ATL: CRISTOBAL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Cooling us off and bringing some rain...we'll see what happens but so far so good!

You guys are getting the best part 96L just like with Bertha, tropical systems bring some drought relief for those in bad need of it.

[cycloneye]

Cooling us off and bringing some rain...we'll see what happens but so far so good!

You guys are getting the best part 96L just like with Bertha, tropical systems bring some drought relief for those in bad need of it.

Look how the drought has expanded in PR for the past few weeks. Hopefully we get rid of those yellows and browns after this event is over.

[Weatherboy1]

Really seems to be firing up some convection now. And if I were a betting man, I'd say that eastern vortex is finally taking charge. Just an opinion as always!

[tolakram]

Live ir loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=18&lon=-60&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&type=Animation&quality=95&palette=ir2.pal&numframes=5

[Evil Jeremy]

Code red:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 212332
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with the small low pressure area
approaching the Leeward Islands has changed little in organization
during the past few hours. Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for some development during the next day or so, and a
tropical depression or tropical storm could still form while the
system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph across the Lesser
Antilles. The mountainous terrain of Hispaniola could limit
development during the first part of the weekend, but conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development by Sunday when the
system is forecast to move near or over the Bahamas. Regardless of
tropical cyclone formation, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are
expected across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and
the Virgin Islands through Friday, and over Hispaniola late Friday
and Saturday. Interests in those islands and in the Bahamas should
closely monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
system again tomorrow afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

[cycloneye]

That was posted in the past page.

[Hurricaneman]

we have it looks like thunderstorms are forming at the center so that may be the start of something bigger but who knows it looked good last night and the convection basically poofed

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Evil Jeremy]

:uarrow: That was posted in the past page.

My bad... missed it somehow.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1009 MB LOW IS LOCATED 230 NM MILES EAST OF GUADELOUPE
NEAR 16N58W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS N
FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 24N56W. HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE NW
FROM THE LOW FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 62W-64W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 56-60W AND ELSEWHERE FROM 14N-
23N BETWEEN 60W-67W. THIS AFTERNOON...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
FOUND GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW
EXPECTED TO LAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THE LOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE BAHAMAS. INTERESTS
DOWNSTREAM OF THE LOW SHOULD MONITOR CLOSELY THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. CHANCES FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS HIGH.

[jlauderdal]

Sad part of all this is 96L will probably be the only game in town for august

If hwrf verifies this will be enough activity for this season

[floridasun78]

so models now changing back to west a bit?

[NDG]

Convection firing right by the LLC, also seen on radar from Martinique.

[tgenius]

Sad part of all this is 96L will probably be the only game in town for august

If hwrf verifies this will be enough activity for this season

I'm not worried yet, but if hwrf does pan out... yikes.

[Hurricane Andrew]

If the HWRD verifies, this forum will explode. We will break the user record in no time at all, as it would easily be the worst hurricane threat in years.

All depends on that massive IF though. Convection tower near center though, could be the start of something.

[supercane]

Latest microwave:

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track.

AL, 96, 2014082200, , BEST, 0, 176N, 594W, 35, 1009, DB

[gatorcane]

Convection firing right by the LLC, also seen on radar from Martinique.

Saved image showing this:

[gatorcane]

00:45 UTC frame came in, that convection burst is getting bigger near the LLC...could be the start?

[hectopascal]

Is a TS.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[floridasun78]

Is a TD
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

that last night sat pic i look tonight dont look same??