ATL: GONZALO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Is it too soon for a local info page for Bermuda and Atlantic Canada? How many members do we have there?

Well.I had to make it 24 hours earlier as Enviromental Canada has begun to release warnings.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=116864&p=2420608#p2420608

[northjaxpro]

msbee, how is everything with you? I pray all is as well as can be in the storm's aftermath in your region.

[Hammy]

Question concerning the pressures being high for this intensity: are the surrounding pressures higher than normal or is it due to the small size?

[Windspeed]

We got the second major of 2014 season!

18z Best Track:

AL, 08, 2014101418, , BEST, 0, 208N, 656W, 100, 971, HU

971mb is the highest pressure I've seen for an intensifying major hurricane in a while

Question concerning the pressures being high for this intensity: are the surrounding pressures higher than normal or is it due to the small size?

The deep layer ridge has a lot to do with Gonzalo's robust pressure gradient and higher winds. For example, surface observations today in Bermuda have ranged been between 1025 to 1023mb. With higher background surface pressures over the western Atlantic, an intensifying compact cyclone such as Gonzalo could attain wind speeds above what is typical for that pressure range. Additionally, if Gonzalo's structure holds together over night and it continues to intensify, it could reach category 4 status tomorrow and still be above 950 mb.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
500 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014

...GONZALO BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 66.0W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 770 MI...1240 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO.

[HurricaneRyan]

So the storm actually did some good amount of damage in the Islands?

Gonzalo seems to be a combo of Fabian & Igor I'm assuming

[cycloneye]

Very very close / over Bermuda track to Bermuda as a major.

[Extratropical94]

Very very close/ over Bermuda track to Bermuda as a major.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... 05W_sm.gif

Looks like "Mermuda" on that map.

[northjaxpro]

The latest track forecast from NHC did shift the center closer to a direct landfall to the island by Friday.

[supercane4867]

Satellite presentation continues to improve, won't be surprised if recon finds a high-end Cat.3

[supercane4867]

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.5 / 958.5mb/102.0kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.5 5.8 5.8

Center Temp : +0.2C Cloud Region Temp : -64.3C

Scene Type : EYE

[Blown Away]

Wow, seems like forever since we have seen this type of system in the Atlantic Basin... Looks like he is gonna make a run for Bermuda... Two middle of the ocean islands, Bermuda & Hawaii, look to have land falling systems almost at the same time...

[RainbowAppleJackDash]

GONZALO IS A CAT 3!!!!!!!! SPREAD THE WORD, but I feel sorry for those facing the storm

[TJRE]

Captivating



GOES PROJECT SCIENCE

http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/

[CrazyC83]

Something tells me Recon might find a whopper...

[Hammy]

Any chance of a special advisory if it's found to be significantly stronger?

[floridasun78]

this becoming classic hurr first this year

[floridasun78]

i dont see special advisory that in open sea

[supercane4867]

Extrap. 954mb

[CrazyC83]

Sorry about that, posted wrong thread.