ATL: CRISTOBAL - Recon Discussion

[Hurricaneman]

what do you think they'll find tomoorrow

[Hurricane Andrew]

On Thursday?

IF they follow through with it, which I think they will, probably an organizing and or strengthening system.

EDIT: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Hurricaneman]

On Thursday?

IF they follow through with it, which I think they will, probably an organizing and or strengthening system.

EDIT: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

yes, I screwed up thinking it was tomorrow

[cycloneye]

The TCPOD for Wednesday is up with two missions with the first on Thursday afternoon

Code: Select all

REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1145 AM EDT WED 20 AUGUST 2014
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
         VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z AUGUST 2014
         TCPOD NUMBER.....14-081

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING LESSER ANTILLES)
       FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 75
       A. 21/1730Z
       B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
       C. 21/1515Z
       D. 15.0N 57.5W
       E. 21/1715Z TO 21/2200Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

       FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 76
       A. 22/0530Z, 1130Z
       B. AFXXX 0204A CYCLONE
       C. 22/0415Z
       D. 16.5N 61.5W
       E. 22/0515Z TO 22/1130Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES
       IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.


[Hurricane Andrew]

I think as we all follow the recon tomorrow, we should keep our recon buddy Dave in our thoughts. I will miss tracking the flights with him.

Feel better soon Dave!

[cycloneye]

panamatropicwatch,you want to take over the posting? I have to go soon.

[tropicwatch]

I can do that!

[tropicwatch]

Need somebody else to do graphics

[northjaxpro]

Looks right now the Recon hunters are checking out the area where the partially exposed LLC on visible imagery is estimated to be at this time.

[tropicwatch]

Need someone to take over observations for awhile

[cycloneye]

I can go.

[tropicwatch]

Thanks!

[tropicwatch]

000
NOUS42 KNHC 211430
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 21 AUGUST 2014
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z AUGUST 2014
TCPOD NUMBER.....14-082

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 77
A. 22/1730Z, 2330Z
B. AFXXX 0304A CYCLONE
C. 22/1630Z
D. 19.5N 66.5W
E. 22/1715Z TO 22/2330Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 75
A. 23/0530Z, 1130Z
B. AFXXX 0404A CYCLONE
C. 23/0400Z
D. 21.0N 70.0W
E. 23/0515Z TO 23/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES
IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.

$$
WJM

[somethingfunny]

No upper-air recon until Sunday at the earliest???

[cycloneye]

No upper-air recon until Sunday at the earliest???

They see the system slowing down near the Bahamas and that will allow time.

[somethingfunny]

Well it's a good thing the computer models are coming into agreement today. If we still had diverging model solutions on Sunday until the upper air recon sorted things out, that'd be a real mess around here.

[cycloneye]

I can't post the data at this time so who wants to do it?

[tropicwatch]

I'll do it for awhile

[tropicwatch]

Can I get someone to take over on observations?

[cycloneye]

I can continue.