Eyewall is noticably shrinking, clould top on western side warming and there is a lot of dry air infiltrating the western side.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
Significant Weakening?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
vortex100
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 75
- Joined: Wed Aug 13, 2003 10:10 am
- Location: Fayetteville, GA
- Contact:
Let's face it, this system is running into significant trouble right now. The east side of the storm still looks good, but the shear on the west side has removed much of the convective activity on that side. An analysis of the 500mb-200mb levels shows the problem with shear it is encountering. However, wind forecasts at those levels show a large drop in the shear tonight into tomorrow morning. Shear will pick up again Wednesday into Thursday as the trough to the southwest begins affecting the flow in advance of Isabel. This storm will likely drop into the cat 3 range by tonight and regain a little strength on Tuesday.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Ulf and 14 guests