Texas Summer - 2014

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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#581 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Aug 11, 2014 1:04 pm

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are currently developing across central Texas. These storms could affect College Station, Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and surrounding areas this afternoon.

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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#582 Postby aggiecutter » Mon Aug 11, 2014 1:17 pm

For those concerned about the upcoming winter, JB discusses it on the WSJ site. It's a freebie. To paraphrase, he said the south and southeast would be well above normal for snowfall this winter. The only exception will be the Austin area. Where it will be warm and dry.

http://live.wsj.com/video/this-year-win ... D7CFEDBE4E
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#583 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Aug 11, 2014 1:28 pm

aggiecutter wrote:For those concerned about the upcoming winter, JB discusses it on the WSJ site. It's a freebie. To paraphrase, he said the south and southeast would be well above normal for snowfall this winter. The only exception will be the Austin area. Where it will be warm and dry.

http://live.wsj.com/video/this-year-win ... D7CFEDBE4E


The Portastorm Hole Effect huh?
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#584 Postby Portastorm » Mon Aug 11, 2014 2:29 pm

aggiecutter wrote:For those concerned about the upcoming winter, JB discusses it on the WSJ site. It's a freebie. To paraphrase, he said the south and southeast would be well above normal for snowfall this winter. The only exception will be the Austin area. Where it will be warm and dry.

http://live.wsj.com/video/this-year-win ... D7CFEDBE4E


I will put a copy of this on the Texas Winter thread as well.
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Re: Re:

#585 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 11, 2014 6:40 pm

texas1836 wrote:
Ntxw wrote::uarrow: Actually this is not entirely true. Guidance (ECMWF and GFS) are showing below normal temperatures next week as a cold front will swing on through. Core of the anomalies this time will be to the east but NW flow aloft will usher in lower 90s, which for August is manageable. Warms up again next weekend before large scale changes aloft occurs again. Rain doesn't look to good at this time.

For the next couple of days I'm showing lower 90's during the day and upper 60's in the mornings for McKinney. What do you mean by large scale change? Similar to what's coming or with a little more punch?


Nothing too drastically in the immediate future but these ridges are losing their power even out west. Annual seasonal changes are beginning to occur into the far north and we are already approaching mid August. With ridging weakening eventually in due time stronger fronts will begin marching further and further south.
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Re: Re:

#586 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Aug 11, 2014 6:55 pm

Ntxw wrote:
texas1836 wrote:
Ntxw wrote::uarrow: Actually this is not entirely true. Guidance (ECMWF and GFS) are showing below normal temperatures next week as a cold front will swing on through. Core of the anomalies this time will be to the east but NW flow aloft will usher in lower 90s, which for August is manageable. Warms up again next weekend before large scale changes aloft occurs again. Rain doesn't look to good at this time.

For the next couple of days I'm showing lower 90's during the day and upper 60's in the mornings for McKinney. What do you mean by large scale change? Similar to what's coming or with a little more punch?


Nothing too drastically in the immediate future but these ridges are losing their power even out west. Annual seasonal changes are beginning to occur into the far north and we are already approaching mid August. With ridging weakening eventually in due time stronger fronts will begin marching further and further south.



Yeah, these ridges are not iron clad strong like usual.
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#587 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Aug 11, 2014 7:20 pm

Seve thunderstorm warning in Ft Bend. Skies just opened up. Lets see how much we get.
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#588 Postby TheProfessor » Mon Aug 11, 2014 7:46 pm

:uarrow: If this winter turns out to be like 2009-2010 it will definitely be a win. :D
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#589 Postby ravyrn » Tue Aug 12, 2014 4:00 am

aggiecutter wrote:For those concerned about the upcoming winter, JB discusses it on the WSJ site. It's a freebie. To paraphrase, he said the south and southeast would be well above normal for snowfall this winter. The only exception will be the Austin area. Where it will be warm and dry.

http://live.wsj.com/video/this-year-win ... D7CFEDBE4E


Not so fast, Aggiecutter!
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#590 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Aug 12, 2014 2:16 pm

aggiecutter wrote:The only exception will be the Austin area. Where it will be warm and dry.


:na: I'll use my powers to dissolve any ridge over Austin to bring lots of rain with just a little snow for those who like like it...but not too much snow :multi:
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#591 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Aug 12, 2014 2:23 pm

Big rain event here in Grayson County on Saturday night - big storms, lots of heavy rain, plenty of lightning. Everything is so lush and green up here right now.

I have also noticed lots of clouds - in the middle of the day - over the past week or two, something we couldn't buy for anything just a year ago.

And now, a stiff northerly breeze and a temp of 85 degrees in the middle of the afternoon on Aug. 12.

If this is summer in Texas, I like it! :D
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#592 Postby Ntxw » Tue Aug 12, 2014 4:48 pm

Lows tonight will be in the 60s for most of north Texas, low to mid cities outside the immediate urban areas.

We are currently (and have been for about week) within a +EPO/+WPO regime, with resulting seasonal heat. Towards the end of this month we are heading back towards their negative phases. While the results aren't as dramatic as winter we are creeping towards that time of year where they begin to signal changes.

La La land but Euro has been hinting at it for awhile to follow those indices. Likely a good front with ridge over the east meaning return moist flow.

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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#593 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Aug 12, 2014 9:59 pm

Nice storm popped up right over my house on the NW side of San Antonio this evening dropping just under an inch of rain :D
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#594 Postby JDawg512 » Wed Aug 13, 2014 2:05 am

South Texas Storms wrote:Nice storm popped up right over my house on the NW side of San Antonio this evening dropping just under an inch of rain :D


Your in SA? Your location shows Austin so I take it you work in Austin currently?
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#595 Postby Portastorm » Wed Aug 13, 2014 10:02 am

Do we ever need rain ... and soon. Edwards Aquifer officials have taken the most severe measures yet going to Stage 4 this week. Even if a weak Nino verifies this fall, hopefully it means above average rainfall for much of our state.

http://austin.twcnews.com/content/news/303950/edwards-aquifer-authority-declares-stage-4-water-restrictions/
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#596 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Aug 13, 2014 10:14 am

JDawg512 wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Nice storm popped up right over my house on the NW side of San Antonio this evening dropping just under an inch of rain :D


Your in SA? Your location shows Austin so I take it you work in Austin currently?


Yeah I just started working in Austin a few months ago, but I'm from San Antonio.
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#597 Postby texas1836 » Wed Aug 13, 2014 10:21 am

I read today there's a 75% chance of a good and wet El Nino through the Winter. I keep reading and hearing about El Nino but what I haven't read or heard is when it starts??? Summer would be a great time for loads of rain.
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#598 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Wed Aug 13, 2014 2:05 pm

Portastorm wrote:Do we ever need rain ... and soon. Edwards Aquifer officials have taken the most severe measures yet going to Stage 4 this week. Even if a weak Nino verifies this fall, hopefully it means above average rainfall for much of our state.

http://austin.twcnews.com/content/news/303950/edwards-aquifer-authority-declares-stage-4-water-restrictions/

What's strange is it seems like we've had some decent rains this summer, all across Texas. Maybe it's been so dry that any rain seems like a lot. I do know that today in DFW it is quite pleasant for a clear, mid-August afternoon. I even sat outside for lunch.
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#599 Postby weatherdude1108 » Wed Aug 13, 2014 4:03 pm

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Do we ever need rain ... and soon. Edwards Aquifer officials have taken the most severe measures yet going to Stage 4 this week. Even if a weak Nino verifies this fall, hopefully it means above average rainfall for much of our state.

http://austin.twcnews.com/content/news/303950/edwards-aquifer-authority-declares-stage-4-water-restrictions/

What's strange is it seems like we've had some decent rains this summer, all across Texas. Maybe it's been so dry that any rain seems like a lot. I do know that today in DFW it is quite pleasant for a clear, mid-August afternoon. I even sat outside for lunch.


It has been wetter. The problem is that it rains, then it doesn't for two weeks to a month. What rain we get gets absorbed. Then it dries out until next rain. Nothing substantial runs off, and in our case, doesn't fall in the right places (often enough) to prime the "hydrologic pump." This has been going on here in central Texas the past several years. It is a cyclic "rut" that we can't seem to get out of. :roll: :(
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Re: Texas Summer - 2014

#600 Postby JDawg512 » Wed Aug 13, 2014 6:32 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
JDawg512 wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Nice storm popped up right over my house on the NW side of San Antonio this evening dropping just under an inch of rain :D


Your in SA? Your location shows Austin so I take it you work in Austin currently?


Yeah I just started working in Austin a few months ago, but I'm from San Antonio.



That's cool. Welcome.


It was hit or miss with the rains we saw on Monday. Only got light rain over my house but it rained more in areas of the northside and west of my area.

Did you get a Nice downpour Porta? I was on 290/71 and the 360 split on my way up to Northridge Campus, (for the final time! I'm finished with school and will be graduating with a degree in 2D Animation & Visual Effects woohoo!!!), and saw several cloud to ground lightning strikes out towards Oak Hill and Southwest Austin.
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