ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[HurriGuy]

Morehead City next 2 hours look awful.

[ravyrn]

000
URNT12 KNHC 040204 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL012014
A. 04/01:42:10Z
B. 34 deg 21 min N
076 deg 57 min W
C. 700 mb 2886 m
D. 61 kt
E. 058 deg 20 nm
F. 154 deg 76 kt
G. 060 deg 24 nm
H. 977 mb
I. 8 C / 3051 m
J. 13 C / 3047 m
K. -12 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C20
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF304 1401A ARTHUR OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 76 KT 060 / 24 NM 01:35:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 265/09 KT

Up one millibar.

[JtSmarts]

Here's more video of Arthur.... at least until the power went out....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_V6Lx ... e=youtu.be

Thanks for sharing, not much of a video due to the power outage and night time! Why do all the big storms like to make landfall during the night time? My two big experiences (Rita, Ike) occurred at night also. I guess the hurricanes don't want us to get good footage illustrating how destructive and dangerous they are!

It's amazing, most of the big hurricanes that I remember since 2004 made landfall at night I believe the exceptions were Gustav/Katrina which both hit early in the morning and I believe Sandy was an late afternoon/early evening storm.

[ozonepete]

Looks like it is about to weaken from a big slug of dry air wrapping in from the west. You can see the western side of the eye-wall is weakening on radar. But also looks like the actual effects of the weakening (lower winds) won't start happening until just after it gets to Beaufort.

hard to say earlier it eroded completely away then 30 min came back and was stronger lol

At some point over the next few hours after it passes the NC coast that as it starts interacting with the trough more it may get a little stronger before becoming extratropical, IMO.

Oh yeah I wouldn't count this out getting to near cat 3 after it gets away from Hatteras and before it speeds up too much. After all for close to 24 hours it will lose the land interaction and still be over the warm Gulf stream with possibly less dry air and still low shear. It has had such a good tight circulation all along and they are tougher to break down.

[HurriGuy]

Here's more video of Arthur.... at least until the power went out....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_V6Lx ... e=youtu.be

Thanks for sharing, not much of a video due to the power outage and night time! Why do all the big storms like to make landfall during the night time? My two big experiences (Rita, Ike) occurred at night also. I guess the hurricanes don't want us to get good footage illustrating how destructive and dangerous they are!

Stay safe and take care, seahawkjd!

I remember all of us sleeping in the living room during Rita cause all we could hear was trees snapping and each one of our rooms was in line of a massive pine tree. Intense night.

[seahawkjd]

Here's more video of Arthur.... at least until the power went out....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_V6Lx ... e=youtu.be

Thanks for sharing, not much of a video due to the power outage and night time! Why do all the big storms like to make landfall during the night time? My two big experiences (Rita, Ike) occurred at night also. I guess the hurricanes don't want us to get good footage illustrating how destructive and dangerous they are!

Stay safe and take care, seahawkjd!

Yeah I'm trying to get the one light source I have but the power grid isn't cooperating lol. Really getting dodgy outside.

[seahawkjd]

Here's more video of Arthur.... at least until the power went out....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_V6Lx ... e=youtu.be

Thanks for sharing, not much of a video due to the power outage and night time! Why do all the big storms like to make landfall during the night time? My two big experiences (Rita, Ike) occurred at night also. I guess the hurricanes don't want us to get good footage illustrating how destructive and dangerous they are!

Stay safe and take care, seahawkjd!

I remember all of us sleeping in the living room during Rita cause all we could hear was trees snapping and each one of our rooms was in line of a massive pine tree. Intense night.

I remember laying on the floor of my parents room during Floyd and listening to branches snapping and hitting the roof. That was a scary night.

[ravyrn]

Oh yeah I wouldn't count this out getting to near cat 3 after it gets away from Hatteras and before it speeds up too much. After all for close to 24 hours it will lose the land interaction and still be over the warm Gulf stream with possibly less dry air and still low shear. It has had such a good tight circulation all along and they are tougher to break down.

Do you expect that the dry air it just swallowed will weaken it any? Or just hinder intensification? It seems to be the most significant amount of dry air to have been pulled into Arthur today.

[Aric Dunn]

on the phone with "CANEFREAK" he chased it down to beaufort.. says its getting bad..

[ravyrn]

on the phone with "CANEFREAK" he chased it down to beaufort.. says its getting bad..

Does he have a live stream by chance?

[JonathanBelles]

Something is trapped in the eye of Arthur based on CC/ZDR readings on radar. High ZDR (flat horizontal objects) and low CC (not rain). My guess: birds. Any opinions mets?

[HurriGuy]

TWC (not sure how reliable) saying Cape Lookout at 71 mph sustained. Was at 52 mph when they showed last.

[Aric Dunn]

on the phone with "CANEFREAK" he chased it down to beaufort.. says its getting bad..

Does he have a live stream by chance?

no unfortunately...

[Aric Dunn]

cman station in beaufort.. sustained at 71 mph/

[HurriGuy]

Station still reading 52 mph though. Maybe it hasn't updated yet.

[seahawkjd]

cman station in beaufort.. sustained at 71 mph/

I was just outside briefly (in a sheltered area away from possible missiles) and a gust almost knocked me over. I'd say that its pretty accurate.

[ncbird]

Feeling lucky so far. All I've lost so far is my cucumber fence and some small/med tree branches.

[artist]

stay safe, all in the path.

[HurriGuy]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=clkn7

JUST UPDATED

SUSTAINED 70+ MPH WINDS AT CAPE LOOKOUT. GUSTING TO 84

[cpdaman]

cman station in beaufort.. sustained at 71 mph/

radar says Beaufort is about to /gettin blasted