A Winter Weather Advisory probably should have been issued this morning for the Hill Country when it was apparent from the models that drizzle would start this afternoon and that temps would not rebound much if at all. I mean, the models showed it early today. Not like it was a big surprise. I'm not sure how valid the WWA is for the I-35 counties as temps are pretty much above freezing and with warm air advection underway, they won't drop. Trust me on this ... it's how I lost a bet earlier this winter to wxman57.
Texas Winter 2014-2015
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
A Winter Weather Advisory probably should have been issued this morning for the Hill Country when it was apparent from the models that drizzle would start this afternoon and that temps would not rebound much if at all. I mean, the models showed it early today. Not like it was a big surprise. I'm not sure how valid the WWA is for the I-35 counties as temps are pretty much above freezing and with warm air advection underway, they won't drop. Trust me on this ... it's how I lost a bet earlier this winter to wxman57.
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						- Longhornmaniac8
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote::uarrow:
A Winter Weather Advisory probably should have been issued this morning for the Hill Country when it was apparent from the models that drizzle would start this afternoon and that temps would not rebound much if at all. I mean, the models showed it early today. Not like it was a big surprise. I'm not sure how valid the WWA is for the I-35 counties as temps are pretty much above freezing and with warm air advection underway, they won't drop. Trust me on this ... it's how I lost a bet earlier this winter to wxman57.
My temperatures have dropped about 3 degrees in the last 90 minutes...
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						- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:Portastorm wrote::uarrow:
A Winter Weather Advisory probably should have been issued this morning for the Hill Country when it was apparent from the models that drizzle would start this afternoon and that temps would not rebound much if at all. I mean, the models showed it early today. Not like it was a big surprise. I'm not sure how valid the WWA is for the I-35 counties as temps are pretty much above freezing and with warm air advection underway, they won't drop. Trust me on this ... it's how I lost a bet earlier this winter to wxman57.
My temperatures have dropped about 3 degrees in the last 90 minutes...
Perhaps what I should have written was I don't think temperatures will drop below freezing for the bulk of the metro area. I do see they're at 31 and below in NW Austin, Lakeway, and Dripping Springs. Otherwise I see no temps below 32 in the metro area. I really don't think they'll drop much more if at all.
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				downsouthman1
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:Longhornmaniac8 wrote:Portastorm wrote::uarrow:
A Winter Weather Advisory probably should have been issued this morning for the Hill Country when it was apparent from the models that drizzle would start this afternoon and that temps would not rebound much if at all. I mean, the models showed it early today. Not like it was a big surprise. I'm not sure how valid the WWA is for the I-35 counties as temps are pretty much above freezing and with warm air advection underway, they won't drop. Trust me on this ... it's how I lost a bet earlier this winter to wxman57.
My temperatures have dropped about 3 degrees in the last 90 minutes...
Perhaps what I should have written was I don't think temperatures will drop below freezing for the bulk of the metro area. I do see they're at 31 and below in NW Austin, Lakeway, and Dripping Springs. Otherwise I see no temps below 32 in the metro area. I really don't think they'll drop much more if at all.
Camp Mabry is 32 as of 414PM CST.
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Wow, this storm keeps going and going. I went back and looked at the time of my text to my wife this morning (when it started snowing). We're moving towards seven hours of snow here in D-Town.
			
									
						
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						Man that band that persisted between Denton and Wise county border has been relentless. Something there has got to have 6-8 inches but who is it?!
			
									
						
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP BETWEEN
DECATUR...DENTON AND THE RED RIVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN AN AREA
OF ENHANCED INSTABILITY. THIS AREA HAS ALREADY RECEIVED UP TO 5
INCHES OF SNOW AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO RECEIVE APPRECIABLE SNOW
AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH SNOW TOTALS UP TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. WITH THIS IN MIND...WE WILL ISSUE A SMALL WINTER
STORM WARNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGHER SNOW TOTALS. THE WARNING
WILL BE FOR WISE...DENTON...COOKE AND GRAYSON AND WILL BE VALID
UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.
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- Texas Snowman
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Re:
Ntxw wrote:Man that band that persisted between Denton and Wise county border has been relentless. Something there has got to have 6-8 inches but who is it?!
Yeah, I remember that the forecaster that wrote the discussion yesterday evening for Fort Worth NWS said that past history showed that these types of systems NEVER produce more than four inches of snow in the area.
I remember thinking hmmmmmm, they might not have wanted to make such a definitive statement like that. Especially in a week when a lot of DFW people woke up the other morning and went "Hey, where's the snow?!?"
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						- Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP BETWEEN
DECATUR...DENTON AND THE RED RIVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN AN AREA
OF ENHANCED INSTABILITY. THIS AREA HAS ALREADY RECEIVED UP TO 5
INCHES OF SNOW AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO RECEIVE APPRECIABLE SNOW
AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH SNOW TOTALS UP TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. WITH THIS IN MIND...WE WILL ISSUE A SMALL WINTER
STORM WARNING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGHER SNOW TOTALS. THE WARNING
WILL BE FOR WISE...DENTON...COOKE AND GRAYSON AND WILL BE VALID
UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY. NO OTHER CHANGES ARE NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.
And there you go! Portastorm, I'm enjoying this buddy, but I'd give anything if this was in your backyard!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Last night ALOT of people on the board were trying to downplay this event and "laughing" at it.
			
									
						
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- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Near the Austin zoo in scenic southwest austin : 30 with freezing drizzle
			
									
						
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						- TheProfessor
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- Texas Snowman
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Re:
TheProfessor wrote::uarrow: I think they did that on purpose so they wouldn't be burned again lol.
But now they've gotten burned a little bit in the other direction!
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						- Texas Snowman
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Re:
TheProfessor wrote:New band that formed is starting to intensify, starting to see some green now.
Professor, you're making out like a bandit in this storm!
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						- Texas Snowman
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Looking out my window, it's snowing as hard as it has all day. What a week of winter in North Texas - all of the good, the bad and the ugly!
			
									
						
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						- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:Near the Austin zoo in scenic southwest austin : 30 with freezing drizzle
Well, if this continues, then I'll admit it ... the fact that my weather forecasts are full of the same stuff which comes out of Bevo's behind.
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