ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

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Jevo
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#501 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:50 am

12z GFS +72

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#502 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:54 am

So far the 12z is a little west of the last two GFS runs... though it is weaker this run also
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#503 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:56 am

12Z GFS +72

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#504 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:57 am

:uarrow: Definitely weaker. The 72 hour run hangs on to a weak reflection left of 96L after it moves away from Hispaniola.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#505 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:58 am

GFS looks meh...Surprised Recon is flying out...I guess they might as well use the mula they have.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#506 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:01 am

12Z GFS +90

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#507 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:03 am

12z GFS +96

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#508 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:05 am

12Z GFS has really stalled it just east of the Bahamas and maybe a bit of a west movement after hour 96?
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Re:

#509 Postby hurrtracker79 » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:06 am

gatorcane wrote:12Z GFS has really stalled it in the Bahamas and maybe a bit of a west movement after hour 96?

IF a Bahama stall verifies as the GFS shows, there could be some big flood problems there. Not a forecast, just my opinion.
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Re:

#510 Postby Javlin » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:06 am

gatorcane wrote:12Z GFS has really stalled it just east of the Bahamas and maybe a bit of a west movement after hour 96?


114hr show ridge building in it looks like and W movement
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Re:

#511 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:07 am

gatorcane wrote:12Z GFS has really stalled it just east of the Bahamas and maybe a bit of a west movement after hour 96?


Yeah, I noticed that too gatorcane. That w0uld happen if the trough lifts out and ridging slowly buiilt back in.
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#512 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:08 am

By hour 120 starting to move more NNE and feeling the weakness...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#513 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:11 am

Through 140 hours it looks like sit and spin.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#514 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:11 am

12Z GFS +126

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#515 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:11 am

12z GFS +120

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#516 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:12 am

tolakram wrote:Through 140 hours it looks like sit and spin.

http://imageshack.com/a/img633/4198/V74ipQ.gif


Wow not moving much at all...certainly a ridge is trying to build in but it might just barely escape this run. That stall in the Bahamas is a bit concerning and will need to watch this in future runs. Still about 4-5 days out and things might change.
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#517 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:16 am

Look at the ridge sliding east over the Eastern United States at 144 hours but it looks like it will escape...but close call!

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#518 Postby Hammy » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:17 am

GFS doesn't even really look like it develops this anymore
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#519 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:18 am

gatorcane wrote:
tolakram wrote:Through 140 hours it looks like sit and spin.

http://imageshack.com/a/img633/4198/V74ipQ.gif


Wow not moving much at all...certainly a ridge is trying to build in but it might just barely escape this run. That stall in the Bahamas is a bit concerning and will need to watch this in future runs. Still about 4-5 days out and things might change.



This run is west of the previous two runs... wonder if anymore westward shifts will come in the coming days.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#520 Postby N2FSU » Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:19 am

12Z GFS +144

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