ATL: Ex NINE

[caneman]

This buoy:
Station 42056 is measuring 1007 millibars which is 100 or 200 miles away. Some deep grays are bursting in that area.

[stormlover2013]

Guys this is done

[Dean4Storms]

Some deep convection along the Coast down there this morning, if it moves ESE it might regenerate!

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms centered over southeastern
Yucatan, Belize, and the adjacent northwestern Caribbean Sea is
associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine. Surface
pressures are rising in the area, and redevelopment is unlikely
while the system drifts eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[gatorcane]

:uarrow: With respect to the above official forecast

94L has some healthy towers starting to firing up in the NE quadrant of the low atm on live satellite.

http://i61.tinypic.com/1y8v9s.gif

Yeah I see that, nice how towers are blowing up. I was a little surprised by that outlook from the NHC. Convection has been quite impressive though if pressures are rising the convection should gradually diminish, however, the remnants just got over water not that long ago. Pressures may begin to fall again.

Latest image of high towers, right off the Yucatan coast:

[gatorcane]

Text best track update:

At 1200 UTC, 24 October 2014, LOW INVEST (AL94) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 18.4°N and 87.5°W. The current intensity was 20 kt and the center was moving at 8 kt at a bearing of 80 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb.

[Sanibel]

Won't know until later tonight since most of the surface feature is still over land. SST's are high in that area.

[wxman57]

I don't see anything significant there, just a couple of thunderstorms. No rotation and rapidly rising pressures in the area. No sign of any 20kt winds. Plenty of dry air and a strong westerly jet associated with the frontal boundary just to the north. It doesn't matter how warm the water is if the atmosphere is unfavorable for development.

[stormlover2013]

guys this system is done!!!! lets be realist here!!

[floridasun78]

let see nhc dis-active invest and you can say it dead not dead yet nhc kill invest

[floridasun78]

so you both wx and storm you cannot it dead untill nhc say it is dis-active invest

[stormlover2013]

wx is one of the best around and I mean nation, better than Most NHC guys!!!

[psyclone]

guys this system is done!!!! lets be realist here!!

Your foot stomping pronouncements amuse me. I don't think much of this invest (a 1 in 10 lotto ticket from the NHC seems reasonable) nor was I impressed with TD 9. Having said that, were a similar system tracking toward the northwestern gulf me thinks you'd be singing a different tune. Let's just watch and see what does (or most likely doesn't happen) and enjoy the ride.

[wxman57]

Bones doesn't wait for the NHC, the NHC waits for Bones. He's "called it" as of 10:15am CDT. Cold front dipping into NW Caribbean, jet stream edging south over what's left of TD Nine/94L. 94L is heading into the light...

[stormlover2013]

wx is one of the best around and I mean nation, better than Most NHC guys!!!

no I wouldn't be because I know this system is just going to be a rain maker, I am not a wish caster I am a realist.....

[floridasun78]

Bones doesn't wait for the NHC, the NHC waits for Bones. He's "called it" as of 10:15am CDT. Cold front dipping into NW Caribbean, jet stream edging south over what's left of TD Nine/94L. 94L is heading into the light...

http://home.comcast.net/~cgh57/flatline.gif

you going call nhc tell them it dead !!!!!

[northjaxpro]

Well, Bones has made his proclamation, so let's move on I guess.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

I had a few Jack & coke last night, and I see what you see.

[HurriGuy]

I see the circulation y'all see, but I think it is too far north. It looks more in a position to get absorbed with the front like the NHC noted.

And you can see the general motion looks ENE.

[HurriGuy]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

Yeah look at the broad picture. General motion of all the clusters of convection are heading out to sea.