There will be scattered showers and t-storms across north Texas this evening, and then a large cluster of storms will approach from the northwest by morning. The latest data take the core of the storm cluster and push it across Oklahoma and the Red River Counties during the predawn hours continuing into the late morning. This is about 50 miles farther north than yesterday's data suggest it would be.
But this is probably a moot point. The Thursday morning rain is not the main event. We will have another afternoon of scattered showers and storms on Thursday, and then a squall line will form to the west and sweep across most of north Texas Thursday night and lingering into Friday morning. This will be the main rain event and possibly bring severe weather with downburst winds possible. Highest threat for severe weather will be in the western half of north Texas Thursday afternoon and night. Heaviest rainfall amounts will be across the north and northeast sections of north Texas.
We are finally almost within 24 hours of the main event ! So stay tuned...
We're in Telluride, CO this week and will miss the rain. But we'll miss the 70s for highs and low humidity after we leave here.
This area is upstream of Lakes Travis and Buchanan. We will see what happens overnight. They need the water. 
