Texas Winter 2014-2015
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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TeamPlayersBlue
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The GFS is indicating January to be a stormy chilly month. It continues to drop down large HP's but they arent anywhere as cold as they 'should' be. This is interesting.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
srainhoutx wrote:A quick look at observations across Central and E Texas into Western Louisiana show near or just below freezing temperatures at Georgetown near Austin. Temperatures in Lufkin are near 34-36 and in Jasper into the Piney Woods E Texas and Western Louisiana near Dequincy temperatures are near the 34-36F range. Dewpoints here in NW Harris County have dropped to 32 and the air temperature is 39F.
Yeah, the surface temps and dewpoints continue to fall here in Austin. It's going to be real close in the city in terms of icing. Still think we may end up at 32 or 33 which shouldn't be too bad. However, I'm not so confident in that if the trend continues. To show you how much temps in Austin can differ, I live about 9 miles as the crow flies southwest of downtown. When I left my house it was 34 degrees. It was 38-39 when I got downtown this morning for work.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
This may be old news (not sure if someone has posted it yet) but the Winter Weather Advisory in North Texas has been expanded to include the DFW Metroplex for a threat of light freezing rain tonight.
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GRAYSONCO.WX
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Light returns are increasing west of I-35 across northern Texas. Looks like some areas may begin to see a light wintry mixture early (just my opinion, though).
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:srainhoutx wrote:A quick look at observations across Central and E Texas into Western Louisiana show near or just below freezing temperatures at Georgetown near Austin. Temperatures in Lufkin are near 34-36 and in Jasper into the Piney Woods E Texas and Western Louisiana near Dequincy temperatures are near the 34-36F range. Dewpoints here in NW Harris County have dropped to 32 and the air temperature is 39F.
Yeah, the surface temps and dewpoints continue to fall here in Austin. It's going to be real close in the city in terms of icing. Still think we may end up at 32 or 33 which shouldn't be too bad. However, I'm not so confident in that if the trend continues. To show you how much temps in Austin can differ, I live about 9 miles as the crow flies southwest of downtown. When I left my house it was 34 degrees. It was 38-39 when I got downtown this morning for work.
Porta? My dewpoints have dropped from the 30s to 27 degrees in nw Austin. Air temp is now 36. High was supposed to be 36. If this trend sticks I will worry about coming home from church tonight....I did drive across a suspension bridge in New Hampshire through ice fog so I can do it....but what are your thoughts on the dewpoints dropping?
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PineyWoods
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srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
919 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
.UPDATE...
Calls to county officials along the I-10 corridor have confirmed
that road conditions are becoming more treacherous. With
subfreezing temperatures anticipated throughout the day, in
addition to light freezing drizzle, the Winter Storm Warning
bumped up to begin now, as opposed to 6 PM. Additional freezing
precipitation, with potentially heavier amounts, is possible
tonight and early Thursday. Total ice accumulations may approach
1/4 inch in some areas.
Johnson
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
919 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
.UPDATE...
Calls to county officials along the I-10 corridor have confirmed
that road conditions are becoming more treacherous. With
subfreezing temperatures anticipated throughout the day, in
addition to light freezing drizzle, the Winter Storm Warning
bumped up to begin now, as opposed to 6 PM. Additional freezing
precipitation, with potentially heavier amounts, is possible
tonight and early Thursday. Total ice accumulations may approach
1/4 inch in some areas.
Johnson
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:This may be old news (not sure if someone has posted it yet) but the Winter Weather Advisory in North Texas has been expanded to include the DFW Metroplex for a threat of light freezing rain tonight.
Smart move particularly with it being New Years Eve
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
TexasF6 wrote:Portastorm wrote:srainhoutx wrote:A quick look at observations across Central and E Texas into Western Louisiana show near or just below freezing temperatures at Georgetown near Austin. Temperatures in Lufkin are near 34-36 and in Jasper into the Piney Woods E Texas and Western Louisiana near Dequincy temperatures are near the 34-36F range. Dewpoints here in NW Harris County have dropped to 32 and the air temperature is 39F.
Yeah, the surface temps and dewpoints continue to fall here in Austin. It's going to be real close in the city in terms of icing. Still think we may end up at 32 or 33 which shouldn't be too bad. However, I'm not so confident in that if the trend continues. To show you how much temps in Austin can differ, I live about 9 miles as the crow flies southwest of downtown. When I left my house it was 34 degrees. It was 38-39 when I got downtown this morning for work.
Porta? My dewpoints have dropped from the 30s to 27 degrees in nw Austin. Air temp is now 36. High was supposed to be 36. If this trend sticks I will worry about coming home from church tonight....I did drive across a suspension bridge in New Hampshire through ice fog so I can do it....but what are your thoughts on the dewpoints dropping?
I think it's going to be real, REAL close here in the city. But I still think we may end up a degree or two too warm. I think outlying areas (Spicewood, Dripping Springs, Cedar Park/Leander, outskirts of Georgetown/Round Rock) could definitely see some icing later tonight on bridges/overpasses/elevated objects. IMO, if we get anything in the main metro area, it'll happen between midnight and 8 a.m. But I'll also say this, some of the models I looked at this morning showed heavier precip tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Some scattered sleet in the AUS area wouldn't surprise me at all.
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srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Morning briefing from Jeff:
Multiple impact Winter Storm heading for Texas.
Cold rain expected for all of SE TX with ice likely over portions of SW, WC, and N TX this afternoon-early Friday.
Winter Storm Warnings for ice accumulation in effect from Del Rio to west of Fort Worth. Travel west of I-35 to the New Mexico border is strongly discouraged due to ongoing roadway icing…conditions will worsen this evening into New Year’s Day.
Cold arctic cold is entrenched over the state this morning with temperatures ranging from 4 at Amarillo to 32 at Dallas and 39 at Houston. Upstream temperature at Denver fell to a recorded low of -19 this morning shattering the previous 116 year old record of -11. Cold air will continue to funnel southward across TX today with temperatures showing very little recovery under a thickening cloud deck and continued cold air advection. Radar is showing echoes approaching Houston from the WSW, but surface observation show none of this is reaching the ground due to the dry sub cloud layer. Moist advection above the surface cold dome will continue as a strong storm system moves into the SW US resulting in SW upper level flow across TX. Freezing drizzle and freezing rain will continue all day across west and northwest TX resulting in significant surface travel concerns.
Tonight:
Coastal trough begins to sharpen along the lower TX coast in association with incoming slow moving SW US storm. Lead short wave ejects out of this system late tonight with increasing lift over the surface cold air. Expect an increase in light rain and drizzle after midnight across SE TX in association with isentropic processes and gradual saturation of the dry surface layer. Surface temperatures will remain above freezing and do not expect any freezing drizzle/rain over any portion of SE TX tonight. There is some debate on how quickly the surface layer moistens allowing drizzle to reach the ground…given the radar trends this morning will lean toward a slightly faster onset of drizzle and light rain overnight…but mainly think this will be after midnight.
For areas west of I-35 onset of precipitation will fall into a cold sub-freezing layer resulting in freezing rain/drizzle. Overnight model guidance has come in with higher QPF over portions of N TX resulting in an upgrade of the winter weather products to winter storm warnings for ice accumulation. Travel to these areas is strongly discouraged after dark tonight until about noon on Thursday. Icing of roadways will make travel extremely dangerous.
Thursday:
Lift increases over the region with scattered showers moving northward off the western Gulf of Mexico. Surface cold dome will remain anchored in place with temperatures holding steady in the upper 30’s to near 40 for most of the day. NE surface winds will begin to increase as coastal low develops east of Brownsville in association with downstream height falls spreading over TX from the storm system to our west. Rain, clouds, and increasing winds along with cold temperatures will result in a raw first day of 2015.
Friday-Saturday:
Main upper level storm moves across the area with widespread rainfall and some thunderstorms likely. Coastal low will move from near KBRO toward KLCH over this period allowing the warm sector to back toward the coast on Friday. Do not expect the warm front to penetrate inland with the exception being possibly from Galveston Bay to Beaumont late Friday. This will keep much of the area in the cold sector with temperatures held in the 40’s with widespread rainfall. With the warm front being held near the coast or offshore, will not be concerned with any severe threat for coastal or inland sections…again will need to watch the narrow corridor from Galveston Bay to Beaumont where the warm front might push inland.
Main impacts will be widespread and prolonged light to moderate rainfall. Rainfall amounts Thurs-Sat will average 1-2 inches with isolated amounts upwards of 3 inches. Not expecting any flooding due to the slow nature of the rainfall but overall run-off into mainstem rivers is likely due to the widespread prolonged nature of the event.
Latest guidance wants to slow the ejection of the upper system down some and this may result in rain chances lingering into late Saturday evening.
Marine:
Coastal waters will feel strong impacts from this system with warm front cutting across this area. Additionally, NE to ENE winds ahead of the lower TX coast surface low will promote tidal increase along the upper TX and SW LA coast. Expect tides to run .5-1.0 ft above normal by early Friday and could reach 1.5 ft by late Friday. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over the nearshore and offshore waters Friday and Friday night as strong dynamics overspread the unstable offshore warm sector.
Aviation:
Poor flying conditions expected at all SE TX terminals for the next 72 hours as low clouds, fog, light rain, and reduced visibilities are all likely. All liquid at all SE TX terminals, but upstream airports at DFW, Waco, Austin, Lubbock, Midland, Amarillo, and Oklahoma City will likely see varying degrees of freezing/frozen precipitation resulting in de-icing protocol and delays. Should see I-35 terminals improve to all liquid by noon on Thursday, but not expecting much improvement at the other locations. Expect both departure and arrival delays locally and across the southern plains.
Multiple impact Winter Storm heading for Texas.
Cold rain expected for all of SE TX with ice likely over portions of SW, WC, and N TX this afternoon-early Friday.
Winter Storm Warnings for ice accumulation in effect from Del Rio to west of Fort Worth. Travel west of I-35 to the New Mexico border is strongly discouraged due to ongoing roadway icing…conditions will worsen this evening into New Year’s Day.
Cold arctic cold is entrenched over the state this morning with temperatures ranging from 4 at Amarillo to 32 at Dallas and 39 at Houston. Upstream temperature at Denver fell to a recorded low of -19 this morning shattering the previous 116 year old record of -11. Cold air will continue to funnel southward across TX today with temperatures showing very little recovery under a thickening cloud deck and continued cold air advection. Radar is showing echoes approaching Houston from the WSW, but surface observation show none of this is reaching the ground due to the dry sub cloud layer. Moist advection above the surface cold dome will continue as a strong storm system moves into the SW US resulting in SW upper level flow across TX. Freezing drizzle and freezing rain will continue all day across west and northwest TX resulting in significant surface travel concerns.
Tonight:
Coastal trough begins to sharpen along the lower TX coast in association with incoming slow moving SW US storm. Lead short wave ejects out of this system late tonight with increasing lift over the surface cold air. Expect an increase in light rain and drizzle after midnight across SE TX in association with isentropic processes and gradual saturation of the dry surface layer. Surface temperatures will remain above freezing and do not expect any freezing drizzle/rain over any portion of SE TX tonight. There is some debate on how quickly the surface layer moistens allowing drizzle to reach the ground…given the radar trends this morning will lean toward a slightly faster onset of drizzle and light rain overnight…but mainly think this will be after midnight.
For areas west of I-35 onset of precipitation will fall into a cold sub-freezing layer resulting in freezing rain/drizzle. Overnight model guidance has come in with higher QPF over portions of N TX resulting in an upgrade of the winter weather products to winter storm warnings for ice accumulation. Travel to these areas is strongly discouraged after dark tonight until about noon on Thursday. Icing of roadways will make travel extremely dangerous.
Thursday:
Lift increases over the region with scattered showers moving northward off the western Gulf of Mexico. Surface cold dome will remain anchored in place with temperatures holding steady in the upper 30’s to near 40 for most of the day. NE surface winds will begin to increase as coastal low develops east of Brownsville in association with downstream height falls spreading over TX from the storm system to our west. Rain, clouds, and increasing winds along with cold temperatures will result in a raw first day of 2015.
Friday-Saturday:
Main upper level storm moves across the area with widespread rainfall and some thunderstorms likely. Coastal low will move from near KBRO toward KLCH over this period allowing the warm sector to back toward the coast on Friday. Do not expect the warm front to penetrate inland with the exception being possibly from Galveston Bay to Beaumont late Friday. This will keep much of the area in the cold sector with temperatures held in the 40’s with widespread rainfall. With the warm front being held near the coast or offshore, will not be concerned with any severe threat for coastal or inland sections…again will need to watch the narrow corridor from Galveston Bay to Beaumont where the warm front might push inland.
Main impacts will be widespread and prolonged light to moderate rainfall. Rainfall amounts Thurs-Sat will average 1-2 inches with isolated amounts upwards of 3 inches. Not expecting any flooding due to the slow nature of the rainfall but overall run-off into mainstem rivers is likely due to the widespread prolonged nature of the event.
Latest guidance wants to slow the ejection of the upper system down some and this may result in rain chances lingering into late Saturday evening.
Marine:
Coastal waters will feel strong impacts from this system with warm front cutting across this area. Additionally, NE to ENE winds ahead of the lower TX coast surface low will promote tidal increase along the upper TX and SW LA coast. Expect tides to run .5-1.0 ft above normal by early Friday and could reach 1.5 ft by late Friday. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible over the nearshore and offshore waters Friday and Friday night as strong dynamics overspread the unstable offshore warm sector.
Aviation:
Poor flying conditions expected at all SE TX terminals for the next 72 hours as low clouds, fog, light rain, and reduced visibilities are all likely. All liquid at all SE TX terminals, but upstream airports at DFW, Waco, Austin, Lubbock, Midland, Amarillo, and Oklahoma City will likely see varying degrees of freezing/frozen precipitation resulting in de-icing protocol and delays. Should see I-35 terminals improve to all liquid by noon on Thursday, but not expecting much improvement at the other locations. Expect both departure and arrival delays locally and across the southern plains.
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Rgv20
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Currently sitting at 42 with Drizzle, miserable weather but I love it! 
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
NWS San Angelo is discouraging any travel in Mason and San Saba counties and is describing the road conditions there as "dangerous."
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srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
821 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
080>082-258-311800-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...
MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...ALPINE...
FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON...
SANDERSON...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
821 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 /721 AM MST WED DEC 31 2014/
...WINTER'S ICY GRIP...
A MIX OF LIGHT BUT PERSISTENT WINTER PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST
18 HOURS...MAINLY FROM FREEZING DRIZZLE/FOG HAS RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND THE TRANS
PECOS. AS OF 730 AM CST/630 AM MST THE MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION
HAS LESSENED SOME WITH MAINLY PATCHES OF LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT
FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG BEING REPORTED. THE LATEST
FORECAST DATA DOES INDICATE THAT THE WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL
GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY THE AFTERNOON AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS IS SLOWLY DECREASING. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT RISE ABOVE FREEZING TODAY IN MOST AREAS AND THUS THE ICE WILL
HAVE LITTLE CHANCE TO MELT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALONG WITH
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS RECOMMEND NOT TO TRAVEL TODAY UNLESS
ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY.
WINTER WEATHER CONCERNS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND THE SOUTHERN BASIN. AS A STRONGER
DISTURBANCE TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT WINTER PRECIPITATION
WILL BE RENEWED AND MOST LIKELY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. THIS
COULD PROVE TO BE ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS SOUTH A LINE FROM THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS TO NEAR COLORADO CITY. INTERSTATE 10 IN PECOS COUNTY COULD
BECOME VERY ICY!
HERE'S A SUMMARY OF SOME OF THE GREATEST IMPACTS...
MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WAS CLOSED BETWEEN 10 PM LAST NIGHT
AND 730 AM CST THIS MORNING. ONLY ONE RUNWAY IS EXPECTED TO BE OPEN.
HUNDREDS OF VEHICLE ACCIDENTS SINCE LAST NIGHT.
CLOSURE OF DAYCARES...PRE-SCHOOLS...BUSINESSES...STATE/LOCAL
GOVERNMENT OFFICES.
NM ROAD CLOSURES...62/180 FROM CARLSBAD TO TEXAS STATE LINE.
...HIGHWAY 82 FROM LOVINGTON TO TEXAS STATE LINE.
TX ROAD CLOSURES...US 67 BETWEEN I-10 WEST OF FT STOCKTON TO ALPINE.
...LOOP 250 MIDLAND.
...PARTS OF HIGHWAY 191 BETWEEN MIDLAND AND ODESSA.
...TXDOT ROADS MAP SHOW NUMEROUS ICY ROADS.
...JBS PARKWAY AND BUSINESS 20 OVERPASS.
...THERE MAY OTHER ROADS CLOSED TOO.
CALL TO ACTION...TXDOT REQUEST 100 YARDS DISTANCE SO THEY CAN WORK SAFELY.
...FREEZING FOG MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY MAKING DRIVING AND
STOPPING EVEN MORE DIFFICULT.
...TEMPERATURES OF 10 TO 19 AND WIND CHILLS NEAR ZERO TO 15
MAY RESULT IN FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN IF OUTDOORS FOR
AN EXTENDED TIME.
...PROTECT PIPES AND PETS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
821 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
080>082-258-311800-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...
MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...ALPINE...
FORT DAVIS...FORT STOCKTON...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON...
SANDERSON...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
821 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014 /721 AM MST WED DEC 31 2014/
...WINTER'S ICY GRIP...
A MIX OF LIGHT BUT PERSISTENT WINTER PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST
18 HOURS...MAINLY FROM FREEZING DRIZZLE/FOG HAS RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND THE TRANS
PECOS. AS OF 730 AM CST/630 AM MST THE MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION
HAS LESSENED SOME WITH MAINLY PATCHES OF LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT
FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG BEING REPORTED. THE LATEST
FORECAST DATA DOES INDICATE THAT THE WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL
GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY THE AFTERNOON AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS IS SLOWLY DECREASING. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT RISE ABOVE FREEZING TODAY IN MOST AREAS AND THUS THE ICE WILL
HAVE LITTLE CHANCE TO MELT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALONG WITH
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS RECOMMEND NOT TO TRAVEL TODAY UNLESS
ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY.
WINTER WEATHER CONCERNS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND THE SOUTHERN BASIN. AS A STRONGER
DISTURBANCE TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT WINTER PRECIPITATION
WILL BE RENEWED AND MOST LIKELY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. THIS
COULD PROVE TO BE ESPECIALLY HAZARDOUS SOUTH A LINE FROM THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS TO NEAR COLORADO CITY. INTERSTATE 10 IN PECOS COUNTY COULD
BECOME VERY ICY!
HERE'S A SUMMARY OF SOME OF THE GREATEST IMPACTS...
MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WAS CLOSED BETWEEN 10 PM LAST NIGHT
AND 730 AM CST THIS MORNING. ONLY ONE RUNWAY IS EXPECTED TO BE OPEN.
HUNDREDS OF VEHICLE ACCIDENTS SINCE LAST NIGHT.
CLOSURE OF DAYCARES...PRE-SCHOOLS...BUSINESSES...STATE/LOCAL
GOVERNMENT OFFICES.
NM ROAD CLOSURES...62/180 FROM CARLSBAD TO TEXAS STATE LINE.
...HIGHWAY 82 FROM LOVINGTON TO TEXAS STATE LINE.
TX ROAD CLOSURES...US 67 BETWEEN I-10 WEST OF FT STOCKTON TO ALPINE.
...LOOP 250 MIDLAND.
...PARTS OF HIGHWAY 191 BETWEEN MIDLAND AND ODESSA.
...TXDOT ROADS MAP SHOW NUMEROUS ICY ROADS.
...JBS PARKWAY AND BUSINESS 20 OVERPASS.
...THERE MAY OTHER ROADS CLOSED TOO.
CALL TO ACTION...TXDOT REQUEST 100 YARDS DISTANCE SO THEY CAN WORK SAFELY.
...FREEZING FOG MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY MAKING DRIVING AND
STOPPING EVEN MORE DIFFICULT.
...TEMPERATURES OF 10 TO 19 AND WIND CHILLS NEAR ZERO TO 15
MAY RESULT IN FROST BITE ON EXPOSED SKIN IF OUTDOORS FOR
AN EXTENDED TIME.
...PROTECT PIPES AND PETS.
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Looking like an along and West of I-35 event, but it only takes a little ice to really mess up a lot of stuff.
Be safe my friends!!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
910 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
ALONG AND WEST OF A JACKSBORO...STEPHENVILLE TO GOLDTHWAITE
LINE...
...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM BONHAM TO ROCKWALL TO WACO
TO TEMPLE...
.THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA HAS NOT BEEN CHANGED FROM THE
PREVIOUS ISSUANCE. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA HAS BEEN
EXPANDED TO THE EAST TO INCLUDE THE DALLAS AND WACO AREAS.
A LIGHT WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS TODAY...
ESPECIALLY WEST OF A STEPHENVILLE TO GATESVILLE LINE. ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND
SLEET. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE
BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY ACROSS THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA WITH
ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
AREA. THE WINTRY MIX WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN ON
THURSDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
TXZ100-101-115-116-129-130-141-142-010000-
/O.CON.KFWD.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150101T2100Z/
YOUNG-JACK-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-EASTLAND-ERATH-COMANCHE-MILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...
BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...CISCO...EASTLAND...RANGER...
GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE
910 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
THURSDAY...
* TIMING...TODAY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON THURSDAY WEST OF A LINE
FROM JACKSBORO TO STEPHENVILLE TO GOLDTHWAITE.
* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE AND SLEET.
* OTHER IMPACTS...OVERPASSES...BRIDGES...AND ELEVATED SURFACES
WILL BE THE FIRST TO ACCUMULATE. ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY AS
WELL AND TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
Be safe my friends!!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
910 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
...A WINTER STORM WARNING IS EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
ALONG AND WEST OF A JACKSBORO...STEPHENVILLE TO GOLDTHWAITE
LINE...
...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM BONHAM TO ROCKWALL TO WACO
TO TEMPLE...
.THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA HAS NOT BEEN CHANGED FROM THE
PREVIOUS ISSUANCE. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA HAS BEEN
EXPANDED TO THE EAST TO INCLUDE THE DALLAS AND WACO AREAS.
A LIGHT WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS TODAY...
ESPECIALLY WEST OF A STEPHENVILLE TO GATESVILLE LINE. ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND
SLEET. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE
BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY ACROSS THE WINTER STORM WARNING AREA WITH
ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
AREA. THE WINTRY MIX WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY FREEZING RAIN ON
THURSDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
TXZ100-101-115-116-129-130-141-142-010000-
/O.CON.KFWD.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150101T2100Z/
YOUNG-JACK-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-EASTLAND-ERATH-COMANCHE-MILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...
BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...CISCO...EASTLAND...RANGER...
GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE
910 AM CST WED DEC 31 2014
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
THURSDAY...
* TIMING...TODAY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON THURSDAY WEST OF A LINE
FROM JACKSBORO TO STEPHENVILLE TO GOLDTHWAITE.
* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE AND SLEET.
* OTHER IMPACTS...OVERPASSES...BRIDGES...AND ELEVATED SURFACES
WILL BE THE FIRST TO ACCUMULATE. ROADS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY AS
WELL AND TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
orangeblood
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3714
- Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
- Location: Fort Worth, TX
Re:
Tammie wrote:Our temp in Denton has been steady at 30 for several hours, but our DP has consistently fallen from 26, to now 22. What's up with that?
High Pressure is settling into the area lowering DP's....once precip begins to fall, it will take awhile for lower levels to saturate with dew points lowering, interested to see if wet bulb cooling will be at play later tonight, lowering temps even more or if warm advection will counter that effect. As is the norm for Winter Weather around here, this is a VERY DIFFICULT forecast
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Re:
Tammie wrote:Our temp in Denton has been steady at 30 for several hours, but our DP has consistently fallen from 26, to now 22. What's up with that?
Drier air moving in at the surface, common with these very shallow arctic fronts.
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
Portastorm
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 9914
- Age: 63
- Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
- Location: Round Rock, TX
- Contact:
Re: Re:
orangeblood wrote:Tammie wrote:Our temp in Denton has been steady at 30 for several hours, but our DP has consistently fallen from 26, to now 22. What's up with that?
High Pressure is settling into the area lowering DP's....once precip begins to fall, it will take awhile for lower levels to saturate with dew points lowering, interested to see if wet bulb cooling will be at play later tonight, lowering temps even more or if warm advection will counter that effect. As is the norm for Winter Weather around here, this is a VERY DIFFICULT forecast
I definitely think "wet bulbing" will occur tonight in some areas and lower surface temps, namely earlier in the event. By tomorrow, I think the warm air advection is supposed to overwhelm the cooler air at the surface.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
-
TheProfessor
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3506
- Age: 28
- Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
- Location: Wichita, Kansas
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