
strongest part of eyewall nearing land.
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xtyphooncyclonex wrote:GFS run has near-landfall or landfall perhaps over the northern tip of Cebu
WINDS are getting stronger. It's getting scarier, but it's not yet it.
Ozonepete, just in case the GFS run would pan out, how strong would the winds be here?
ozonepete wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote:GFS run has near-landfall or landfall perhaps over the northern tip of Cebu
WINDS are getting stronger. It's getting scarier, but it's not yet it.
Ozonepete, just in case the GFS run would pan out, how strong would the winds be here?
Hey there friend! I hope you are staying safe and being careful. I'm getting quite sure that your sustained winds, which should come from the west, will not get higher than about 40-50 mph and your gusts 60 to 75 mph. Please keep us informed on your conditions once in a while but only when conditions are safe. But I think you have dodged a bullet here.
dexterlabio wrote:It is so calm in Manila and I can still see the stars and bright moon. It is also very chilly.Feels weird, it's like there's no tropical cyclones nearby...
ozonepete wrote:dexterlabio wrote:It is so calm in Manila and I can still see the stars and bright moon. It is also very chilly.Feels weird, it's like there's no tropical cyclones nearby...
LOL you think that's chilly? It's 43F here in NYC right now. Although the fact that you feel chilly tells us that your typhoon is ingesting very cool dry air from over you and this will help weaken it considerably. Some good news! Stay safe - I am hitting the hay - very tired.
dexterlabio wrote:PAGASA announced the landfall five minutes ago in the municipalities of Dolores and Oras, Eastern Samar.
ozonepete wrote:Some recent quotes from here:
"Looks to be moving west, maybe even hinting at a hair south of west:"
"It seems to me that during the past several hours it has been on an almost due west heading."
"Yeah, due west for the past 6 hours...and the last few frames indicate a south of west movement."
Wobble watching, lol.
Krit-tonkla wrote:Center still off the coast per JTWC
TPPN11 PGTW 061220
A. TYPHOON 22W (HAGUPIT)
B. 06/1132Z
C. 12.02N
D. 125.83E
E. THREE/MTSAT
F. T5.5/6.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 5.5. MET AND PT
AGREE WITH DT. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CHAPPOTIN
NDG wrote:ozonepete wrote:Some recent quotes from here:
"Looks to be moving west, maybe even hinting at a hair south of west:"
"It seems to me that during the past several hours it has been on an almost due west heading."
"Yeah, due west for the past 6 hours...and the last few frames indicate a south of west movement."
Wobble watching, lol.
Most times I have agreed with you but this time I have to say you dropped the ball with this Typhoon
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