
This is a graph of the sun spot number over a solar irradiance graph. It looks like there is a direct relationship. I got the text sun spot data from here. I was expecting that there was a direct relationship between heat from irradiance and the ONI. 62 percent of the time the so called el Nino event happens when the sun spot number is less than moderate. The significance of that is that the el Nino is not a heating response it is a cooling response. Since it is an oceanic anomaly and water is a moderator of climate I would expect to find a large land area that is cooling at the same time the equatorial Pacific is warming, and see how the prevailing winds change over time. The source of the Nile so to speak.