ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC?fref=nf

[wzrgirl1]

I can't get the link but in Max's update he said that upgrade to td#6 at 11. It should bring squally weather to south florida and the keys but not a heavy rain event. So somebody is wrong. Let's wait and see.

[hohnywx]

I can't get the link but in Max's update he said that upgrade to td#6 at 11. It should bring squally weather to south florida and the keys but not a heavy rain event. So somebody is wrong. Let's wait and see.

Yes, you are. go to the NHC website and you will see TD 6 is for the disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic

[wzrgirl1]

Actually Max Mayfield was wrong. LOL he just took it off his wplg site. Sorry for posting wrong information but I was just the messenger. Let's move onward. Thanks.

[Sanibel]

The quick formation yesterday was all bark and no bite. You can never be too careful in this area but it wasn't what it appeared. Now it is just a weak system with hostile conditions nearby. NHC was wise on this one. It will be interesting to see if it strengthens before Florida.

I wish they would put a Floater on it.

[gatorcane]

The quick formation yesterday was all bark and no bite. You can never be too careful in this area but it wasn't what it appeared. Now it is just a weak system with hostile conditions nearby. NHC was wise on this one. It will be interesting to see if it strengthens before Florida.

I wish they would put a Floater on it.

I posted this earlier, but here is one in the meantime:
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=10

[Steve H.]

Well, if that little circle well to the NE of Grand Bahama Island is the LLC, it may be unraveling into an open trough. It may be further south in the convection, but that's what my eyes are seeing (they're not very good).


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[Sanibel]

The convection is on the right side of it now in my opinion. Better moisture and convection on the SE quadrant and southern inflow. But probably not enough time before landfall to do anything with it.

[wzrgirl1]

Looks as if it is expanding somewhat.

[jlauderdal]

Actually Max Mayfield was wrong. LOL he just took it off his wplg site. Sorry for posting wrong information but I was just the messenger. Let's move onward. Thanks.

i bet old max didnt even touch that web page...it was someone else that doesnt know the difference between east and west atlantic...no susprise in north florida i mean south florida..

[gatorcane]

A lot of rain over the Gulf stream and Bahamas...this could be a significant rain event for South Florida depending upon whether the convection continues to build, especially as it looks like a slow moving system.

[wzrgirl1]

It was weird. It was a long two paragraph description of how it wouldn't be a wind event for us but a good drought buster, etc and to look for the upgrade with watches and warnings for us @ 11 for south florida and the keys. Glad he was wrong. But yes you are probably right about what you said.

Actually Max Mayfield was wrong. LOL he just took it off his wplg site. Sorry for posting wrong information but I was just the messenger. Let's move onward. Thanks.

i bet old max didnt even touch that web page...it was someone else that doesnt know the difference between east and west atlantic...no susprise in north florida i mean south florida..

[jhpigott]

A lot of rain over the Gulf stream and Bahamas...this could be a significant rain event for South Florida depending upon whether the convection continues to build, especially as it looks like a slow moving system.

Not to mention some earlier models brought 92L and its energy into the E. GOM and then back across the state late this weekend/early next week. Could certainly be a big rain maker for SFL even if never designated.

[jlauderdal]

It was weird. It was a long two paragraph description of how it wouldn't be a wind event for us but a good drought buster, etc. for south florida and the keys over the next two days. But yes you are probably right about what you said.

Actually Max Mayfield was wrong. LOL he just took it off his wplg site. Sorry for posting wrong information but I was just the messenger. Let's move onward. Thanks.

i bet old max didnt even touch that web page...it was someone else that doesnt know the difference between east and west atlantic...no susprise in north florida i mean south florida..

the intern mixed up the systems...honestly, looking at this forum i get mixed up on 91 and 92, wish we could hide forum topics from our own view...would be good if they would separate the pacific storms to another section too; i suggested that several years ago but no dice...back to our weak area of low pressure...real weak

[Bocadude85]

It was weird. It was a long two paragraph description of how it wouldn't be a wind event for us but a good drought buster, etc and to look for the upgrade with watches and warnings for us @ 11 for south florida and the keys. Glad he was wrong. But yes you are probably right about what you said.

Actually Max Mayfield was wrong. LOL he just took it off his wplg site. Sorry for posting wrong information but I was just the messenger. Let's move onward. Thanks.

i bet old max didnt even touch that web page...it was someone else that doesnt know the difference between east and west atlantic...no susprise in north florida i mean south florida..

I wonder what drought he was talking about?

[NDG]

Northerly shear is already reaching 92L, thus why there is organized convection on its northern quadrant, you can see the cloud tops in that quadrant getting sheared away. The LLC needs to start moving SW if it was to survive.

[wzrgirl1]

This was the amended update just posted from Max on the Local 10 Hurricane Tracker app.

Correction. The NHC has initiated advisories on Tropical Depression Six over the eastern Atlantic and that system is not expected to impact land. The weak low pressure system near the northwestern Bahamas is being given a low-chance of developing into a tropical depression over the next two days and a medium chance through five days. The NHC has cancelled the Air Force reconnaissance flight into this weak low. Regardless of development, the system is likely to enhance rainfall over portions of SFL and the Keys over the next few days as it moves slowly westward or west-southwestward.

[Hammy]

As far as there being no floater, it looks like SSD is having some trouble as the TD6 floater hasn't updated since yesterday afternoon.

[gatorcane]

A look at the RADAR out of Miami with all the heavy rain just offshore:

[canes04]

IMO,

This is the best it has looked. Appears to be organizing fairly quickly.
Lets see what happens.