ATL: DOLLY - REMNANTS - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 97, 2014082318, , BEST, 0, 110N, 281W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 70, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014082400, , BEST, 0, 110N, 295W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 70, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014082406, , BEST, 0, 110N, 309W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 70, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014082412, , BEST, 0, 110N, 322W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 70, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2014082418, , BEST, 0, 110N, 335W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 70, 0, 0, L,

Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116643&hilit=&p=2407739#p2407739

[floridasun78]

navy site dont have it yet here link http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

[Cunxi Huang]

navy site dont have it yet here link http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

But FNMOC has!
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/cgi-bin/tc_home.cgi

[SeGaBob]

All I can say is RECURVE!!!!



Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Ptarmigan]

All I can say is RECURVE!!!!



Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

The more hurricanes recurve, the ACE goes higher.

[bamajammer4eva]

Perhaps thats the weak low in the Bahamas on 9/4?

[floridasun78]

ok now on navy

[tolakram]

Perhaps thats the weak low in the Bahamas on 9/4?

http://i.imgur.com/DQcEFSP.gif

I think so. Right now this appears it will be a borderline invest or TD for a while.

[floridasun78]

Perhaps thats the weak low in the Bahamas on 9/4?

i think models not picking up 97l good yet

[SFLcane]

All I can say is RECURVE!!!!



Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Really? Please without any reasoning behind such post. Way to early for stuff like this.

[SeGaBob]

All I can say is RECURVE!!!!



Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Really? Please without any reasoning behind such post. Way to early for stuff like this.

It was intended to be more of a humorous post. I know it's too early...I figured someone would say it sooner or later so I just got it out of the way.

[HurriGuy]

If the ridge can stay strong enough or if 97L moves fast enough, could get a little interesting end of next week.

[Senobia]

Dang, where did this come from overnight?

[gatorcane]

NHC 2pm EST TWO:

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and a few
thunderstorms. Unfavorable upper-level winds and proximity to dry
air are expected to inhibit development during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions could become more conducive by the
end of the week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.



Saved loop:

[meriland23]

No sense in assuming this is a tuna yet. The track also heavily depends on the speed at which it moves, when it forms, and the strength it gets to. Slight changes could mean the difference between a fish and a hit. Its 50\50 to me at this moment.

[gatorcane]

No sense in assuming this is a tuna yet. The track also heavily depends on the speed at which it moves, when it forms, and the strength it gets to. Slight changes could mean the difference between a fish and a hit. Its 50\50 to me at this moment.

The biggest uncertainty might be whether Cristobal can manage to create a weakness in the Central Atlantic that could cause this to recurve there but actually global models are currently in excellent agreement that the system ends up near the NE Leewards in about 6-7 days from now..

[CrazyC83]

The Cristobal trough is the key for this one. Can it suck this one in too? If so, early recurve. Otherwise...nothing to turn it at all.

[meriland23]

No sense in assuming this is a tuna yet. The track also heavily depends on the speed at which it moves, when it forms, and the strength it gets to. Slight changes could mean the difference between a fish and a hit. Its 50\50 to me at this moment.

The biggest uncertainty might be whether Cristobal can manage to create a weakness in the Central Atlantic that could cause this to recurve there but actually global models are currently in excellent agreement that the system ends up near the NE Leewards in about 6-7 days from now.

Hmm iono we shall see :p. Definitely one to keep a eye on at the moment.

[SeGaBob]

All joking aside I do agree this will be one to watch for the time being.

[gatorcane]

To clarify my statement above, global models have it near the NE Leewards in about 5 days from now