ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical

wkwally · #561 Postby **wkwally** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 7:59 pm

PauleinHouston wrote:Well, Recon has climbed back up to over FL 270...are they "happy" yet? Either a yes or they have a mechanical issue.

That depends on what the next coin toss says

#562 Postby **ozonepete** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:02 pm

Well I'm honestly having a problem thinking of any system that took too long to name other than good old Humberto in 2007. I still refuse to criticize the NHC on this but I'm genuinely confused as to why they won't go ahead and name it and issue warnings: it looks to be ramping up more and more quickly. I just don't see what the harm would be since there certainly is a decent chance it could make cat 1 and there's not much time left. I would love to know why they are hesitant but they're not saying...

#563 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:02 pm

wkwally wrote:
PauleinHouston wrote:Well, Recon has climbed back up to over FL 270...are they "happy" yet? Either a yes or they have a mechanical issue.

That depends on what the next coin toss says

And....we....wait......gotta put out a special soon...right...? ///sigh

floridasun78 · #564 Postby **floridasun78** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:03 pm

i dont see google earth show were we have center of maybe bill when plane find ts their put big circle with pressure in it

#565 Postby **Andrew92** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:04 pm

So let me ask a question. What is this disturbance lacking that Grace had back in 2003?

If I was an OCM, I would be tempted to just call it Bill, no matter what the official word is. In my opinion, this is almost clearly a tropical storm, and watches and warnings should be posted. I know they're working on that, right?

-Andrew92

#566 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:04 pm

Careful with the NHC-bashing, folks - unless you want an S2K vacation...

#567 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:04 pm

New Post: http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/15/ef ... rganizing/

Waiting on the upgrade...

#568 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:05 pm

ozonepete wrote:Well I'm honestly having a problem thinking of any system that took too long to name other than good old Humberto in 2007. I still refuse to criticize the NHC on this but I'm genuinely confused as to why they won't go ahead and name it and issue warnings: it looks to be ramping up more and more quickly. I just don't see what the harm would be since there certainly is a decent chance it could make cat 1 and there's not much time left. I would love to know why they are hesitant but they're not saying...

There has to be something we do not know. Something. To be this hesitant...It could be a Cat 1 before landfall....I think Matagorda to Galveston...

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

#569 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:06 pm

wxman57 wrote:Careful with the NHC-bashing, folks - unless you want an S2K vacation...

You are back home? Woo Hoo....

ROCK · #570 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:06 pm

COD looking good, sure looks like it wants to get busy and fast.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

wkwally · #571 Postby **wkwally** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:07 pm

I have not seen this much suspense since the movie Texas Chainsaw Massacre :roll:

stormlover2013 · #572 Postby **stormlover2013** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:07 pm

Rock what is ur prediction where it comes on shore?

#573 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:07 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Careful with the NHC-bashing, folks - unless you want an S2K vacation...

You are back home? Woo Hoo....

Heck no, my 2:11pm flight out of Chicago is now set to depart at 9:15pm. I'll be home by 1am if I'm lucky.

#574 Postby **Andrew92** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:08 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I'm not about to say this will be a hurricane at landfall, but I really am curious as to why this isn't upgraded yet. It really does look like the LLC is there, even if it's not the most organized system ever seen.

Maybe if I was there I would get it....but I tend to think I still wouldn't.

In any event, I could see this getting to about 50-60 mph, perhaps a little stronger. I just don't know that it will have enough time to become a hurricane, being that it is June. But we'll find out, and keep Humberto in mind if you live in that area!

-Andrew92

SouthernMet · #575 Postby **SouthernMet** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:09 pm

This is insane, I don't think I've ever seen them wait this long. Many businesses & city events operate solely off of warnings/watches. The coast from Corpus - Port Lavaca - Galveston needs a warning imo. Many would argue NOW would be too late..

wkwally · #576 Postby **wkwally** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:09 pm

Sorry wxman just the anticipation :lol:

#577 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Careful with the NHC-bashing, folks - unless you want an S2K vacation...

You are back home? Woo Hoo....

Heck no, my 2:11pm flight out of Chicago is now set to depart at 9:15pm. I'll be home by 1am if I'm lucky.

Man, all the good food will be gone. I tried to save you some, but you the know the weather crowd. LOL. Please get home safely. We need ya brother. It will start getting hectic on the KHOU Weatherboard, whatever happens.....

#578 Postby **ozonepete** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:Careful with the NHC-bashing, folks - unless you want an S2K vacation...

Ha ha. Are you home?

revjohn · #579 Postby **revjohn** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:10 pm

http://imageshack.com/a/img538/3199/BvegPJ.jpgnot much to look at yet

TexasF6 wrote:This whole not naming vs naming thing is a bit unnerving. They have named far worse looking storms than Proto-Bill. The COC is visible from Corpus's long range radar. Looks to be chugging WNW IMO. My fear is the rains. Rain is already happening across Texas. When Bill, err, Proto-BILL arrives? Whoa Nelly its gonna be interesting to watch............Has Carlos's shield been tapped for moisture streaming into Texas as well? It looked like it was this morning......be safe everyone....alert everyone you can in the path of this coming flood.....

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

#580 Postby **Tireman4** » Mon Jun 15, 2015 8:11 pm

Andrew92 wrote:[b]The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is
Maybe if I was there I would get it....but I tend to think I still wouldn't.

In any event, I could see this getting to about 50-60 mph, perhaps a little stronger. I just don't know that it will have enough time to become a hurricane, being that it is June. But we'll find out, and keep Humberto in mind if you live in that area!

-Andrew92

Oh we remember Humberto....wow....

ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical

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