ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

[cycloneye]

AL, 91, 2014101012, , BEST, 0, 133N, 322W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2014101018, , BEST, 0, 135N, 331W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2014101100, , BEST, 0, 137N, 339W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2014101106, , BEST, 0, 138N, 346W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2014101112, , BEST, 0, 140N, 354W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

Thread at Talking Tropics forum that was the topic for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116832&hilit=&p=2419073#p2419073

[Gustywind]

That was very fast too!

[Gustywind]

Cycloneye, could we have the first models plot please?

[cycloneye]

Cycloneye, could we have the first models plot please?

Go to the 91L models thread that is up

[Gustywind]

Cycloneye, could we have the first models plot please?

Go to the 91L models thread that is up

Oh wonderfull, tkanks

[cycloneye]

SSD Floater is up

[floridasun78]

who say season was not busy we fay two invest

[northjaxpro]

The season has been below average in activity. We just finally got the MJO to give the Atlantic basin a pulse for a change.

[cycloneye]

Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located
several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated
with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are
expected to remain unfavorable, and significant development of this
system is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014


A TROPICAL WAVE IS ON THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
19N34W TO 6N37W...MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AIRMASS OF LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL MOISTURE AS DEPICTED
ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A LARGE AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-17N BETWEEN
27W-41W.

[cycloneye]

18z Best Track:

AL, 91, 2014101118, , BEST, 0, 138N, 375W, 25, 1009, DB

[cycloneye]

Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located
several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated
with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are
expected to remain unfavorable, and significant development of this
system is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[abajan]

It's been dropped from the TWO for now. The question is, will it regenerate down the road.

[cycloneye]

It's been dropped from the TWO for now. The question is, will it regenerate down the road.

Good question. That is why I am leaving this thread here for now.

[Hammy]

Shear looks to be weakening and a weak circulation is evident on visible for the first time as well.

[cycloneye]

Look who is back!

91L INVEST 141013 1800 14.6N 43.8W ATL 25 1011

[cycloneye]

A broad area of low pressure located a little more than one
thousand miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of
this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves slowly
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[TheStormExpert]

Suprise! Suprise!! Many on here called it's eventual return and here it is!

[Gustywind]

Look who is back!

91L INVEST 141013 1800 14.6N 43.8W ATL 25 1011

is that another speedy gonzalez?

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2014


...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC EXTENDS FROM
20N47W TO 12N46W MOVING W AT 15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT
SCATTEROMETER DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THAT THIS WAVE HAS
SEPARATED FROM A 1010 MB LOW NOW NEAR 14N43W. MOST CONVECTION IS
NOW WELL DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE WAVE. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 11N-
18N BETWEEN 35W-43W.