Area directly south of Louisiana

[CFLHurricane]

Our friends at GCWX have noticed what appears to be a little spin in gulf directly south of Louisiana, and I think I see it, too.

Does anyone else see it, too?

[tropicwatch]

There doesn't appear to be anything depicted at the surface right now.

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wi ... ,21.45,940

[Nimbus]

Looks like the tail of a front extending back almost to Texas? Usually home brew systems in the gulf form right at the far western end of a trough.

[Sanibel]

It is deep enough and at the right time of the year to be watched.


I see a hint of curling too. Usually when the hurricane belt is negative this area surprises with a home brew.

[northjaxpro]

Mid to upper level trough is being analyzed across the western GOM by NHC.

TWD excerpt 8 a.m.

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF
FOCUSED NEAR 25N94W EXTENDING S-SW TO A BASE OVER EAST-CENTRAL
MEXICO NEAR 19N98W. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTHEASTWARD
ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF 25N92W AND 29N92W THIS
MORNING.

[Sanibel]

Too weak. Eaten alive by prevailing negativity again.


The 94L remnants reconvected into a weak open wave in the east Caribbean.

[Nimbus]

I lost my low/mid level moisture map but I think there is a little more low level moisture west of 50 into the Caribbean.

There is a large cyclonic circulation over much of the BOC and western gulf extending onshore over Mexico. Development should be slow but the environment is a lot more moist in the Gulf.

[northjaxpro]

Upper Level Low analyzed by NHC

TWD excerpt 8 p.m.

SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF LOUISIANA FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN
90W-93W. EVENING AIRMASS CONVECTION IS OVER S FLORIDA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
OVER THE W GULF NEAR 25N96W.