ATL: BERTHA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Gustywind
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#1301 Postby Gustywind » Mon Aug 04, 2014 6:42 pm

Little of topic my friends, for those who are interrested... here is a recap from our daily newspaper called France-Antilles concerning Bertha's" trip" :P in Guadeloupe... especially calm or enough :) only for the sea as some waves have reached 6 meters.

Regards
Gustywind :)

:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 280423.php

WEATHER

Back to green provided at the end of day

Saturday, August 2, 2014 - 12 h 32

The storm tropical Bertha moves away from Guadeloupe. But caution is still required, since heavy downpours are still scheduled during the day.

This Saturday morning, around 10:30, Tropical Storm Bertha continued to move away from Guadeloupe and Northern Islands. The phenomenon was heading Northwest in the direction of Puerto Rico. In fact, weather France provided for a lifting of the level of yellow vigilance and a return to the green at the end of the day, around 17 hours. In the meantime, caution remains. Heavy downpours accompanied by thunderstorms are still planned for the day.
During the night, gusts of wind of 92 km/h were observed at La Désirade, thus rainfaill reached between 100 and 150 mm on the relief of Basse-Terre. At sea, waves of 6 meters were observed. Datas that correspond to a tropical storm of average importance, analyzed weather France Raizet station.
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#1302 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 6:59 pm

That trough looks quite strong. Makes me thing Bertha will be completely absorbed by it.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Hammy
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Re: ATL: BERTHA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1303 Postby Hammy » Mon Aug 04, 2014 7:01 pm

234700 3015N 07313W 6977 03174 0044 +123 +111 208042 044 055 003 00
234730 3017N 07315W 6976 03173 0027 +137 +090 209033 036 053 003 00
234800 3018N 07317W 6976 03173 0013 +148 +090 229019 023 051 001 00


are these unflagged?
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Re: ATL: BERTHA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1304 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Mon Aug 04, 2014 7:13 pm

Hammy wrote:
234700 3015N 07313W 6977 03174 0044 +123 +111 208042 044 055 003 00
234730 3017N 07315W 6976 03173 0027 +137 +090 209033 036 053 003 00
234800 3018N 07317W 6976 03173 0013 +148 +090 229019 023 051 001 00


are these unflagged?


Image

Yes, later in the ob some were flagged.
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#1305 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Mon Aug 04, 2014 7:17 pm

A sonde about 9 minutes earlier recorded the wind (very brief gust) just before it hit the water as being 52mph.

The SFMR instrument on the plane at the time estimated the 10 second wind to be 51 to 52 mph.
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#1306 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 7:27 pm

AL, 03, 2014080500, , BEST, 0, 305N, 734W, 65, 1001, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 0, 1014, 120, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, BERTHA, M,
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Re:

#1307 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 04, 2014 7:32 pm

TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:AL, 03, 2014080500, , BEST, 0, 305N, 734W, 65, 1001, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 0, 1014, 120, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, BERTHA, M,


I can't believe ATCF kept it as hurricane.
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#1308 Postby Hammy » Mon Aug 04, 2014 7:39 pm

I personally would've went with the 65mph, given the last readings, nothing I've seen at least supports higher than that.
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Re: ATL: BERTHA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1309 Postby HurricaneBill » Mon Aug 04, 2014 8:09 pm

The last time both the A and B storms became hurricanes was 1992 (Andrew and Bonnie).
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#1310 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Aug 04, 2014 8:48 pm

Latest post: http://jonathanbelles.com/2014/08/04/be ... king-west/
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psyclone
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#1311 Postby psyclone » Mon Aug 04, 2014 9:47 pm

My goodness this system is ghastly and has been its entire life. looks soooo 2013
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#1312 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 04, 2014 10:02 pm

Given those SFMR, it is probably about 55-60 kt right now, but earlier flights supported hurricane intensity and new convection popped up in that spot, hence the NHC holding the intensity.
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#1313 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:00 pm

This system looks awful but its definitely a fighter
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Equilibrium

#1314 Postby Equilibrium » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:07 pm

Image

Image

Image
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Re:

#1315 Postby Hammy » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:11 pm

psyclone wrote:My goodness this system is ghastly and has been its entire life. looks soooo 2013


I wouldn't quite say that, last year's storms failed to even maintain convection properly most of the time, and this has managed to strengthen as well whereas last year's didn't for the most part.

As an aside, this peaked only 10kts lower than the strongest storm in the entirety of 2013.
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Re:

#1316 Postby Annie Oakley » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:30 pm



Well written Mr. Belles......
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#1317 Postby bahamaswx » Mon Aug 04, 2014 11:36 pm

Well, at least Arthur was a pretty storm.
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Equilibrium

#1318 Postby Equilibrium » Tue Aug 05, 2014 12:20 am

This storm reached hurricane status in conditions that have been described as the most hostile ever seen in the basin for a system to develop so its been quite a achievement for Bertha. If conditions do become just a little more favourable who knows just what could spin up in the near future. :)
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Cyclenall
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That's the one and only!

#1319 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Aug 05, 2014 2:14 am

Image

Beautiful Hurricane Bertha :D .
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#1320 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Aug 05, 2014 2:48 am

And I thought Ingrid was bad. :lol:
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