ATL: DOLLY - REMNANTS - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Hello Dolly
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3364
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
This was weird
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
I think they are desending farther without going to far south. Didn't won't to nose dive too sharply. Or maybe he is doing his version of the crazy Ivans.
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3364
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Looks like this may have almost doubled in intensity since earlier, and may already be stronger than the predicted landfall intensity... 
0 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
It also seems to be on a more WNW track again. northerly shear has COC mostly exposed also.
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3364
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Kind of surprising that the center would be that far west. 
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
-
somethingfunny
- ChatStaff
- Posts: 3926
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
- Location: McKinney, Texas
-
tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3364
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
The forecast cone is kind of wild.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
So is this not actually closed at the surface?
0 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3364
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Someone will need to takeover on Recco observations.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
-
somethingfunny
- ChatStaff
- Posts: 3926
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
- Location: McKinney, Texas
Re:
I agree...
bahamaswx wrote:The surface feature looks to be racing ahead, and is completely devoid of convection.
0 likes
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
-
somethingfunny
- ChatStaff
- Posts: 3926
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
- Location: McKinney, Texas
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
From the recon thread:
It looks like the center may have reformed around 21.5N 95.5W, but the 4 am advisory from NHC has Dolly at 22.6N 94.8W.
Chris_in_Tampa wrote:Through HDOB 34:
It looks like the center may have reformed around 21.5N 95.5W, but the 4 am advisory from NHC has Dolly at 22.6N 94.8W.
0 likes
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
-
TheEuropean
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 1796
- Age: 59
- Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:17 pm
- Location: Voerde, Germany
- Contact:
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
somethingfunny wrote:From the recon thread:
It looks like the center may have reformed around 21.5N 95.5W, but the 4 am advisory from NHC has Dolly at 22.6N 94.8W.
No, I think 22.6N 94.8W is the new center.
0 likes
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22950
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I think I can see the center well NW of the convection north of 23N and approaching 96W. It's approaching the 24 hour forecast position already. Euro had been predicting it would move ashore by noon today. That may not be too bad a forecast if it doesn't slow down soon.
0 likes
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Per the latest vortex Dolly is now near 23N & 95.5W.
0 likes
-
somethingfunny
- ChatStaff
- Posts: 3926
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
- Location: McKinney, Texas
Re: ATL: DOLLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It looks good but it's really approaching Mexico rapidly and you may be right about landfall before sundown today wxman57. This will be our first named storm of 2014 to not reach hurricane strength.
0 likes
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests