EPAC: MARIE - Post-Tropical

[Yellow Evan]

Marie has a classic stadium effect now.

[galaxy401]

Welcome to the category 5 club Marie! How long can she last?

[WeatherGuesser]

Almost dead center in the frame on TerraModis, but the shot must be at an angle:

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi- ... 00.2km.jpg

[Yellow Evan]

Cloud tops cooling, but CDO not as impressive.

[Hurricane_Luis]

Almost dead center in the frame on TerraModis, but the shot must be at an angle:

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi- ... 00.2km.jpg

That's the remnant low of Lowell. Not quite sure what you're getting at.

[Kingarabian]

Cloud tops cooling, but CDO not as impressive.

It's going to fluctuate in intensity. That's a given.

[Ntxw]

Water Vapor loop

[Yellow Evan]

Some records:

We've tied to thanks to Marie:

Majors in a month (4, shared by July 1978, August 1993). Several seasons had 3 including August 2009, August 1998, July 1992, September 1992, September 1993.

Hurricanes in a row (7, 1990).

Also, TS wind raidi has to expand 30 miles before we tie Hilary 05 as the largest EPAC storm on record.

[somethingfunny]

Some records:

We've tied to thanks to Marie:

Majors in a month (4, shared by July 1978, August 1993). Several seasons had 3 including August 2009, August 1998, July 1992, September 1992, September 1993.

Hurricanes in a row (7, 1990).

Also, TS wind raidi has to expand 30 miles before we tie Hilary 05 as the largest EPAC storm on record.

Genevieve is near and dear to my heart too and we'll always consider her to be an EPACer but technically I don't believe it can count toward these records. 6 in a row and 3 majors is still really impressive

[Yellow Evan]

Some records:

We've tied to thanks to Marie:

Majors in a month (4, shared by July 1978, August 1993). Several seasons had 3 including August 2009, August 1998, July 1992, September 1992, September 1993.

Hurricanes in a row (7, 1990).

Also, TS wind raidi has to expand 30 miles before we tie Hilary 05 as the largest EPAC storm on record.

Genevieve is near and dear to my heart too and we'll always consider her to be an EPACer but technically I don't believe it can count toward these records. 6 in a row and 3 majors is still really impressive

I'm including CPAC here. The reason is because HURDAT includes CPAC as well.

[somethingfunny]

^^^ oh okay, as long as we have apples compared to apples, sweet!!

On the apples/apples subject, how many (if any) of the HURDAT's most intense recorded EPAC cyclones were actually measured by recon at their recorded peaks?

Water Vapor loop

http://i60.tinypic.com/2ex3k2v.gif

It looks like the deepest convection has peaked. It might pulse back up overnight though, I'm not yet ready to definitely say Marie is starting the slow downward trend.

[Yellow Evan]

^^^ oh okay, as long as we have apples compared to apples, sweet!!

On the apples/apples subject, how many (if any) of the HURDAT's most intense recorded EPAC cyclones were actually measured by recon at their recorded peaks?

Three were three sub-925 TC's (two were Cat 5, one was a mid-level Cat 4) that had Recon support at peak. They were Kenna 02, Ava 73, and Juliette 01.

[abajan]

Wow! Surfers in Baja must be licking their chops.

[Cyclenall]

Crazy Hurricane! I don't often see a category 5 this large and in the Epac no less.

The bottom part is becoming more spread out and ragged, what a convective monster. Its southern band is connected to the ITCZ too. Convective CDO shrank but is somewhat maintained while the eye might be getting colder but I need more frames to confirm that.

[Yellow Evan]

Wow! Surfers in Baja must be licking their chops.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Surf there IMO could rival the waves seen in Linda and Guillermo 97.

[Ntxw]

With how intense it was/is and such a large size (gotta be top 5 or 10 in size?) would've been interesting to see what kind of pressures a recon trip might have found.

[Yellow Evan]

With how intense it was/is and such a large size (gotta be top 5 or 10 in size?) would've been interesting to see what kind of pressures a recon trip might have found.

Wouldn't shock me if it was sub-900 mbar.

To my knowledge, this is the 2nd largest EPAC storm on record. With an ERC going on, the record could easily fall.

[WeatherGuesser]

Looks like AquaModis got a direct hit:

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi- ... 00.2km.jpg

[WeatherGuesser]

Advisory mentioned problems in SoCal due to riptides, swells and flooding.

Are we talking waves breaking over seawalls or any level of inundation?

[Yellow Evan]

Advisory mentioned problems in SoCal due to riptides, swells and flooding.

Are we talking waves breaking over seawalls or any level of inundation?

In some cases, yes. The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.