SIO: INVEST 99S

[jaguarjace]

99S INVEST 150105 0000 17.2S 126.9E SHEM 15 1010

[Alyono]

likely wont matter if this moves over the water or not. This one is developing

[jaguarjace]

99S INVEST 150107 0600 17.8S 124.1E SHEM 20 996


Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 11:23 am WST on Wednesday 7 January 2015
for the period until midnight WST Saturday 10 January 2015.

Potential Cyclones:
A slow moving low pressure system lies over land just to the east of Derby.
This system is expected to remain over land over the western Kimberley then
move eastwards on the weekend. There is only a small chance that the system
moves over water and develops during Thursday and Friday.

Despite being unlikely to become a tropical cyclone, this system will produce
squally thunderstorms, heavy rainfall and strong to gale force winds to parts
of the Kimberley over the next three days before conditions begin to ease over
the weekend. Please refer to flood and severe weather warnings at
http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday: Low
Friday: Low
Saturday: Very Low

[Alyono]

BOM needs to change their definitions. This is CLEARLY a depression and maybe a cyclone already.

BOM only classifies systems over water that have a tropical origin. They would likely ignore many Atlantic systems that form in high latitudes