Rain and snow after midnight. Low around 30. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Wednesday Rain and snow before noon. High near 46. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Texas Winter 2014-2015
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Official NWS forecast for my area (Cedar Hill) tomorrow. Just posting to look back on after the storm. It'll be interesting to see if they nail it this time. They certainly didn't back in 2010.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
iorange55 wrote:Official NWS forecast for my area (Cedar Hill) tomorrow. Just posting to look back on after the storm. It'll be interesting to see if they nail it this time. They certainly didn't back in 2010.Rain and snow after midnight. Low around 30. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Wednesday Rain and snow before noon. High near 46. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
I'll bet the farm they will be on their heels updating totals on this one. if I were the NWS I would've put winter storm warnings for both Dallas and Tarrant counties points east.
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Anyway I don't know if anyone has mentioned, but the Euro is showing a couple of inches of snow come Friday. A little more to the west/northwest.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re:
Ntxw wrote:Anyway I don't know if anyone has mentioned, but the Euro is showing a couple of inches of snow come Friday. A little more to the west/northwest.
Yeah, it's a shame we have the "warm up" tomorrow afternoon and Thursday. Would have been nice to connect accumulation between the two storms.
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gboudx
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McCauley regarding his Stat Methods higher accumulations than NWS. Let's hope his SM is 21/21 tomorrow. 
I am aware that the snowfall forecast produced by the Stat Method is significantly different from the official outlook. I am simply posting what the SM "thinks" will occur. And although the SM has accurately predicted the last 20 precipitation events in North Texas, past performance is NO GUARANTEE of future results.
I have said this several times over the last month: The Stat Method is L-O-N-G overdue for a bust. But even though the Stat Method will eventually fail - it has to since chaos will always come around and mess up the mathematics every now and then - I do not know of any mathematical way of predicting when the SM will fail, so we will see if this is the long overdue bust or not.
See you tomorrow! smile emoticon
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SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
RAP shows 2-3" per hour snowfall rates cutting off around Georgetown, just north of Austin. Austin gets dryslotted. come on 50 miles to the south please.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
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Wntrwthrguy
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aggiecutter
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Brent wrote:http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=sjt&loop=yes
Boom!
Seems like it's coming in quicker. 35 degrees here and quite excited. I am torn though. Working at five and set the alarm for three so I could check status, but now I am thinking of a two thirty alarm just to check the dark sky for large snowflakes. Maybe have some coffee, watching the snow before work. The Feb 2010 storm held steady at around 33 throughout the entire storm. Come on baby!!
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Tcu101
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EL PASO went from 62 degrees and Mostly Cloudy to 52 degrees Rain and 43MPH wind gust in the last hour.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Food for thought it is currently 40F in Cut Bank, Montana and 34F in Dallas, Texas. Who says you need an arctic blast for snow?
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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WeatherDuck
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
It's still digging to southeast imo. No east turn yet..
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Re:
TarrantWx wrote:HRRR is going nuts. 1"➕/hr snowfall rates. 4-6" for westplexers at the end of its run and its not even close to finished.
Latest NAM is too, starting out to include western areas as well and having 1-2 inch snow rates. Big, fat flakes.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
hriverajr wrote:It's still digging to southeast imo. No east turn yet..
Could the system digging further southeast indicate that its taking on more of a neutral to negative tilt than expected?
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SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
The more it digs south the better chance we have in Austin.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
TarrantWx wrote:hriverajr wrote:It's still digging to southeast imo. No east turn yet..
Could the system digging further southeast indicate that its taking on more of a neutral to negative tilt than expected?
That's how it seems to me, it looks like it's nudging to the south.
I don't see how Austin will be dry slotted, not with how far south the radar returns are,
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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