Texas Winter 2014-2015

[cycloneye]

I don't live in Texas but I am here posting great news for you to be delighted this upcoming winter. El Nino is around the corner!!.

[Portastorm]

I don't live in Texas but I am here posting great news for you to be delighted this upcoming winter. El Nino is around the corner!!.

The news will be welcomed greatly by Texas!

[Ralph's Weather]

The middle of the month is still looking very cold with some moisture. It is way too early to say what the surface effects will be, but it will be interesting to see how the models handle things in the coming days as Nuri transitions from a powerful typhoon to an impressive Aleutian low. However it plays out it appears that this is just the first Arctic outbreak of many in the next few months.

[natlib]

From Larry Cosgrove:

Quick update in regard to the upcoming Arctic intrusion between November 11 an 19 (and yes, it looks to qualify as both a cAk vortex and an Arctic air mass....). While the standard operational GFS scheme came up up with a fairly tepid outlook in the 6 - 10 and 11 - 15 day periods, the high resolution version and ensemble series showed ASTOUNDING drops in temperature most anywhere above the Gulf Coast and to the right of the Rocky Mountains.

Here is the deal: the unusual ridge signature covering the -EPO, +PNA, -AO and -NAO positions is a classic scenario for record cold in the Midwest and Northeast. And, since we see a southern branch energy component coursing into the full-latitude trough (core Arctic values over James Bay), there will likely be a Miller-A type of storm track with perhaps three cases between November 11 and 20.

[Ralph's Weather]

From Larry Cosgrove:

Quick update in regard to the upcoming Arctic intrusion between November 11 an 19 (and yes, it looks to qualify as both a cAk vortex and an Arctic air mass....). While the standard operational GFS scheme came up up with a fairly tepid outlook in the 6 - 10 and 11 - 15 day periods, the high resolution version and ensemble series showed ASTOUNDING drops in temperature most anywhere above the Gulf Coast and to the right of the Rocky Mountains.

Here is the deal: the unusual ridge signature covering the -EPO, +PNA, -AO and -NAO positions is a classic scenario for record cold in the Midwest and Northeast. And, since we see a southern branch energy component coursing into the full-latitude trough (core Arctic values over James Bay), there will likely be a Miller-A type of storm track with perhaps three cases between November 11 and 20.

Exciting stuff there. If we discount the Op GFS run things are looking on track for cold that would be impressive in January.

[gatorcane]

I posted this in the Texas Fall thread, but maybe worth posting here too...
Long-range ECMWF shows most of the country east of the rockies below normal to well below normal, by day 10

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Hello boys!




Not a new one but it does tickle my fancy!

[CaptinCrunch]

You ready to deliver that cold and snow I ordered last season? Or do I need to send in a sub tropical low to get what I'm asking for?........lol

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Hello boys!
*snip

Not a new one but it does tickle my fancy!

You ready to deliver that cold and snow I ordered last season? Or do I need to send in a sub tropical low to get what I'm asking for?........lol

I only promise cold .... the rest is up to you!

Will be aiming for one particular fellow down there....


Hi Darth!

[CaptinCrunch]

2015 Nov & Dec Weather Forecast for Texas-Oklahoma from Old farmers Almanac.

NOVEMBER 2014: temperature 57° (avg.); precipitation 3" (1" below avg. north, 1" above south); Nov 1-5: Sunny, warm; Nov 6-8: Sunny, cool; Nov 9-14: Rain, then sunny, cool; Nov 15-20: Showers, warm; Nov 21-23: Sunny north, rainy south; cool; Nov 24-26: Sunny, nice; Nov 27-30: Rainy, cool.

DECEMBER 2014: temperature 53° (1° below avg. north, 1° above south); precipitation 2" (0.5" below avg.); Dec 1-10: Rain, then sunny, turning warm; Dec 11-20: Showers, then sunny, mild; Dec 21-25: Snow north, rain south, then sunny, cold; Dec 26-31: Sunny north, rainy periods south; cold.

[weatherdude1108]

Here is a good write up from Dr. Jeff Masters on his Winter Outlook:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=2853

[Tireman4]

Hello boys!
*snip

Not a new one but it does tickle my fancy!

You ready to deliver that cold and snow I ordered last season? Or do I need to send in a sub tropical low to get what I'm asking for?........lol

I only promise cold .... the rest is up to you!

Darth Nuri????? LOL

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

It's sticking now boys....may you have LOTS more than this to SHOW ME!!!

[Portastorm]

Oh Screamer ... aren't you sweet?! Thinking of us and all that.

Texas awaits your gift.

[Ntxw]

Ah yes, the snow written words good work Ms Screamer. I remember it well when I did for the winter of wxman57's (content) discontent. Oh how wrong I was...

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Oh Screamer ... aren't you sweet?! Thinking of us and all that.

Texas awaits your gift.

I'm a whole heck of a lot more excited over you folks getting snow than me Porta!

Ah yes, the snow written words good work Ms Screamer. I remember it well when I did for the winter of wxman57's (content) discontent. Oh how wrong I was...

I WANT TO SEE SNOWMEN THIS TIME NTXW!!

[Tireman4]

Ah yes, the snow written words good work Ms Screamer. I remember it well when I did for the winter of wxman57's (content) discontent. Oh how wrong I was...

I think this winter will finish him off....lol

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

One more gift for you fellows (I think you might need them) : http://globalnews.ca/news/1661637/5-thi ... onditions/

[orangeblood]

The European continues to show two winter storms moving through the southern plains over the next week to 10 days....one moving along the arctic frontal boundary early this weekend, then an upper level trough towards the end of the weekend into early next week. Something that bears watching considering it looks very similar to what happened in mid November of 1976, one of the analogs fits for this winter. Start dusting off the winter weather gear!!

[Ntxw]

The European continues to show two winter storms moving through the southern plains over the next week to 10 days....one moving along the arctic frontal boundary early this weekend, then an upper level trough towards the end of the weekend into early next week. Something that bears watching considering it looks very similar to what happened in mid November of 1976, one of the analogs fits for this winter. Start dusting off the winter weather gear!!

We're all discussing it in the fall thread, we won't be posting in here unless it's regarding DJF forecasts or until December comes per Portastorm. Come join us!

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