Florida Weather

#9841 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jul 23, 2015 8:07 pm

we should see a good ramp up in moisture tomorrow with high chances of rain for the next several days through the weekend. Only caveat is cloud cover as that may inhibit daytime heating which will limit instability. My thoughts are that we should get some pretty decent rains from this event here.

#9842 Postby **psyclone** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 10:03 am

We are getting crushed here with heavy rain. Flood watches up from Tampa bay north through the nature coast and for good reason... the gulf of mexico firehose is open full blast and we're already waterlogged from excessive rain the past week. So much for the unusual scene of brown grass in july observed earlier this month.

#9843 Postby **northjaxpro** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 10:20 am

The last two days, I have had massive rain amounts thanks to heavy thunderstorms and severe weather which have rolled through my locale. Wednesday afternoon, I measured over 3.5 inches of rainfall total. Last night, another 2.25 inches of rain fell at my locale. That is about 6 inches total rainfall in just 48 hours. I tell you, you have to love the weather and the summer storms uh!! It is amazing going more than 2 months of drought conditions here, there are areas of Northeast Florida which is appreciably getting close to making up the deficit were had. Mother nature always balances things out eventually.

More heavy thunderstorms are in the forecast this afternoon here and tomorrow as a decaying front is draped across the region. This is the same front that we will watch carefully to see if a tropical system will try to develop either in the NE GOM or off the SE Atlantic coast by early next week.

#9844 Postby **psyclone** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 10:55 am

yeah it's crazy. regardless of tropical development northern and central florida are going to get swamped. let's hope south florida cashes in too. torrential rain with frequent lightning at my location right now... it's so dark the street lights are on. awesome.

#9845 Postby **northjaxpro** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:02 am

Yeah, I saw the flood advisories posted in your area psyclone. We also are expecting more heavy thunderstorms here later today and tonight. If it keeps raining like it has the past couple of days here, NWS may have to initiate flood advisories here as well.

For my fellow Storm2Kers (Gatorcane, Storm Expert and others), hang in there. Hopefully, this rain we are getting in the North and Central regions of the peninsula will hopefully get down your way. I know it has been dry as a bone in areas down there this year.

#9846 Postby **northjaxpro** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:15 am

#9847 Postby **psyclone** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:39 am

thankfully we've gotten a much needed break from the heavy rain with just light rain over us now.

#9848 Postby **northjaxpro** » Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:43 am

Yeah, radar now shows the heaviest rain now shifted south of the I-4 corridor. There is a squall line moving south out of Tampa Bay extending out into the Gulf moving south /southeast. That line will be impacting the Sarasota area in the next 20-30 minutes. However, psyclone, there are more heavy thunderstorms firing north of you up the coast up toward Cedar Key. That may get to you later this afternoon, but hopefully that rain won't be as severe by the time it reaches your area.

Patrick99 · #9849 Postby **Patrick99** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 7:21 am

Just isn't going to happen down here, it seems. NWS Miami is citing westerly flow with no covergence.....says best chance for the SE coast is at PBI.

SW FL still getting slammed with rain....doesn't seem to matter whether the flow is out of the east or the west, that's where it's going to rain this summer.

TheStormExpert · #9850 Postby **TheStormExpert** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 7:53 am

Even Carl Parker on The Weather Channel last night said it always seems that places that don't need the rain(no drought) get drenched, while places that need the rain get little to none!

#9851 Postby **psyclone** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 9:40 am

the Tarpon Springs/Holiday area near the Pinellas/Pasco county line has been ground zero with some areas now exceeding 10". Flooding is widespread and it continues to rain. hopefully the rain slides south of this region this afternoon. I've had over 12" since last Friday (17th) and it's hammering down right now.

#9852 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 9:45 am

If a low forms in the NE gulf or northern Florida, I would expect alot more rain for the Tampa area.

#9853 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 10:03 am

Yeah, the Tampa Bay area has been hammered with torrential rainfall the past couple of days. As psyclone mentioned and radar currently showing, widespread moderate to heavy rain occuring over that region agin right now.

Yesterday more rain here at my locale. Picked up nearly another inch of rain in storms yesterday. The heaviest rain missed me just to the south, but still got another inch. Now have received nearly 7.5 inches of rainfall at my locale just in the past 3 days. More rain in store again later this afternoon. The rain deficit here in NE Florida is being about wiped out just this week alone LOL.. Just wish I can send it down to my neighbors down in SE Florida. Keeping my fingers crossed this moisture and the rainy season will eventually get down there!!

HURRICANELONNY · #9854 Postby **HURRICANELONNY** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 11:45 am

I knew it:

nd lowered probability of precipitation 20-30 percent across the areas that need it the
most...the metropolitan areas of Broward and Miami-Dade counties.
Scattered showers and a few storms are still possible across the
southern/southeastern third of the region...but the heavy rain
potential will likely remain along the Gulf Coast near Naples over
the next 24-36 hours.

#9855 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Jul 25, 2015 1:49 pm

well we got just enough sun today to spark off some big rains across SE Florida. It is pouring at my locale right now as storms blow-up along the seabreeze boundary and head east into the Atlantic. Let it continue to rain, we really need it!

#9856 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jul 26, 2015 12:52 pm

more beneficial rains for SE flow with deep SW flow. Been some good rainfall here this weekend because of this setup.

#9857 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sun Jul 26, 2015 12:59 pm

If you look at satellite and radar composites, it looks as if there is a very broad counterclockwise rotation going on over the Florida peninsula, with the rainshowers over North Florida moving SW and rain and thunderstorms moving NE across SW and Southern Peninsula. It's amost as if there is a broad Low centered across West Central Florida or nearby Tampa Bay at the moment.

Just an observation.

#9858 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jul 26, 2015 1:07 pm

yeah northjaxpro, I see what you mean :uarrow:

#9859 Postby **psyclone** » Sun Jul 26, 2015 2:53 pm

I just picked up another quick 2" of rain and unfortunately that heavy rain is developing up toward the Anclote river which is already in major flood. the crest has been repeatedly revised upward with each additional heavy rain event.

#9860 Postby **northjaxpro** » Sun Jul 26, 2015 2:56 pm

Looks like more rain on the way in your area psyclone and much of the peninsula. It appears that a weak surface Low may be in the process of developing just off the West Coast of the peninsula, or is forecast to by tomorrow. If a surface Low Pressure indeed materializes, there is going to be unfortunately much more in the way of heavy rainfall in that moist south to southwest flow.

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