gatorcane wrote:The 12Z ECMWF has this down to 968MB heading ENE over the North Atlantic, 96 hours from now
Heck, 982mb in 48 hours. What is it looking at?
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gatorcane wrote:The 12Z ECMWF has this down to 968MB heading ENE over the North Atlantic, 96 hours from now
USTropics wrote:Here are some graphs I put together showing how some of the models have performed with Cristobal thus far (this data dates back to when Cristobal was designated 96L). The first graph is the average position error in nautical miles by forecast hour. The second graph is the average intensity error in regards to wind speed by forecast hour. [/Quote]
artist wrote:USTropics wrote:Here are some graphs I put together showing how some of the models have performed with Cristobal thus far (this data dates back to when Cristobal was designated 96L). The first graph is the average position error in nautical miles by forecast hour. The second graph is the average intensity error in regards to wind speed by forecast hour. [/Quote]
Very interesting. Do you have it available for the ecmwf and its ensembles? I am wondering how it compares with the others.
USTropics wrote:artist wrote:USTropics wrote:Here are some graphs I put together showing how some of the models have performed with Cristobal thus far (this data dates back to when Cristobal was designated 96L). The first graph is the average position error in nautical miles by forecast hour. The second graph is the average intensity error in regards to wind speed by forecast hour. [/Quote]
Very interesting. Do you have it available for the ecmwf and its ensembles? I am wondering how it compares with the others.
Unfortunately, the ECMWF model is proprietary and copyrighted; the public data set that is available is extremely limited. If anyone knows if they have a public data set for positional points per run, I would be able to average the errors but I have yet to locate that. The UKMET also has limited data available (or at least I can not find any data dumps per run).
artist wrote:http://data-portal.ecmwf.int/
Have you tried this link above?
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