NWS Miami snippet, before the 06Z GFS run came out which shifted it back to South Florida:
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014/
SOME UNCERTAINTY WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE ON MONDAY AS THE RIDGE
CENTERED ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST BUILDS NORTH AS A TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY LOCATED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY.
THE 18Z RUN OF THE GFS GAVE
SOUTH FLORIDA A LITTLE BIT OF A SCARE BUT THE 00Z RUN HAS NOW
SHIFTED BACK TO THE EAST. THE ECMWF IS FARTHER TO THE EAST WITH ITS
DEVELOPMENT AND HAS ALSO BEEN MORE CONSISTENT WITH THIS TRACK
GUIDANCE. THE ECMWF ALSO SHOWS THE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC
STRONGER AND DEEPER WITH A SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE INCREASE ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA WITH PWAT INCREASING BACK TO OVER TWO INCHES. BOTH
MODELS INDICATE A NORTHEAST STEERING FLOW DEVELOPING AND THIS WOULD
STILL GEAR STORM COVERAGE TOWARDS THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST
COAST.
LONG TERM (TUESDAY-FRIDAY)...
THE FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME
AS TO THE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. IF THE SYSTEM DOES INDEED DEVELOP,
IT WILL ALL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE NORTHERN TROUGH AXIS
AND THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES.
MOST MODEL GUIDANCE IS
KEEPING THE SYSTEM TO THE EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, BUT IF
THE RIDGE BUILDS STRONG ENOUGH AND THE TROUGH IS NOT QUITE AS DEEP
AS CURRENTLY BEING FORECAST THEN A WESTWARD SHIFT IS NOT OUT OF
THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY. IN OTHER WORDS, CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FORECASTS FROM NHC. IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD INTO
THE END OF THE WEEK, A DEEP LAYER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO RETURN TO
SOUTH FLORIDA WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND PWAT RETURNING
TO NEAR 2 INCHES.
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
I agree with you about that. 
