well, well, well

chadtm80 · #1 Postby **chadtm80** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:08 pm

Looks like izzy is moving NW - NNW now.. Guess that means the NHC and the proffesional mets on this board were right after all heh?? Sure hope everyone gives credit where credit is do.. Some may even owe some apologies Good Call once again guys!!! On behalf of the entire staff here at storm2k: Thank you!!! I cant express how important you are to us here at storm2k.. Not only are you teaching us, but your also saving lives... THANKS!!!!

#2 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:09 pm

She might even be trying to get her act back together after taking a beating this morning from dry air.

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:11 pm

Yes Kudos for NHC and all here that know all the science of forecasting hurricanes and weather in general is concerned.

310 I see it moving.

#4 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:11 pm

Thanks. I think there will be a noticable vacancy on the part of some, however. Grodynamic processes kept them going in a straight line

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:12 pm

Yes low pressure that eye is more smaller meaning possible intensification again.

#6 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:15 pm

I meant GYRODYNAMIC...sorry bahamawx...didn't mean to misname your theory.

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:16 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Looks like izzy is moving NW - NNW now.. Guess that means the NHC and the proffesional mets on this board were right after all heh?? Sure hope everyone gives credit where credit is do.. Some may even owe some apologies Good Call once again guys!!! On behalf of the entire staff here at storm2k: Thank you!!! I cant express how important you are to us here at storm2k.. Not only are you teaching us, but your also saving lives... THANKS!!!!

I made my apology both public and privately :wink:

I won't doubt the "pros" ever again!!! :oops:

GalvestonDuck · #8 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:19 pm

Vigilance in regards to a storm is okay. Be ready...then be thankful when it doesn't head your way. :wink:

chadtm80 · #9 Postby **chadtm80** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:21 pm

Great saying Duck :-)

Steve H. · #10 Postby **Steve H.** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:24 pm

I wouldn't be so sure its on the definitive NW/NNW move. The eye of this system is obsured by blowoff clouds and if it kept the alledged 310 motion I think shes off the coast for the life cycle. She's pretty much in a stall right now with a WNW drift IMO. Once she gets spun up again (another 3 hours) I believe a WNW motion will resume for another 18 hours, then a NW turn. The shortwave that is to steer her northward is coming into the Pacific NW now. If she stalls out long enuf, she may not see the east coast at all. Let's hope so anyhow. Cheers!!

#11 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:26 pm

ditto...steve...it ain't over till it's over....no disrespect to anyone..... :wink:

#12 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:33 pm

Hey cyclone...that is what I was thinkng earlier. The storm appears to be in a transition mode from an annular to a classic structure. There is cooling tops in the eastern quad now and the western eyewall is filling in.

What I would want people to learn from all of this is: Don't forecast 3 days from now by what you see in the last 3 hours. Little wobbles happen and storms pulse up and down. You can't take a nowcast and turn it into a 72-120 hour forecast. So many people were nailing the lid into Isabel's coffin this morning because of her poor satellite appearance when all she was doing was restructuring herself from a large eye to a small one. A storm can't do that without some pain. When she gets up there and touches the westerlies and her outflwo has access to the jet stream...and the gulfstream waters...she won't be a cat 5...and probably not a cat 4...but a strong 3 is possible and a 3 is likley. Luckily she will be moving fast.

njbeachwx · #13 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:36 pm

Don't go to that "other board" I have never seen so many Johnny come latelys run Izzy into the ground. Please hope they never find this board.

#14 Postby **Stephanie** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:38 pm

Great job to our pro & amateur mets!

Thanks for all of your valuable information and insight!

GalvestonDuck · #15 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:39 pm

If they do, our mods will take care of 'em! :grab:

#16 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 1:41 pm

zoeyann · #17 Postby **zoeyann** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 4:02 pm

I said Florida, and am eager to eat crow for dinner. And I offer a pat on the back and apperiecation to the professionals who called it correctly. I shall not doubt again!

#18 Postby **Deenac813** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 5:28 pm

I have to admit that I did doubt the turn about 3-4 days ago.. ( I did not state it on here just to myself) However, once the pros were saying she is going to turn, I really felt much better & now she is turning! I want to say thanks to all the pros & everyone else that kept their heads & were patient will me & other Floridians.. you guys are the best!

deb_in_nc · #19 Postby **deb_in_nc** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 7:17 pm

Thanks guys. You're at the top of your game. I thank God that you were right. Not to mention that you were at this board to post. Thanks for being here.

Debbie

paradoxsixnine · #20 Postby **paradoxsixnine** » Mon Sep 15, 2003 7:22 pm

Let's hear it for The Mets!!!

well, well, well

well, well, well

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