ATL: CRISTOBAL - Models

[Evil Jeremy]

HWRF moves it slower... hence the recurve

Not recurving. Moving westward again around 84 hours.

[tolakram]

aaaand now northwest.

84h

[WPBWeather]

HWRF moves it slower... hence the recurve

Don't you lose a lunch bet if this ever gets to the Gulf?

[stormlover2013]

Bastardi said today that next week the gom is prime for a storm if one was to be around if this misses trough the se high pressure will cause it to get in gom

[Alyono]

HWRF moves it slower... hence the recurve

Don't you lose a lunch bet if this ever gets to the Gulf?

yes, unless it moves into the Gulf after Sept 1

[tolakram]

90h

[stormlover2013]

@TropicalTidbits: *If* 96L actually does miss the trough, models will likely correct even further west. Think Ike, Katrina...ridges get underestimated.

[JPmia]

HWRF moves it slower... hence the recurve

Not recurving. Moving westward again around 84 hours.

yeah general northwest heading after 99hrs .. and deepening.

[tolakram]

93h

[tolakram]

99h, still heading NW

[Hurricane Andrew]

Left...right...left...right...

[JPmia]

HWRF run looks like it's heading toward the Carolinas.. interesting it's almost as if it's going down the middle .. Considering latest GFS.. I bet next run shows a more westward bend beyond 72hrs.

[SFLcane]

00z runs will be interesting to say the least

[Steve]

@TropicalTidbits: *If* 96L actually does miss the trough, models will likely correct even further west. Think Ike, Katrina...ridges get underestimated.

Levi and Bastardi? Don't miss the trough please. I don't even want to talk about Katrina, and Ike, hell, we were still mostly without power down in the Bayou from Gustav. No thanks for anything of those potential magnitudes.

[JPmia]

@TropicalTidbits: *If* 96L actually does miss the trough, models will likely correct even further west. Think Ike, Katrina...ridges get underestimated.

Levi and Bastardi? Don't miss the trough please. I don't even want to talk about Katrina, and Ike, hell, we were still mostly without power down in the Bayou from Gustav. No thanks for anything of those potential magnitudes.

yeah that's some serious bait he threw out there on that tweet lol

[floridasun78]

south fl weatherman noticing west shift of Models

[tolakram]

105h

[northjaxpro]

Wow, HWRF deepens it to 979 mb, the strongest have seen yet on these runs. Hope that doesn't verify, but with those warm SSTs in that area and expected good upper level conditions during this time, this situation is definitely a possibility.

[stormlover2013]

The high pressure will be strong in se next week so it can go only one way west

[tolakram]

Bastardi, on pay site, still likes recurve with second storm in the gulf later. Pointed out Euro had more western ensembles this last run.