there investigating Arthur? estimates?

[ravyrn]

Duke energy is reporting outages in the following areas, and time stamp following is the expected restoration...
*New Hanover: roughly 2,600 customers affected (6:30pm)
*Pender: 70 customers affected (5:15pm)
*Bladen: roughly 1,300 customers affected (4:45pm)
from wect

[Hurricane_Luis]

Plane has arrived on the outer edges off the hurricane. Heres the latest obs.