Texas Winter 2014-2015

[ronyan]

If the pressure in Monatana exceeds 1064mb it will break the CONUS record for highest all time pressure, that was in Dec 1983 (Miles City, MT). Jan 1962 had a pressure reading of 1063.3 mb in Montana. Doubt that will happen, but would be interesting to say the least.

[aggiecutter]

What is the gfs showing?

Snow for Austin:

[TexasF6]

Love the snow in AUSTIN!!!

[ronyan]

What model are those maps based on? The operational GFS doesn't show snow or frozen precip for Austin, PGFS is closer but nada still at this time.

[ndale]

Excerpt from EWX forecast:
AN UPPER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING DOWN
THE WEST COAST ON TUESDAY CLOSES OFF OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND THEN OPENS UP AND MOVE ACROSS TEXAS
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPS TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY LEADING TO AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN INITIALLY ALONG THE
RIO GRANDE...THEN SPREADING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
PERIODS OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAIN OR SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A THREAT FOR WINTER TYPE
PRECIPITATION DURING THE LATE NIGHT INTO MORNING HOURS MAINLY FOR
PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY (NEW
YEARS DAY) MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A THICK LAYER ABOVE
FREEZING DEVELOPING ON TOP OF A SHALLOW SUBFREEZING BOUNDARY
LAYER. FREEZING RAIN IS THE LIKELY WINTER TYPE PRECIPITATION THAT
IS EXPECTED WHERE TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. HOWEVER...NO
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. SHOULD THE RAIN BECOME
MORE CONVECTIVE...THEN SOME SLEET MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER A GREATER
AREA. FINALLY...THERE MAY BE A THREAT OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WESTERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU PRIOR TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE WARM LAYER ALOFT.
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE LOWER LEVELS WARM ABOVE FREEZING WITH
ONLY A COLD RAIN EXPECTED.

[dhweather]

Not. Gonna. Happen. Wintry precip, that is.

We will be lucky to get some rain, but if it is like recent events, we will be lucky to get > 0.25 "

[TexasF6]

It's -64 in Northern Canada.

[aggiecutter]

:uarrow: What model are those maps based on? The operational GFS doesn't show snow or frozen precip for Austin, PGFS is closer but nada still at this time.

12z GFS:

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false

[Longhornmaniac8]

Not. Gonna. Happen. Wintry precip, that is.

We will be lucky to get some rain, but if it is like recent events, we will be lucky to get > 0.25 "

Based on what?

[ronyan]

:uarrow: What model are those maps based on? The operational GFS doesn't show snow or frozen precip for Austin, PGFS is closer but nada still at this time.

12z GFS:

http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false

Oh, 288 hrs?
We're into lala land on that one.

[TexasF6]

Just checking King Euro? It puts SNOW in Central Texas in our NYE NYD range. Again, it's the EURO catching on to something.








This is not an official forecast. Refer to NWS for official stuff!

[perk]

Where is everybody, portastorm,wxman57,Ntx,orangeblood?

[davidiowx]

Where is everybody, portastorm,wxman57,Ntx,orangeblood?

It's the calm before the storm

[JDawg512]

They might be sleeping in preparation for some long sleepless nights..

[Tireman4]

Where is everybody, portastorm,wxman57,Ntx,orangeblood?

It's the calm before the storm

Dont forget Srain either....I know he is pouring over his models and updating forecasts...stay tuned...

[perk]

Where is everybody, portastorm,wxman57,Ntx,orangeblood?

It's the calm before the storm

Dont forget Srain either....I know he is pouring over his models and updating forecasts...stay tuned...

He does a great job on our local KHOU forum.

[Tammie]

Where is everybody, portastorm,wxman57,Ntx,orangeblood?

It's the calm before the storm

Dont forget Srain either....I know he is pouring over his models and updating forecasts...stay tuned...

I was assuming they were at evening church services...praying.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Not. Gonna. Happen. Wintry precip, that is.

We will be lucky to get some rain, but if it is like recent events, we will be lucky to get > 0.25 "

I like the way you think. Same here. Weather service was talking doom and gloom for this weekend with rainfall totals of up to 10" by tonight. Most areas received 2 or less.

[KatDaddy]

Its time for rest. A very busy weather week ahead.

[davidiowx]

Where is everybody, portastorm,wxman57,Ntx,orangeblood?

Dont forget Srain either....I know he is pouring over his models and updating forecasts...stay tuned...

He does a great job on our local KHOU forum.

Indeed he does Perk. I really enjoy reading his post as well as wxman57, portastorm, ntxw, orangeblood, texas snowman and tireman4 among others. I am happy to have a local site like this one and KHOU forums to get some great insight on weather around us. I am not a pro met but I have been following weather since I was about 5 years old. Bring on the cold and winter precip (sorry wxman57).