ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

WeatherOrKnot · #441 Postby **WeatherOrKnot** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:08 pm

It's been raining steadily for about 4 hours straight now here in western Lake Worth.

tropicwatch · #442 Postby **tropicwatch** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:12 pm

COC should be close to the west end of Grand Bahama Island. Freeport has been reporting S and SSW winds for the past two hours.

wzrgirl1 · #443 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:21 pm

Here in Pembroke Pines it is quite gloomy and a bit rainy but nothing that unusual. But I can see it is going to rotate in as the night wears on and throughout the day tomorrow. Looks like the rain chances are higher tomorrow after 2 pm.

#444 Postby **fci** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:23 pm

Local Met is saying dry air is taking over east side of the circulation. Basically, this event for our area will end fairly quickly.
Rainfall total won't be anywhere near as impressive as earlier suggested.

TARHEELPROGRAMMER · #445 Postby **TARHEELPROGRAMMER** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:23 pm

Anyone want to give an update on what they think is going on with the system right now?

#446 Postby **NDG** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:24 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:COC should be close to the west end of Grand Bahama Island. Freeport has been reporting S and SSW winds for the past two hours.

I am thinking that it is now an elongated broad COC, that little LLC that it had earlier today is no where to be found, might see reformation closer to the convection later tonight or tomorrow morning.

#447 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:24 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:COC should be close to the west end of Grand Bahama Island. Freeport has been reporting S and SSW winds for the past two hours.

Yeah I would agree with that looking at the radar loop.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... B&loop=yes

#448 Postby **jlauderdal** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:26 pm

TARHEELPROGRAMMER wrote:Anyone want to give an update on what they think is going on with the system right now?

well the rain has stopped in ne fll..system.is weak and should stay real weak

TARHEELPROGRAMMER · #449 Postby **TARHEELPROGRAMMER** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:28 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
TARHEELPROGRAMMER wrote:Anyone want to give an update on what they think is going on with the system right now?

well the rain has stopped in ne fll..system.is weak and should stay real weak

I agree but one thing I would like to know where is the COC? Near the convection now?

LaBreeze · #450 Postby **LaBreeze** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:44 pm

lrak wrote:I thought the front was suppose to stall and not push all the way into the Gulf?

True, that could present a problem.

ROCK · #451 Postby **ROCK** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:53 pm

Seems late model guidance is taking whatever this is further west than before. Interesting

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realtime/current/

no intensity though....

blp · #452 Postby **blp** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 5:56 pm

The CIMMS site showing a stacked vorticity now with 500mb showing up nicely over the 850 and 700.

blp · #453 Postby **blp** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:03 pm

Quite clear on this loop where the llc is. That shear lets up one inch this thing is a TD. Be careful tonight.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/imagery/vis_lalo-animated.gif

#454 Postby **fci** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:13 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
TARHEELPROGRAMMER wrote:Anyone want to give an update on what they think is going on with the system right now?

well the rain has stopped in ne fll..system.is weak and should stay real weak

Rain has passed and a big slot of dry is over us now.
Rain was heavy only briefly.
Apparently only very few areas got over an inch, inland; and might have been enhanced by sea breeze interaction.

#455 Postby **WPBWeather** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:25 pm

fci wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
TARHEELPROGRAMMER wrote:Anyone want to give an update on what they think is going on with the system right now?

well the rain has stopped in ne fll..system.is weak and should stay real weak

Rain has passed and a big slot of dry is over us now.
Rain was heavy only briefly.
Apparently only very few areas got over an inch, inland; and might have been enhanced by sea breeze interaction.

Things are very wet here in West Palm with no dry air in sight. More rain bands are on the way in now.

HeeBGBz · #456 Postby **HeeBGBz** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:25 pm

Is the center around 78.5° w 27°n?

TARHEELPROGRAMMER · #457 Postby **TARHEELPROGRAMMER** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:26 pm

This thing appears to be drifting SSW and it looks like the COC is trying to meet up with some convection. I am no meteorologist but it does not look like it is moving west anymore.

floridasun78 · #458 Postby **floridasun78** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:27 pm

it look weather could be good on friday this moving fast their no storm after low pass tonight _________________
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

floridasun78 · #459 Postby **floridasun78** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:28 pm

what i saying their no storm behind low pressure area

johngaltfla · #460 Postby **johngaltfla** » Thu Sep 11, 2014 6:31 pm

We could use the rain even after the drenching we received earlier this summer. So come on, head towards the WNW just a tad and bring us some rain!

ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

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