RIP Jangmi...
WPAC: JANGMI - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Tropical Storm
RIP Jangmi...
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
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Not yet. Regeneration and further intensification is likely.
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
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More sovering news: Majority of casualties coming from Cebu and Samar. Cebu was worst hit.
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3857
- Age: 23
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
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Re: Re:
euro6208 wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote::roll:
Final Warning as TD? Too dependent on satellite image.
Nothing there...move on...No LLCC detected...Shredded due to high wind shear...
So?
Earth winds (shown by another member) shows winds of 37 knots, and is still conservative, because of its low bias. Winds may be +-40 knots, but satellite estimates are 20 kts. Best estimate IMO would be 30-35 knots.
I've seen some worse than this.
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Tropical Storm
23W JANGMI 141231 0600 8.3N 120.8E WPAC 20 1007
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Tropical Storm
Continues to get affected by monster shear of 30 knots...The whole area is not favorable for regeneration...
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Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Post-Tropical
It's back...
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TD 23W) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 121.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 119.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND WELL
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS DEVOID OF ANY
DEEP, ORGANIZED CONVECTION. A RECENT 010210Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED 15
TO 20 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE LLCC WITH A LARGE 20 KNOT WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG (20 TO 30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK OUTFLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (THE REMNANTS OF TD 23W) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 121.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 119.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND WELL
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS DEVOID OF ANY
DEEP, ORGANIZED CONVECTION. A RECENT 010210Z ASCAT PASS REVEALED 15
TO 20 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE LLCC WITH A LARGE 20 KNOT WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG (20 TO 30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK OUTFLOW.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
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NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: WPAC: JANGMI - Post-Tropical
Already 54 dead to end and welcome 2014 and 2015...
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
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NWS for the Western Pacific
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xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3857
- Age: 23
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Jangmi is an extremely underestimated storm.
When it crossed Cebu... Although another station in Cebu City recorded 86.9 km/h. We had insane winds... This was the strongest tropical storm that I've ever experienced
Heavy, heavy rain!
When it crossed Cebu... Although another station in Cebu City recorded 86.9 km/h. We had insane winds... This was the strongest tropical storm that I've ever experienced
Heavy, heavy rain!
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REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
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