Texas Winter 2014-2015

[dhweather]

Ah another 8-9 day snowstorm... I'm a little optimistic given the pattern coming but still will it get within 5 days out like that?

Where is the "it's always two weeks out" guy? This is screaming for him!

[Portastorm]

Ah another 8-9 day snowstorm... I'm a little optimistic given the pattern coming but still will it get within 5 days out like that?

Where is the "it's always two weeks out" guy? This is screaming for him!

That would be CYCLONE MIKE. I'm sure he'll opine once he gets off the golf course and sees the latest here.

[wxman57]

I do like the 12Z ECMWF. Below is a map of the coldest temps for Texas over the next 10 days. Freezing line stays up near the Red River & across the Panhandle. No significant snow for Texas, except a bit in the Panhandle. 12Z GFS is colder than the Euro, particularly for NEXT Fri/Sat. Has a pocket of 12F north of Abilene on Friday morning (6th) but only 27-28 across the D-FW area that same morning. Looks quite fishy. Oh, and of course, there's the snow from Central and NE Texas south to Lake Charles to the Florida Panhandle around the 7th-8th of February. Yeah, right...

Enjoy the cold rain this weekend but don't get your hopes up too high for snow the weekend after. Can't rule it out, but I wouldn't put it in my forecast yet.

Meanwhile, it's in the upper 70s, sunny, and heading for another high above 80 again today across Houston. Almost perfect winter weather. Perfect would require 85 degrees or higher.

[Ralph's Weather]

I do like the 12Z ECMWF. Below is a map of the coldest temps for Texas over the next 10 days. Freezing line stays up near the Red River & across the Panhandle. No significant snow for Texas, except a bit in the Panhandle. 12Z GFS is colder than the Euro, particularly for NEXT Fri/Sat. Has a pocket of 12F north of Abilene on Friday morning (6th) but only 27-28 across the D-FW area that same morning. Looks quite fishy. Oh, and of course, there's the snow from Central and NE Texas south to Lake Charles to the Florida Panhandle around the 7th-8th of February. Yeah, right...

Enjoy the cold rain this weekend but don't get your hopes up too high for snow the weekend after. Can't rule it out, but I wouldn't put it in my forecast yet.

Meanwhile, it's in the upper 70s, sunny, and heading for another high above 80 again today across Houston. Almost perfect winter weather. Perfect would require 85 degrees or higher.

You know that that will not verify with a large area of anomalous cold in NW North America and consistent -EPO in the heart of winter. No the cold will not be aimed directly down the Plains, but as we saw last year it will get cold and it is very likely that most of Texas north of I-10 at least sees a freeze in early February.

[dhweather]

Lucy is already sliding that football eastwards on me......

YESTERDAY 27 JAN 12Z 10 day RTP




TODAY 28 JAN 12Z 10 day RTP

[wxman57]

You know that that will not verify with a large area of anomalous cold in NW North America and consistent -EPO in the heart of winter. No the cold will not be aimed directly down the Plains, but as we saw last year it will get cold and it is very likely that most of Texas north of I-10 at least sees a freeze in early February.

I think that the verification will likely lie somewhere between the GFS' and Euro's solutions. Colder than the Euro but not as cold as the 12Z GFS. The GFS has been too cold for Texas all winter.

[Tireman4]

I do like the 12Z ECMWF. Below is a map of the coldest temps for Texas over the next 10 days. Freezing line stays up near the Red River & across the Panhandle. No significant snow for Texas, except a bit in the Panhandle. 12Z GFS is colder than the Euro, particularly for NEXT Fri/Sat. Has a pocket of 12F north of Abilene on Friday morning (6th) but only 27-28 across the D-FW area that same morning. Looks quite fishy. Oh, and of course, there's the snow from Central and NE Texas south to Lake Charles to the Florida Panhandle around the 7th-8th of February. Yeah, right...

Enjoy the cold rain this weekend but don't get your hopes up too high for snow the weekend after. Can't rule it out, but I wouldn't put it in my forecast yet.

Meanwhile, it's in the upper 70s, sunny, and heading for another high above 80 again today across Houston. Almost perfect winter weather. Perfect would require 85 degrees or higher.

Sigh. Ughh...

[Portastorm]

80 degrees at 1 p.m. here ... in the heart of "winter."

My kingdom for a Greenland Block.

[PTrackerLA]

I see no problem with the 12z GFS

[wxman57]

80 degrees at 1 p.m. here ... in the heart of "winter."

My kingdom for a Greenland Block.

Quit bragging - only 78 here as of 2pm. Unfortunately, this won't last through the weekend. No biking again this weekend and probably not next weekend either.

[Tireman4]

80 degrees at 1 p.m. here ... in the heart of "winter."

My kingdom for a Greenland Block.

Quit bragging - only 78 here as of 2pm. Unfortunately, this won't last through the weekend. No biking again this weekend and probably not next weekend either.

It is called an "Indoor Trainer". I have one.

[Texas Snowman]

80 degrees at 1 p.m. here ... in the heart of "winter."

My kingdom for a Greenland Block.

Quit bragging - only 78 here as of 2pm. Unfortunately, this won't last through the weekend. No biking again this weekend and probably not next weekend either.

No one - and I mean NO ONE - on this thread feels sorry for you!

[Tireman4]

Well, maybe Texas Pirate does. She just lives for 100's.

[Texas Snowman]

Come on Tireman4! We can't let him know there are others out there who love the heat. We've got to be united in the rebellion!!!

[Tireman4]

Come on Tireman4! We can't let him know there are others out there who love the heat. We've got to be united in the rebellion!!!

Heck, he is the leader of the Borg. It will take a miracle for him to change or some whammo presto whatever happened before.

[Texas Snowman]

Come on Tireman4! We can't let him know there are others out there who love the heat. We've got to be united in the rebellion!!!

Heck, he is the leader of the Borg. It will take a miracle for him to change or some whammo presto whatever happened before.

Nah, we're not going to try and change the Heat Miser. We're just trying to wrest control of the thermostat and weather machine away from him.

And keep Portastorm from being sucked into the dark side again.

[Tireman4]

Come on Tireman4! We can't let him know there are others out there who love the heat. We've got to be united in the rebellion!!!

Heck, he is the leader of the Borg. It will take a miracle for him to change or some whammo presto whatever happened before.

Nah, we're not going to try and change the Heat Miser. We're just trying to wrest control of the thermostat and weather machine away from him.

And keep Portastorm from being sucked into the dark side again.

Ahh, be the leaders of the resistance? Now that, I can do.

[wxman57]

Resistance is futile. My wife likes the warm weather, too. She grew up in Chicago and lived in Thunder Bay, Ontario for a few years (the very cold 1976-77 winter).

I've reviewed the 3 main medium to long-range global models and they're all proposing a different solution for next week. The Canadian & GFS are colder than the Euro as far as the airmass moving out of Canada next week. I'd like to see some agreement before being confident on next week's weather.

[Brent]

Wxman57 needs to move to a place that has no winter... Like Miami :p

[wxman57]

Wxman57 needs to move to a place that has no winter... Like Miami :p

I like south Florida. Still gets a bit cold in winter, though. Maybe Tahiti...

It'll probably be Monday or Tuesday before the models start to agree on next weekend's weather across the south.