northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: That's right Ntwx. The origin of the next cold spell doesn't look to be from the Arctic regions like this current one the nation is experiencing. However, it will still be below normal and the GFS is hinting at a rather potent cold core mid-upper Low developing early next week somewhere from the Southern Plains to the Lower MS Valley next week. Last night's run of the GFS Parallel had the cold core Low actually lowering 500mb heights significantly to along the TX coast and deep into the NW GOM. I actually posted those runs on the Florida thread last night.
Yep, second severe weather season. I'd watch out in dixie in the coming week.
Anyway this is how El Nino works and have below average winters cool to cold. In between cold blasts you have stormy weather keeping averages below. Until the next blast. Then if you're lucky you can thread the needle and intersect the two, that'll happen after mid December. Last year had a freak amount of cold blasts, dipping into the teens multiple times, but in between lack of stormy weather things were allowed to warm up quickly with transient air masses. Lower heights is the key to prolonging below normal.
Yeah, the potential for a wet pattern may be coming for the Florida peninsula and along the Gulf Coast and Deep South if you believe the GFS for the Sunday - Tuesday period next week.
