Texas Summer-2015

[vbhoutex]

Yep, it is DEFINITELY Summer!! 102f at the abode today. Expecting more of the same for at least the next two weeks. UGH!!! The maps and the local OCM all seem to agree. There are actually some showers in the area, but I will not be the recipient of any precipitation today.

[weatherdude1108]

:uarrow: Yep, looks like summer. I'm good if I can get a 3 mile jog on a tree covered nature trail without collapsing. What doesn't kill us makes us stronger right?

That is true! Nature trails and trees are the best, and we will all be stronger. At least 2011 was still worse than now, and the local weatherman said that yesterday was the latest 100-degree day since 2010, at least locally. So we should all feel stronger already!

[Brent]

Ughhh I thought it was going to cool off, now I just see more flipping heat. Stupid calendar wins again.

Can it be September already?

and yeah... Texas and cool summer just doesn't fit.

[Tireman4]

Sigh. Wxman57 is in contol of the environment. Ughh...here we go again..

[weatherdude1108]

Yeah, where is Wxman57?

He's probably laughing, or riding his bike and laughing.

I guess we can give him his three weeks. Hmmm.

[Tireman4]

Yeah, where is Wxman57?

He's probably laughing, or riding his bike and laughing.

I guess we can give him his three weeks. Hmmm.

Not sure. Literally, he is down the road from me. I should go over there and bother him..LOL

[Tejas89]

Sure seems more monotonous than our usual dog days. July has only had one day with rain in DFW after all the spring excitement. And thank goodness for that or we'd probably be dealing with 105+ every day.

Also wondering about this winter if the Nino is a blowtorch. Haven't we had some very warm, wet winters during super strong nino years? just working off memory from the 90's..

[Tireman4]

Please do not make this another August 2011...ughh.....

Houston:

This Afternoon
Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northwest after midnight.
Thursday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Saturday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Sunday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 100.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Monday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 100.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 100.

[weatherdude1108]

EWX encouraging for this weekend until it gets to next week, then more of the same old persistence. Here's hoping King EURO beats out GFS for Saturday!


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
254 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
AT LEAST ANOTHER DAY OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED BEFORE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE LOCATION WILL RESULT IN
SOME POSSIBLE MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE EAST AND NORTHEAST BY
THURSDAY NIGHT INCREASING CLOUD COVER IN THESE LOCATIONS.
UNTIL THEN...THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT WEST ACROSS THE RED RIVER
VALLEY AND STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY. IT MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO PUSH A
FEW LOCATIONS THAT HAVENT HIT 100 YET TO THE CENTURY MARK BUT TOP
PERFORMING GUIDANCE IS NOT INDICATING TRIPLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE
BEYOND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TOMORROW. WITH CONSENSUS GUIDANCE
PERFORMING AT NEARLY 99 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE LAST
WEEK...RESISTANCE TO USING THESE VALUES WOULD BE FUTILE.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR RAINFALL APPEARS TO BE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
AS CONVECTION FROM THE SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD
INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF OUR AREA. THINKING THIS WILL BE BE MIXING
OUT BY THE TIME IT ARRIVES AND REALLY ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION
WILL BE THE STORY...HOWEVER...PWAT VALUES ARE QUITE HIGH...EVEN
OVER 2 INCHES ON THE GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS. INSTABILITY IS MEAGER
BUT APPRECIABLE SO WHILE STORMS MAY BE ISOLATE IN NATURE...GUSTY
WINDS AND SOME BRIEFLY AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD OCCUR AS
WELL.

SATURDAY MODEL DISCREPANCIES EXIST IN THE EVOLUTION OF SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
EURO DEPICTS A FAIRLY STRONG DISTURBANCE RESULTING IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR A STORM COMPLEX IN THE PANHANDLE WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT TO OUR NORTHERN ZONES BY SATURDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER GFS HAS A MUCH DRIER OUTLOOK AND WEAKER SHORTWAVE
GENERATION WHICH WOULD KEEP US DRY AFTER SATURDAY AND INTO NEXT
WEEK.

FOR NEXT WEEK...A RETURN TO A HOT AND DRY PERIOD LOOKS TO RETURN
AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES ZONAL ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY AND HIGH PRESSURE REINFORCING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.

[Tireman4]

00
FXUS64 KHGX 292013
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
313 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S INLAND WITH HEAT INDICES
RANGING FROM 100 TO AROUND 106 ACROSS THE AREA. SEEING
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SEA BREEZE ACROSS
BRAZORIA/MATAGORDA COUNTIES. EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS TO
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH 8 OR 9 PM THIS EVE...MAINLY NEAR THE
SEABREEZE. WILL HAVE A 20 POP FOR CENTRAL AREAS EARLY THIS EVE.

STILL LOOKS LIKE A BETTER CHC OF RAIN ON THU AND FRI ACROSS THE
AREA AS A WEAKENING COOL FRONT STALLS ACROSS SE TX. THE BOUNDARY
IS EXPECTED TO EDGE INTO N/NE AREAS THU AFT/EVE THEN LIKELY STALL
ACROSS CENTRAL AREAS FRI/FRI NIGHT. STILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE MID/UPPER RIDGE...SO THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP. THINK WE WILL
LIKELY SEE SCT CONVECTION ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY ON FRI
WHERE THE DEEPER MOISTURE IS POOLED. SHOULD SEE PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES ACROSS ALL BUT THE EXTREME NE AREAS
BY MID-DAY FRIDAY. ON SATURDAY THIS DEEPER MOISTURE SHIFTS SOUTH
OF THE AREA AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS REALLY DRY OUT.

ALTHOUGH MAX TEMPS APPEAR TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PD...THEY SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON FRI WITH ADDITIONAL
CLOUDS/MOISTURE AND THEN WARMER ON SAT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTH WHERE A DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.
HEAT INDICES SHOULD CONTINUE TO PEAK GENERALLY IN THE 100-107
DEGREE RANGE.

ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE ECMWF/GFS NEXT
WEEK...THEY BOTH WEAKEN THE MID/UPPER RIDGE A LITTLE OVER SE
TEXAS...WE WILL SEE. STILL NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHCS SHOWING UP
IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FCST. 33

[weatherdude1108]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
349 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
HEAT INDICES REMAIN A CONCERN FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH AREAS
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE ESCARPMENT POSSIBLY REACHING 105 TO 108
DEGREES. SOME RELIEF FROM THE HEAT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS EARLY
AS THIS EVENING...AS AN INFLUX OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE
EAST IS EXPECTED TO BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN AND UPPER
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS A BIT OVER EAST TX. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG OUTFLOWS SHOULD FORM OVER EAST
TX WITH A FEW CELLS DEVELOPING GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY
281 LATE TODAY. THE HOT TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN THE
LOWER LEVELS WILL RESULT IN A SUFFICIENT PROFILE FOR A FEW STORMS
TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS WELL IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. THE MOISTURE
UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN A CONCERN FOR TODAY SO AM EXPECTING THE
CONVECTION TO HAVE A HARD TIME GETTING ESTABLISHED AND KEEP POPS
AT OR BELOW 20 PERCENT. SURFACE DEW-POINTS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
BE A 1-3 DEGREES DRIER THAN FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON...SO THIS
SLIGHT CHANGE IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE AUS/SAT TO THEIR FIRST 100
DEGREE DAYS OF THE YEAR.

AM NOT EXPECTING ENOUGH DOWNDRAFT ACTIVITY LATE TODAY TO MAKE AN
IMPRESSION ON SURFACE CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY WHEN THE HEAT INDICES
CLIMB AGAIN. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...GFS/NAM BOTH SHOW SIGNIFICANT
IMPROVEMENTS IN PWAT VALUES INTO THE 1.8 TO 2.2 INCH RANGE WHICH
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME STRONG STORMS. UPPER RIDGING
ALOFT CONTINUES TO HEAT TEMPS TO NEAR TRIPLE DIGITS SO WILL
CONTINUE TO NEED MENTION THE HOT CONDITIONS IN THE SPS/HWO. MODEL
FORECAST DCAPES ARE IN THE 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE WHICH COULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SEVERE DOWNDRAFT OR TWO. WILL
MENTION WINDS GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH IN THE HWO.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
WHILE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BE
MOSTLY IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TX...THE OUTFLOWS FROM THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO COVER MOST OF IF
NOT ALL OF THE AREA. FOR THIS EXPECTATION...WILL KNOCK A FEW
DEGREES OFF SATURDAY MIN TEMPS THAT ARE SHOWN TO BE QUITE WARM ON
THE BLENDED GUIDANCE. LIKEWISE...HIGH TEMPS FOR SATURDAY AND ALSO
SUNDAY ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW THE MOS GUIDANCES FOR THE WEEKEND. MODEL
RUN-TO-RUN TRENDS SHOW AN SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
AND RAIN CHANCES FOR SUNDAY...WITH THE FAVORED ECMWF TRENDING
TOWARD THE WETTER NAM/DGEX FROM EARLIER RUNS. RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY
ARE MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
HILL COUNTRY. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE DURING THE
WEEKEND...KEEPING TEMPERATURES HOT DESPITE THE ADDED CLOUD COVER
AND SPOTTY RAINS. THE UPPER HIGH IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN BACK
EASTWARD ACROSS TX BY MONDAY AND SET US UP FOR MORE OPPRESSIVE
HEAT THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

[Tireman4]

000
FXUS64 KHGX 300914
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
414 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NOT A LOT ON RADAR THIS MORNING BUT INDICATIONS ARE THAT WE SHOULD
SEE A SOMEWHAT ACTIVE DAY ACROSS SE TX BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE.
WV LOOPS/MODELS SHOWING A DECENT SURGE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TODAY
FROM THE GULF. PROGGED PWS TO RANGE FROM 2-2.1" BY THIS AFTN AS WE
WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 90S. WIDELY SCT/SCT STORMS EXPECTED TO DEV-
ELOP AND PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HRS. THE INCREASE OF DEEP-
ER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH TOMORROW WITH POPS STAY-
ING SOMEWHAT ELEVATED AS A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NE. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THIS WEAK FRONT SET
TO FILTER DOWN INTO MUCH OF SE TX OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPS EXPECTED
TO REBOUND BACK NEAR TRIPLE DIGITS SAT/SUN BUT THE LOWER DEWPOINTS
WILL BE A FACTOR IN KEEPING HEAT INDICIES BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

LONG RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING THE FAIRLY STEADY STRUGGLE OF THE
UPPER RIDGE OUT WEST TO REMAIN OUT WEST. THIS SEEMS TO PLACE SE TX
ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE WEAKNESS REGION...AND PERHAPS THE POSSIBI-
LITY OF A MORE ACTIVE SEABREEZE. BUT GIVEN THE TRENDS OF LATE WILL
LIKELY ERR ON THE SIDE OF DRY IN THE EXTENDED FCSTS. 41

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF LEADING TO SW-W-NW WINDS
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH SPEEDS OF 6 TO 12
KNOTS...STRONGER NEARSHORE AND OFF OF GALVESTON IN THE GULF. WE
SHOULD SEE A VERY SIMILAR PATTERN THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH OFFSHORE
FLOW (W-NW) DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS RELAXING THEN BECOMING
ONSHORE DURING PEAK HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING
SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BE ON THE
INCREASE TODAY AND FRIDAY AS POOL OF MOISTURE OVER LA AND GULF
SLIDES WESTWARD INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH DOWN INTO SETX FRIDAY DRYING OUT MOST OF THE
REGION BUT COULD SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS SATURDAY.

[aggiecutter]

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 2h2 hours ago State College, PA
all 4 CFSV2 tropical members develop disturbed weather in northern gulf. 72/96 hour.Has to be watched,close to land

[aggiecutter]

Relief has come to Texarkana:

Texarkana, Texarkana Regional-Webb Field (KTXK)
Lat: 33.46°NLon: 93.99°WElev: 387ft.

Fair
84°F
29°C
Humidity 74%
Wind Speed Vrbl 3 mph
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.3 mb)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 30 Jul 5:53 pm CDT

[Brent]

102 at DFW..

[aggiecutter]

For Texarkana today and tonight:

TodayMostly sunny, with a high near 94. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
TonightMostly clear, with a low around 69. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

[Brent]

110 on the meteogram for DFW at 372 hours.

[Tireman4]

000
FXUS64 KHGX 311550
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1050 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.UPDATE...
ONE NOTE...AFTER CHECKING THROUGH THE TEMPERATURES DECIDED TO UP
THE HIGHS FOR TODAY A BIT TO BE MORE IN LINE WITH THE MAV
GUIDANCE. DRIER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL LIKELY
AID IN A BIT HIGHER NUMBERS.

40

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1036 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WAS ENTERING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF THE
FORECAST AREA AT MID MORNING...WITH A PREFRONTAL TROUGH ACROSS
GALVESTON BAY THROUGH METRO HOUSTON AND INTO THE CLL AREA. ANOTHER
TROUGH WAS OUT IN THE OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF. ISOLATED SHOWERS
HAVE ENDEAVORED TO DEVELOP OVER THE INLAND AREAS SOUTH OF THE
PREFRONTAL TROUGH WHILE SCATTERED LARGER SHOWERS WERE OVER THE
OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF EAST OF THAT SURFACE TROUGH.

THE HIGH RES SHORT RANGE MODELS LOOKED FAIRLY SIMILAR FOR THE
OUTLOOK TODAY. LIKED THE HRRR WHICH HAS ISOLATED CONVECTION ALONG
AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM ABOUT CLL TO HOUSTON TO GALVESTON
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD...THE RAIN CHANCES WILL PUSH MORE
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

THE OTHER ISSUE OF NOTE WILL BE THE HEAT INDEX. VALUES ARE STILL
FORECAST TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER THE COAST DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON PERIOD. THE DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIKELY HAVE
AN IMPACT OVER CHAMBERS AND MAYBE GALVESTON COUNTY. SINCE THE
TIMING IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...WILL KEEP THE HEAT ADVISORY UP
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL COUNTIES BUT WILL DROP COUNTIES LATER
TODAY IF NEEDED.

TWEAKED THE POPS AND WEATHER A BIT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST RADAR
AND MODEL TRENDS.

40

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT CONVECTION OVER THE BRAZOS VALLEY CONTINUES TO DIMINISH
AS IT EXITS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
PERSISTING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. SURFACE
ANALYSIS AT 05Z SHOWED A PLUME OF 75+ DEGREE DEW POINTS DRAPED
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST AND EXTENDING INTO NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.
THIS... COMBINED WITH LEFTOVER CLOUDS FROM LAST NIGHT/S STORMS...
WAS CONTRIBUTING TO HEAT INDICES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S AS OF 3 AM
CDT AT A FEW SITES. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS ALSO ANALYZED ON
THIS MAP STRETCHING NORTH TEXAS AND ON INTO NORTHERN LOUISIANA.
THIS FRONT WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE IN HOW THE WEATHER EVOLVES TODAY
FOR THE REGION... BOTH IN TERMS OF THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AS WELL AS
CONCERNS ABOUT HEAT.

THE 00Z LAKE CHARLES SOUNDING REPORTED A PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE
OF 2.26 INCHES... WITH OVERNIGHT GPS-MET MEASUREMENTS ACROSS THE
REGION SHOWING A SIMILARLY MOIST AIRMASS /2.1 TO 2.3 INCHES AROUND
THE HOUSTON METRO AND ALONG THE COAST/. HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE
IS FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT AS IT SLOWLY DROPS SOUTHWESTWARD
TODAY... BUT AGREEMENT IS POOR IN THE ACTUAL TIMING OF THIS
FEATURE AND CONSEQUENTLY THE LOCATION OF THE GREATEST AREAL
COVERAGE.

THE GFS APPEARS TO BE BY FAR THE MOST AGGRESSIVE AND SWEEPS
MOISTURE AWAY FROM THE INTERSTATE 45 CORRIDOR AND POINTS EAST BY
18Z. COMPARISON OF SURFACE THETA-E FIELDS HOWEVER /WHICH REPRESENT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY PRESENT/ REVEAL STABILIZATION FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION CLOSER TO 00Z... WITH RELATIVELY GOOD
AGREEMENT BETWEEN BOTH HIGHER RESOLUTION AND SYNOPTIC MODELS ON
THIS SOLUTION. BASED ON THIS... HIGHLIGHTING HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES
WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 45 CORRIDOR TODAY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
ANTICIPATED FRONTAL POSITION. ADDITIONALLY... A DRY SUB-CLOUD
LAYER AND DCAPE VALUES 1100-1300 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON RAISES
CONCERNS FOR AT LEAST AN ISOLATED GUSTY WIND THREAT FROM STRONGER
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

A LATER FRONTAL PASSAGE ALSO MEANS THAT STIFLING CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT TODAY AND HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A
HEAT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF MATAGORDA... BRAZORIA...
GALVESTON... AND CHAMBERS. HEAT INDICES IN THESE AREAS REACHED 109
TO 111 DEGREES YESTERDAY. WITH THE ANTICIPATED SLOW PROGRESSION
OF THE FRONT TODAY COMBINED WITH NAEFS ANOMALIES HIGHLIGHTING
ANOMALOUS TEMPERATURES AGAIN ALONG THE COAST /A RETURN INTERVAL
OF APPROXIMATELY ONCE EVERY 10 YEARS/... WANTED TO HIGHLIGHT THE
INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR HEALTH IMPACTS. IF THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH
FASTER THAN ANTICIPATED HOWEVER... DRIER AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL ACTUALLY HELP LOWER HEAT INDEX VALUES AND ADVISORY
CRITERIA MAY NOT BE MET.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM... THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH OFF THE COAST TONIGHT. DRIER AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL HELP LIMIT RAIN CHANCES OVER ALL BUT THE COASTAL WATERS
ON SATURDAY. THIS SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MAY ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S IN THE PINEY WOODS REGION... WITH
LOW 70S TO NEAR 80 POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO DIFFER MUCH FROM TODAY ON SATURDAY BUT A DRIER AIRMASS
IN PLACE WILL HELP MITIGATE AGAINST HIGHER HEAT INDEX VALUES.

THE REGION WILL REMAIN ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE
ON SUNDAY AND THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD... WITH THE
CENTER OF THIS FEATURE SHIFTING A BIT AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
DURING THIS TIME. LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INLAND PERSISTING INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

[aggiecutter]

Fall has arrived early in the Texarkana area. 59 dew-point in the middle of summer is not bad at all:

Texarkana, Texarkana Regional-Webb Field (KTXK)
Lat: 33.46°NLon: 93.99°WElev: 387ft.

Fair
93°F
34°C
Humidity 32%
Wind Speed E 8 mph
Barometer 30.05 in (1017.2 mb)
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 92°F (33°C)
Last update 31 Jul 3:53 pm CDT

[Tejas89]

What are those strange colors showing up on the radar around Jacksboro??

110 on the meteogram for DFW at 372 hours.

eeek. Please be wrong.