ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical

[ConvergenceZone]

If you are interested watching the impact on Galveston island you can follow it on the seawall video cam. There are other video cams on the island which to link.
http://www.galveston.com/seawallvideocam/

wow, is that cam live??? It already looks really stormy there, windy and rainy.

[jabman98]

If you are interested watching the impact on Galveston island you can follow it on the seawall video cam. There are other video cams on the island which to link.
http://www.galveston.com/seawallvideocam/

wow, is that cam live??? It already looks really stormy there, windy and rainy.

The live shots of Galveston, Bolivar and Matagorda on the 10 pm newscast showed big surf. Some video from earlier in the day when it was still light already showed surf overflowing a road on Galveston.

[wicked_wx_watcher]

If you are interested watching the impact on Galveston island you can follow it on the seawall video cam. There are other video cams on the island which to link.
http://www.galveston.com/seawallvideocam/

wow, is that cam live??? It already looks really stormy there, windy and rainy.

Yes it is. When the lens clears a bit, you can see how high the surf is under the 61st Street Fishing Pier on Seawall Blvd. Hopefully, the power will still be up at daybreak to see it better.

[Hammy]

I think the thoughts of intensification are a bit high given that the circulation, based on both radar and satellite, seems to be at least 50 miles west of the deep convective canopy, and the high clouds to the west are now blowing to the north (indicating increasing shear) rather than to the west.

[chaser1]

Hmmm? 1st look in about 24 hours and I'm honestly impressed with Bill's overall appearance. In fact, I'd say the storm appears to becoming less elongated than the 10:00pm discussion indicated; I think the COC is becoming better established within the CDO and i too get the impression that Bill's forward speed has slowed as well. Hey Texas...keep in mind, there's very little difference between a 75mph hurricane and a 65-70mph tropical storm.

[wxman57]

Still stuck at Chicago O'Hare airport. Most of the flight crew are here, but one is not. Can't fly back to Houston without a full crew. Wondering who will reach the TX coast first - Bill or me...

I think Bill will move ashore a bit east of Matagorda Bay as a 55-60kt TS.

[stormlover2013]

Wxman I'm sitting here with nathan moore now and we are watching storm, he said he saw a little jog nnw there for minute he wants to know if u see seeing that

[southerngale]

Still stuck at Chicago O'Hare airport. Most of the flight crew are here, but one is not. Can't fly back to Houston without a full crew. Wondering who will reach the TX coast first - Bill or me...

I think Bill will move ashore a bit east of Matagorda Bay as a 55-60kt TS.

Wow. You've been there a long time! Did you tell them to call that guy and tell him you're a professional met and you've got a tropical storm to get home and tend to?

[wxman57]

Wxman I'm sitting here with nathan moore now and we are watching storm, he said he saw a little jog nnw there for minute he wants to know if u see seeing that

I was in Lumberton last Thursday at the "dome" making a presentatin for Entergy's media event.

Can't see a whole lot now. Been staring at this ipad for 12 hours while waiting for my flight and my eyes are not focusing well anymore. Satellite loop suggests landfall east of Matagorda Bay.

[stormlover2013]

Thought so, man I wish I knew that I would have came, I work at the high school

[ROCK]

Wxman I'm sitting here with nathan moore now and we are watching storm, he said he saw a little jog nnw there for minute he wants to know if u see seeing that

I was in Lumberton last Thursday at the "dome" making a presentatin for Entergy's media event.

Can't see a whole lot now. Been staring at this ipad for 12 hours while waiting for my flight and my eyes are not focusing well anymore. Satellite loop suggests landfall east of Matagorda Bay.

You could have drove back by now!!

[southerngale]

Bill doesn't look very happy. He looks a bit angry, actually.

[Wx_Warrior]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 160548
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BILL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015
100 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015

...TROPICAL STORM BILL MOVING TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 95.3W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Baffin Bay to High Island Texas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bill was
located near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 95.3 West. Bill is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the
center of Bill is expected to make landfall in the warning area
along the Texas coast later this morning and move inland over
south-central Texas this afternoon and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible before landfall. Weakening is
forecast after the center moves inland later today, and Bill is
expected to weaken to a tropical depression tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Bill is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4
to 8 inches over eastern Texas and eastern Oklahoma and 2 to 4
inches over western Louisiana and western Arkansas, with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches in eastern Texas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected reach the coast within
the warning area in a few hours.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters. The water could reach the following heights above ground if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Upper Texas coast...2 to 4 feet
Western Louisiana coast...1 to 2 feet

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location. Surge-related flooding depends
on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can
vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

[Hammy]

Looks like it's not only not strengthening, but accelerating as well and might actually be inland before the next plane arrives.

[wxman57]

Bill may beat me back to Texas. Still waiting for a crew member to be able to exit another plane and make it to our plane which has been here for 3hrs. Going on 15hrs at the airport now...

Bill is looking more impressive on satellite. Good outflow now. Could be 55-60kts at landfall.

[Shoshana]

Bill may beat me back to Texas. Still waiting for a crew member to be able to exit another plane and make it to our plane which has been here for 3hrs. Going on 15hrs at the airport now...

Bill is looking more impressive on satellite. Good outflow now. Could be 55-60kts at landfall.

Have a safe trip home

[Houstonia]

I don't know... Am I the only one who feels duped? I look at radar and see nothing. I see some rain far into the Gulf, but that's it. it must not be as big a storm they were saying it was because it looks,like most of the rain could miss Houston altogether. What am I missing? Anything?!?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Well it lost alot of its luster from this afternoon. It is now just starting to get get some mojo back now it seems. The rain is starting to wrap a bit more around the center according to the radar shots i have been looking at. Been gaining alot of strength in rainfall intensity (could be the radar not reaching so far out though, not sure.) With that said, im off to bed for some quick shut eye. I exect the rain shield to ramp up soon and for it to gain some strength by morning. Everyone stay safe out there!!!

[Hammy]

Is the recon mission originally planned to take off shortly still a go?

[loon]

This sure looks like worst case scenario from an operational stand point.. looks to onset the rain in houston at rush hour, before most companies will make a decision whether to keep people home or not..