EPAC: BLANCA - Post-Tropical

[Yellow Evan]

HOLY CRAP.

This is as shocking as it's weakening the first time around.

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 06 JUN 2015 Time : 064500 UTC
Lat : 16:33:22 N Lon : 108:43:52 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.3 / 910.5mb/149.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.3 7.7 7.7

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 19 km

Center Temp : -0.9C Cloud Region Temp : -78.6C

Scene Type : EYE

[Kingarabian]

LOL!!!

[Yellow Evan]

Different version, but these values exceed that of Haiyian.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... W-list.txt

7.6 peak for that, 7.7 here.

[Yellow Evan]

Rick 09's peak ADT was also 7.7

2009OCT18 024500 7.5 908.8/ +2.8 /155.0 7.5 7.7 7.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 18.94 -77.60 EYE 23 IR 14.94 106.00 COMBO

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... -listX.txt

Different version though

[Kingarabian]

Rick 09's peak ADT was also 7.7

2009OCT18 024500 7.5 908.8/ +2.8 /155.0 7.5 7.7 7.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 18.94 -77.60 EYE 23 IR 14.94 106.00 COMBO

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... -listX.txt

Different version though

It's really interesting. Yet it refused to give Andres a 6.9.

[Yellow Evan]

Rick 09's peak ADT was also 7.7

2009OCT18 024500 7.5 908.8/ +2.8 /155.0 7.5 7.7 7.7 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 18.94 -77.60 EYE 23 IR 14.94 106.00 COMBO

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... -listX.txt

Different version though

It's really interesting. Yet it refused to give Andres a 6.9.

Andres never had cloud tops anywhere near this cold.

[talkon]

0730z is out. Looks like some dry air?

[Yellow Evan]

0730z is out. Looks like some dry air?

It might have peaked. Looks like the north side may be hitting cooler SST's.

[Kingarabian]

0730z is out. Looks like some dry air?

It might have peaked. Looks like the north side may be hitting cooler SST's.

Fluctuating.

[Yellow Evan]

My only real knock on this system is the lack of circular eye.

Obviously, this is not 95 knots. Probs 110+ knots.

[Yellow Evan]

+ eye now

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 06 JUN 2015 Time : 071500 UTC
Lat : 16:34:52 N Lon : 108:44:01 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.4 / 907.3mb/152.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.4 7.5 7.5

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 19 km

Center Temp : +2.5C Cloud Region Temp : -77.5C

[Kingarabian]

Warmer eye

[Yellow Evan]

By comparison, 907 mbar would be the 3rd strongest EPAC hurricane on record.

[talkon]

BT updated to 100.

EP, 02, 2015060606, , BEST, 0, 164N, 1085W, 100, 956, HU, 34, NEQ, 180, 150, 130, 130, 1007, 270, 35, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, BLANCA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,
EP, 02, 2015060606, , BEST, 0, 164N, 1085W, 100, 956, HU, 50, NEQ, 80, 90, 90, 80, 1007, 270, 35, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, BLANCA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,
EP, 02, 2015060606, , BEST, 0, 164N, 1085W, 100, 956, HU, 64, NEQ, 50, 40, 30, 40, 1007, 270, 35, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, BLANCA, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 004,

[Yellow Evan]

Never knew a system could have a 7.5 ADT values, 6.0 from TAFB/SAB, and still be at 100.

[brunota2003]

Assume you knock a full T# off of the ADT...that's STILL 6.5 (127 knots)! Wow.

On a side note, I see the satellite viewing angle is 43 degrees...looking at the ADT image, it looks pretty tilted from the south. I wonder how that impacts what we see in the image and how ADT rates things?

[talkon]

Never knew a system could have a 7.5 ADT values, 6.0 from TAFB/SAB, and still be at 100.

At least 100 is better than 95.

[Yellow Evan]

Eye looking more circular.

What will Recon find tomorrow?

[Yellow Evan]

I've run out of words to describe this.

[talkon]

Assume you knock a full T# off of the ADT...that's STILL 6.5 (127 knots)! Wow.

On a side note, I see the satellite viewing angle is 43 degrees...looking at the ADT image, it looks pretty tilted from the south. I wonder how that impacts what we see in the image and how ADT rates things?

Well, you can knock two full T# off ADT and still end up higher than 100. (T5.5=102 kt)

EDIT: fixed a typo.