ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:More showers and storms are building across the Eastern Gulf and heading towards the Nature Coast and Tampa Bay as the low continues to blowup new convection this hour. These areas are already so saturated with record rainfall totals the past several weeks (I think breaking 35+ year records).
Latest radar out of NWS Tampa. You can even see a twist in the echos up by Cedar Key:
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes
The scary thing is that if it drifts south of Cedar Key before heading East it will have more open water to work with. And, the rain we've received is by far the most I ever remember. Anyone have a city by city link for rainfall in the Tampa Bay area?
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Is there any chance of a special outlook at 11 if the convection persists?
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- northjaxpro
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Also, notice how 95L's size is gradually increasing while that convective complex to the southwest of it is shrinking and gradually fading. It is an example in how 95L is flexing its muscles so to speak and is steadily and dynamically organizing this evening drifting south.
Also, is it me or my eyes getting weary or does it look as if on the last frame or two on composite radar loops that 95L is drifting slightly S/SW?
Also, is it me or my eyes getting weary or does it look as if on the last frame or two on composite radar loops that 95L is drifting slightly S/SW?
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re:
northjaxpro wrote:Also, notice how 95L's size is gradually increasing while that convective complex to the southwest of it is shrinking and gradually fading. It is an example in how 95L is flexing its muscles so to speak and is steadily and dynamically organizing this evening drifting south.
Also, is it me or my eyes getting weary or does it look as if on the last frame or two on composite radar loops that 95L is drifting slightly S/SW?
I mentioned earlier that I think it will start drifting south west or redevelop southwest. Glad I am not the only one seeing it.
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:The line of storms off Pinellas/Pasco county seems to be becoming better-defined. It looks to be moving east and if it holds together, should be impacting these counties with some more heavy rainfall.
Yep, winds picking up now. Should be a good squall.
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Re: Re:
caneman wrote:gatorcane wrote:The line of storms off Pinellas/Pasco county seems to be becoming better-defined. It looks to be moving east and if it holds together, should be impacting these counties with some more heavy rainfall.
Yep, winds picking up now. Should be a good squall.
Good radar link: http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/ba ... radar.html
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- northjaxpro
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Yeah, that is where I plotted it about 90 minutes ago. If it continues its drift south the next couple of hours, it will be due west of the mouth of the Suwannee River and it will be a bit farther offshore by about 20 to 30 miles off the coast. 95L is literally crawling folks lol.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Convection down a bit from earlier but seems to be sustaining itself, and new convection is starting to fire west of the center, while the blob to the SW (which may have been pulling energy away) has been on steadily declining for hours now. I doubt they will, but they should upgrade at 5am if not earlier if the trend continues.
edit: The center looks on radar like it's already moved inland now in Dixie county.
edit: The center looks on radar like it's already moved inland now in Dixie county.
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- northjaxpro
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Yep., Hammy. I mentioned a few minutes ago how that complex to the southwest of 95L is fading rather steadily.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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- gatorcane
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Latest SAT image link (should work on mobile phones):
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
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