ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

I'm not real sure now after looking at vis satellite loop. The pressures might be lower to the NE but the satellite presentation looks not so much.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=26.5&lon=-79&type=Animation&info=vis&numframes=8

[TheStormExpert]

Satellite/Radar Imagery from SFWMD. Hard to pick out an actual center to this low, but it looks to be somewhere around the east side of Lake O.

[TheStormExpert]

The center is NE of Okeechobee (about 30 miles). Look at surface obs, not radar. It's very broad and free of convection.

Well, I'm 30 miles NE of Lake O, partly cloudy, gentle breeze, and a wonderful day...

Same here in Palm Beach Gardens, FL where there is nothing but clear blue skies looking west, but looking east you can see clouds/t-storm clouds trying to build offshore in the distance. Wouldn't even know there was a low pressure center at least 30mi. to the NW of me.

[jlauderdal]

Well, I'm 30 miles NE of Lake O, partly cloudy, gentle breeze, and a wonderful day...

Oh my God! You're in the eye! Take cover immediately! Winds will be switching to the opposition direction soon and will be just as strong as when you entered the eye (5-10 kts).

the power center is to my west..dark clouds to the west..clear skies over head, dark clouds to the east...feels like an eye with the clear skies

tropical breezes, would expect some tstorms with this heating underway as the feeder bands setup

[Sanibel]

The Gulf Stream did nothing for this. And the center convection stack blew-off once it no longer had water under it to support it. The fact there is water on 3 sides should keep it going, however once it re-emerges into the Gulf the shear is forecasted to continue for another 24 hours.

[Stormcenter]

We all should know by now that these things have a way of organizing themselves pretty quickly so let's just wait and see how this plays out the next few days. IMO

[jlauderdal]

Landfall Update

WEAK SFC LOW MOVED ONSHORE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A
1012.3 MB SFC PRESSURE READING AT WEST PALM BEACH AT 5 AM.

Next time a 1012 low hits south florida I will be much better prepared; learned the hard way on 92L

[tropicwatch]

Killing me

[Portastorm]

Landfall Update

WEAK SFC LOW MOVED ONSHORE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A
1012.3 MB SFC PRESSURE READING AT WEST PALM BEACH AT 5 AM.

Next time a 1012 low hits south florida I will be much better prepared; learned the hard way on 92L

I shouldn't encourage this because I'm a moderator but ... how did your lawn furniture hold up?

[jaguarjace]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/mfl.html

[CYCLONE MIKE]

[fci]

Awesome

[Portastorm]

OK, we should get back to discussing the actual weather with 92L, if any.

But CYCLONE MIKE, that was pretty damn funny.

[baytownwx]

I hope that's what the pics of 92L's damage looks like after going into the gulf. Yes, it didn't do too much except to bring rain. Thank goodness for the shear yesterday or it could have been worse. Now all eyes need to be on the gulf

[ronjon]

Shear doesn't look too bad in the SE GOM now - 10-20 kts. Still alot of convection to the south of the center. 92L could still get its act together once it emerges in the GOM. Would be slow to occur though since it needs to rebuild a convective core.

[tropicwatch]

Looks like an itty bitty hurricane over Lake Okeechobee.

[Portastorm]

Interesting thoughts on 92L just out from the WSI blog:

http://www.wsi.com/blog/insurance-energy/potential-developing-tropical-cyclone-possible-over-the-gulf-of-mexico-this-weekend-2/

[ronjon]

Can clearly see the center south of the big lake on this high res SAT view.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/tbw/mflash-vis.html

[ronjon]

Huge blow up of convection over S FL and the keys this morning.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/mfl/mflash-vis.html

[tropicwatch]

Once it enters the GOM the wind shear might not be all that bad.