RL3AO wrote:Well we've seen what happens to storms when they hit Mexico or Hispaniola. If this starts running up the Baja for any amount of time, it will weaken much quicker than the forecast and models show.
I'm not worried about weakening of the winds. I'm hoping we don't get a repeat of what Norbert did last week.
Last year, Ivo was barely a tropical storm as it approached Baja, and the west side of Phoenix still got hit with some very heavy rain from the remnants of that storm with as I recall some isolated flooding (though the east side, where I live, somehow got spared).
My ideal situation at this point is that this pulls a Jimena from 2009. That was the first storm I remember bringing moisture into Arizona since I moved here in 2007, but we only got a few passing showers from that one since it actually looped back to the southwest as it was dissipating. No flooding to speak of, and in fact made an already nice night even nicer.
-Andrew92
