Texas Summer - 2014

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Hoping the SE Tx crew can get a true winter event this year instead of the teasing we had last year

I would call an inch of freezing rain with trees and power lines falling across the W /NW/N and NE Harris County in early last March a tease, but that's just me...

Not in Sugar Land though

[Ntxw]

Hey hey guys no worries! Next winter Portastorm the head met at PWC will give you all the snow, ice, and cold you want! 1895, 1924, 1985, 2009, you name it you got it! But that is for another thread.

[Tireman4]

IT IS SO NICE OUTSIDE!!!!!

And you gotta rub it in. Gee whiz sir.

Well, you got rain so....

Actually no, not today in Humble. It rained briefly yesterday.

[dhweather]

I really hope you are right NTXW, we desperately need the rain. I just have a feeling things will set up oriented from roughly Durant OK to Texarkana to Vicksburg.

[Ntxw]

I really hope you are right NTXW, we desperately need the rain. I just have a feeling things will set up oriented from roughly Durant OK to Texarkana to Vicksburg.

I hope I am right too. We want the rain to fall in the northern row of counties just above urban areas of the metroplex. The map somethingfunny posted (courtesy NWS) shows that drainage in this region benefits the big lakes. What we don't want is for them to shift further south, then it all drains away to SE Texas. Of course a little for our lawns won't hurt!

[dhweather]

I really hope you are right NTXW, we desperately need the rain. I just have a feeling things will set up oriented from roughly Durant OK to Texarkana to Vicksburg.

I hope I am right too. We want the rain to fall in the northern row of counties just above urban areas of the metroplex. The map somethingfunny posted (courtesy NWS) shows that drainage in this region benefits the big lakes. What we don't want is for them to shift further south, then it all drains away to SE Texas. Of course a little for our lawns won't hurt!

Very true - we need it to set up just south of the Red River, along Wise - Denton - Collin - Hunt counties getting the 4+inches of rain - that would be very helpful for the major lakes.

[TheProfessor]

I really do hope that the rain falls on those counties, if we can get 2.5-3 inches here, this system will be a win

[ravyrn]

Wow, didn't realize Austin Bergstrom tied or broke record lows 4 days in a row July 9-12th!

[dhweather]

What a beautiful morning! Upper 60's feel so great after the 100 temps a couple of days ago.

Looks like a Flash Flood Watch is coming Thursday-Friday. I wish the southern most edge of that was another row or two of counties to the south. I'm still concerned that the heavy rain will line up further north. I really hope ntxw is right on this one.

[Ntxw]

The GEFS ensembles have shifted further south with their bullseye to the area between I-20 and the Red River, consequently so has the OP. I definitely agree on the flash flood watches and would even shift them south a couple more rows of counties. The initial MCS will look impressive in Oklahoma but an area in NW Texas will take over and be the main player. Timing has slowed down and this region is where the front will likely stall once it lifts back north with several rounds of MCS/storm complexes. Storms loves to train along these things.

[Ralph's Weather]

I mowed my yard this morning and had chills, temp around 60 here outside of Lindale. Hoping for 2+ inches of rain by Friday.

[vbhoutex]

I mowed my yard this morning and had chills, temp around 60 here outside of Lindale. Hoping for 2+ inches of rain by Friday.

Must be nice to be on the "other" side of the front!! 83f here in Houston. At least there are a few showers around, but I don't see any trend towards whole areal coverage.

[Tireman4]

I mowed my yard this morning and had chills, temp around 60 here outside of Lindale. Hoping for 2+ inches of rain by Friday.

Must be nice to be on the "other" side of the front!! 83f here in Houston. At least there are a few showers around, but I don't see any trend towards whole areal coverage.

It was a purely disgusting run of 5 miles this morning. Yeah, I agree with vbhoutex, must be nice. I am sure today's 7 miler will be just lovely. Ughgh. I hate Summer.

[South Texas Storms]

Hopefully the north Texas MCS later this week will send out a southward moving outflow boundary that will fire additional convection across south/central Texas. It would be awesome if much of the Hill Country (including Austin and SA) could get some widespread heavy rainfall from this system.

[weatherdude1108]

Hopefully the north Texas MCS later this week will send out a southward moving outflow boundary that will fire additional convection across south/central Texas. It would be awesome if much of the Hill Country (including Austin and SA) could get some widespread heavy rainfall from this system.

I wholeheartedly agree!

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

The GEFS ensembles have shifted further south with their bullseye to the area between I-20 and the Red River, consequently so has the OP. I definitely agree on the flash flood watches and would even shift them south a couple more rows of counties. The initial MCS will look impressive in Oklahoma but an area in NW Texas will take over and be the main player. Timing has slowed down and this region is where the front will likely stall once it lifts back north with several rounds of MCS/storm complexes. Storms loves to train along these things.

Oh, please verify! I don't want widespread flood damage or injury, but our North Texas lakes need this SO BADLY!

[AggieSpirit]

That bullseye for the heavy rain is right over Lake Fork (which is still down 3.5 feet)! My family has not been able to launch the boat from the boat dock for almost 2 years.

A foot of rain would be great. But will take 4-5 inches certainly.

[aggiecutter]

The latest from the WPC still has the heaviest rainfall totals centered over the Red River Valley. They have been remarkably consistent with this scenario for the past 5 days:

[TheProfessor]

Well they could be right ( I'm hoping further south into Denton and Tarrant counties) but there have been many times where they would show my area getting 4-5+ inches of rain, only to under perform by 2-3 inches and the bullseye was somewhere else. I take them for a grain of salt now.

[aggiecutter]

LarryCosgrove ‏@LarryCosgrove 12m
Looming severe weather, flooding rain threat N TX including Dallas, Tyler, and Texarkana Thursday into Saturday