ISABEL STRENGTHENING AND IT DOESN'T SEEM POSSIBLE..........

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dixiebreeze
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ISABEL STRENGTHENING AND IT DOESN'T SEEM POSSIBLE..........

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:12 pm

SHE WILL MAKE IT TO 30 N BEFORE CROSSING THE 70 W MARK, THUS MAKING IT MORE POSSIBLE IMHO, TO OUTWIT THE TROUGH.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:14 pm

Im not gonna comment on the appearance of that satellite LOL..... that got me in trouble last time.

However it is going to cross WELL south of that mark. And the GFS is now seeing that potential as it has shifted MUCh further south with its landfall. A HUGE development beacue Isabel would never leave the Gulf Stream waters.
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#3 Postby ncweatherwizard » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:19 pm

I'm not going to make too much of GFS this time---even though it has been trending southward and westward. Soon we'll probably see most models clump together, which we basically already see. But the big theme here is the "no room for error." and there will be error.

And BTW to everybody, don't forget that the trough is intensifying. :) :)
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#4 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:20 pm

trough intensifying.....meaning???
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#5 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:21 pm

It definitely looks more ORGANIZED in that pic, but now matter how strong it gets doesn't mean a Florida hit.
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#6 Postby wow » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:22 pm

IF the European is significantly further south and west, then we know we have something. It'll put the southeast back in sights.
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#7 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:23 pm

THANK YOU THUNDER FOR THE EMPHASIS ON ORGANIZED!
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#8 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:23 pm

The EC has shifted to the southern DelmArva, or at least that is what i have heard.
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#9 Postby soonertwister » Sun Sep 14, 2003 5:59 pm

Dixie, stop shouting!

We have no reason not to generally follow the forecast track of the NHC, after all, how many times have they been drastically wrong in the last 2-3 years? None?

The thing I'm most concerned about is intensity and the exact strike location. We could be in a pickle barrel on this one.
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#10 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Sep 14, 2003 6:02 pm

The EURO (ECMWF) has shifted .... eastward a smidge....

Runs Isabel through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast northward into Hudson Bay, Canada on Day 7.

SF
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#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Sep 14, 2003 7:06 pm

Sooner, I'm not shouting at anyone. Only trying to see the board. My vision is very bad -- very myopic. Sorry.
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