there is still some uncertainty on the current strength
of the subtropical ridge to the north of Isabel...so it is prudent
to wait until all of the NOAA Gulfstream-IV dropsonde data make it
into the14/00z models. The official forecast track is just an
update of the previous track through 96 hours...with a little more
northward acceleration indicated at 120 hours as a course of least
regret. Note -- none of the NHC model guidance has Isabel over land
by 120 hours.
Does the 14/00z mean tommorow nights models????
Gulfstream data???
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