ATL: Ex-NINE - Models

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gatorcane
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#141 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:19 pm

18z GFS is really ramping this up in the NW Caribbean
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#142 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:33 pm

gatorcane wrote:18z GFS is really ramping this up in the NW Caribbean


Come on Gator...You can't post something like that without giving us the details. It's like doing a voiceover for an upcoming action movie but not providing the trailer for it!!! :Can:

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Re:

#143 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:33 pm

gatorcane wrote:18z GFS is really ramping this up in the NW Caribbean


Image

Indeed..Lets see if it winds down like previous runs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#144 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:35 pm

Image

204 hrs
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#145 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:40 pm

GFS is destroying us here in South Florida again!!!
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#146 Postby WPBWeather » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:42 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:GFS is destroying us here in South Florida again!!!


Sort of like Godzilla not liking Tokyo.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#147 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:45 pm

Image

Landfall Naples...No real depreciation this round.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#148 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:48 pm

:uarrow: Halloween surprise right there!!! Until I see the Euro jump on board I'll take this with a grain of salt and call it what it is... :spam:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#149 Postby HURRICANELONNY » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:50 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Image

Landfall Naples...No real depreciation this round.


GFS= Get Florida Soon
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#150 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:56 pm

Image

For continuity Exit WPB ...way too far out for anything but entertainment
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#151 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:57 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:GFS is destroying us here in South Florida again!!!

mu certainly is persistent in south florida hits...one of these days it will strike gold
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#152 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:57 pm

ok gfs still doing monster system like done for whole summer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#153 Postby SFLcane » Tue Oct 21, 2014 5:59 pm

likely another phantom storm in time for Halloween. NHC no longer expecting development in the Caribbean
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#154 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:00 pm

gfs crying wolf
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Re:

#155 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:02 pm

floridasun78 wrote:gfs crying wolf


the NAVGEM and GEM also have shown something similar the past couple of days off and on.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#156 Postby JtSmarts » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:04 pm

LOL the GFS certainly must have a thing against Florida :lol: however there was one time it ended up being right (Debby-12) hopefully that's not the case this time.
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Re: Re:

#157 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:05 pm

gatorcane wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:gfs crying wolf


the NAVGEM and GEM also have shown something similar the past couple of days off and on.


Euro Was similar today minus the organized storm part...These will change another 20 times but this afternoon all agree on a storm or afternoon shower crossing FL from the SW to NE.
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Re: Re:

#158 Postby WPBWeather » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:12 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
gatorcane wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:gfs crying wolf


the NAVGEM and GEM also have shown something similar the past couple of days off and on.


Euro Was similar today minus the organized storm part...These will change another 20 times but this afternoon all agree on a storm or afternoon shower crossing FL from the SW to NE.

Correct. One or the other-or something in between. I subscribe to Weatherbell and, according to their famous Met, the CMC and Chinese models like a strong storm next week.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#159 Postby Alyono » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:23 pm

WOLF! WOLF! WOLF!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#160 Postby blp » Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:29 pm

Amazing how the perspective has changed. The Euro has certainly earned the respect it gets but it is not perfect. Can you imagine if the Euro was showing the GFS scenario. The news agencies would be telling of the impending doom. Some on the board would go nuts and start storm prep (I include myself). Amazing how one model has so much power now over the others when years ago there was more balance. I remember when the GFDL was awesome and only model to pick up the SW turn Katrina did to hit Miami-Dade head on and the SW dive of IKE over Cuba. Times have changed...

I wonder have all the other models gone bad or is the Euro just that good?
Last edited by blp on Tue Oct 21, 2014 6:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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