Isabel looking better by the minute

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ALhurricane
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Isabel looking better by the minute

#1 Postby ALhurricane » Mon Sep 15, 2003 2:51 pm

It is very apparent from the latest satellite imagery that Isabel is completing the transformation from annular hurricane to a "classic" hurricane. I won't explain the difference here because Air Force Methad a wonderful explanation.

Deep convection is once again wrapping around the west side of the eye and the convection continues to deepen. By later this evening I would not be surprised to see a clear eye once again although much smaller than what we saw the past several days. Plus I think the weakening trend will cease and there might be some strengthening. The way I see it now is a Cat 3 around (around 125 mph) making landfall.
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#2 Postby Stormchaser16 » Mon Sep 15, 2003 2:54 pm

The satellite appearance is yes getting better, however i expect the actual strength to remain on a weakening trend, leveling out later tonight.
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#3 Postby ALhurricane » Mon Sep 15, 2003 2:57 pm

I should have been more clear. I don't think we'll see any possible stregthening until tomorrow. I think the weakening will level off tonight, however.
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chadtm80

#4 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Sep 15, 2003 3:02 pm

Agree 100% AL


BTW here is air force met explanation you were talking about

I wanted to exlpain what I think is happening to Izzy. As you know...she has been what is called an Annular hurricane. Annular hurricanes have rather large eyes...no banding features and rather warm (relatively speaking) cloud tops. They also maintain intesity for longer periods of time. The are symetrical...round.

What I believe we have witnesses last night and this morning is the transitioning of an annular storm into a classic structured hurricane. The eye has contracted. There are now banding features. She is not as symetrical. Cloud tops have cooled.


My question is, what if anything causes it to form one way or the other??
Last edited by chadtm80 on Mon Sep 15, 2003 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Mon Sep 15, 2003 3:05 pm

East coast!!!! don't let your guard down..all of you be prepared and be safe!! :wink:
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wrkh99

#6 Postby wrkh99 » Mon Sep 15, 2003 3:19 pm

Soon to be a cat5 again
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 15, 2003 3:21 pm

No not cat 5 anymore.
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wrkh99

#8 Postby wrkh99 » Mon Sep 15, 2003 3:23 pm

lots of warm water in front of this storm .
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