Texas Summer-2015

[Brent]

July warmer and drier than normal... the pattern sure flipped



Waco had no rain for only the 3rd July since 1901.

[vbhoutex]

:wall:

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/leads_images ... GE_372.gif

110 on the meteogram for DFW at 372 hours.

I think we are supposed to be 102f at that point and that is the "official". We usually run a few degrees above that. Is it Fall yet?

[weatherdude1108]

:wall:

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/leads_images ... GE_372.gif

110 on the meteogram for DFW at 372 hours.

I think we are supposed to be 102f at that point and that is the "official". We usually run a few degrees above that. Is it Fall yet?

NO KIDDING! I am so OVER Summer. I get depressed every time I look at the forecast discussions. Trying to find a silver lining in all this. I guess one silver lining is molds and mosquitoes don't like this weather either.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015
LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS TO BE RATHER QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
RE-ANCHORS TO OUR WEST AND BUILDS IN STRENGTH THROUGH THE WORK-
WEEK. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SLOWLY INCREASE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
THROUGH MID-WEEK AND WE SHOULD SEE THE HEAT INDICES SLOWLY CLIMB
AS WELL. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY AS 850 TEMPS WARM
ABOVE 25C ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS SHOULD EQUATE TO HIGH
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
EXCLUDING THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY. AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE
MIDDLE 60S WILL ALLOW HEAT INDEX VALUES TO BE ABOVE 105 FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE.

[aggiecutter]

Just another fall-like afternoon in the Texarkana area:

Current conditions at
Texarkana, Texarkana Regional-Webb Field (KTXK)
Lat: 33.46°NLon: 93.99°WElev: 387ft.

Fair
94°F
34°C
Humidity 30%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.96 in (1014.1 mb)
Dewpoint 58°F (14°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 93°F (34°C)
Last update 1 Aug 5:53 pm CDT

[Ntxw]

The lower dewpoints have made the warm weather more tolerable today.

It's August guys! Final month of JJA (meteorological summer) we are almost there! August is the equivalent of February for summer lovers. Survive here and it gets better, second half of the month climo goes downhill. Way up north above the Arctic circle the sun slowly begins to set across the horizon up there, in a month it will be darkness (twilight) through winter! At about that time winter outlooks will slowly start trickling out.

[Tireman4]

The lower dewpoints have made the warm weather more tolerable today.

It's August guys! Final month of JJA (meteorological summer) we are almost there! August is the equivalent of February for summer lovers. Survive here and it gets better, second half of the month climo goes downhill. Way up north above the Arctic circle the sun slowly begins to set across the horizon up there, in a month it will be darkness (twilight) through winter! At about that time winter outlooks will slowly start trickling out.

No. No. No. I cannot suffer like this. Lol. I mean 13 more days of no rain and upper 90's to low 100's....ughh

[Brent]

It's August guys! Final month of JJA (meteorological summer) we are almost there! August is the equivalent of February for summer lovers. Survive here and it gets better, second half of the month climo goes downhill. Way up north above the Arctic circle the sun slowly begins to set across the horizon up there, in a month it will be darkness (twilight) through winter! At about that time winter outlooks will slowly start trickling out.

Yep... the days are getting shorter(it's no longer light at 9pm and has gotten noticeable now) and the kids are going back to school soon. That's the surest sign the end is at least on the horizon.

One of the few upsides to the long and boring month of August when the tropics aren't active lol.

Edit... oh my god: The GFS meteogram is even worse than July... 15 out of 16 days 100+. Make it stop!!!!!!!!!

[TheProfessor]

In 19 days I'll be leaving to start college at Ohio State. Will that make me a Texas Ohioan or an Ohio Texan?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

In 19 days I'll be leaving to start college at Ohio State. Will that make me a Texas Ohioan or an Ohio Texan?

Nice! Sounds exciting! Good luck with everything. I think it will make you a Buckeye

[South Texas Storms]

In 19 days I'll be leaving to start college at Ohio State. Will that make me a Texas Ohioan or an Ohio Texan?

Congrats and enjoy the snow!

[Tireman4]

In 19 days I'll be leaving to start college at Ohio State. Will that make me a Texas Ohioan or an Ohio Texan?

Congrats and enjoy the snow!

Larry Cosgrove says August is a lock for hot and dry. Ughh..

[Tireman4]

Wash, Rinse and Repeat...

XUS64 KHGX 030900
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
400 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY LITTLE CHANGE HAS OCCURRED IN THE OVERALL PATTERN FOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS... SAVE FOR SOME MEAGER
MOISTURE INCREASES OBSERVED ON GOES SOUNDER IMAGERY EARLY THIS
MORNING /1.2 TO 1.4 INCH PWATS THIS MORNING COMPARED TO 1 TO 1.2
INCH PWATS YESTERDAY/. A WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST GULF ON 05Z SURFACE ANALYSIS... ROUGHLY
COINCIDENT WITH AN AXIS OF 2+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES. A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS HAD ALREADY DEVELOPED IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT AS OF 345 AM CDT. THE SLOW NORTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
WARM FRONT AND MOISTURE AXIS TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS AND ALONG THE COAST AS MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE REGION.
DESPITE LITTLE CHANGE IN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BETWEEN YESTERDAY
AND TODAY /HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100/...
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WILL HELP IT FEEL A BIT HOTTER THAN
YESTERDAY.

LINGERING RAIN CHANCES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST HEADING
INTO TUESDAY MORNING... WITH AMPLE MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING
ALLOWING FOR A SHOT AT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FARTHER
INLAND ALONG THE SEA BREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHLIGHTING THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR RAIN /20 POPS/ FOR THE HOUSTON METRO AND
AREAS EAST WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO RESIDE... BUT
COVERAGE WILL BE HIT OR MISS AT BEST. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS
PRESENTLY TO OUR WEST WILL ALSO BEGIN TO BUILD ON TUESDAY AND
SHIFT EAST AS AN UPPER LOW LOCATED OFF THE WEST COAST SWINGS
TOWARDS CALIFORNIA.

THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REACH WEST TEXAS
THURSDAY AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER AROUND THE CENTURY MARK
AT MANY INLAND SITES LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE.
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO LIMIT MENTIONABLE RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ONLY A SPIT OR TWO OF RAIN
POSSIBLE AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND EACH AFTERNOON. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL BEGIN INCREASING AS MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE
REGION WITH PEAK AFTERNOON VALUES EXCEEDING 105 BY MID-WEEK...
WITH A FEW ISOLATED SITES FLIRTING WITH HEAT INDEX CRITERIA DURING
THIS TIME.

[weatherdude1108]

Wash, Rinse and Repeat...

XUS64 KHGX 030900
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
400 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY LITTLE CHANGE HAS OCCURRED IN THE OVERALL PATTERN FOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS... SAVE FOR SOME MEAGER
MOISTURE INCREASES OBSERVED ON GOES SOUNDER IMAGERY EARLY THIS
MORNING /1.2 TO 1.4 INCH PWATS THIS MORNING COMPARED TO 1 TO 1.2
INCH PWATS YESTERDAY/. A WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST GULF ON 05Z SURFACE ANALYSIS... ROUGHLY
COINCIDENT WITH AN AXIS OF 2+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES. A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS HAD ALREADY DEVELOPED IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT AS OF 345 AM CDT. THE SLOW NORTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
WARM FRONT AND MOISTURE AXIS TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS AND ALONG THE COAST AS MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE REGION.
DESPITE LITTLE CHANGE IN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BETWEEN YESTERDAY
AND TODAY /HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 100/...
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WILL HELP IT FEEL A BIT HOTTER THAN
YESTERDAY.

LINGERING RAIN CHANCES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST HEADING
INTO TUESDAY MORNING... WITH AMPLE MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING
ALLOWING FOR A SHOT AT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FARTHER
INLAND ALONG THE SEA BREEZE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHLIGHTING THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR RAIN /20 POPS/ FOR THE HOUSTON METRO AND
AREAS EAST WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO RESIDE... BUT
COVERAGE WILL BE HIT OR MISS AT BEST. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS
PRESENTLY TO OUR WEST WILL ALSO BEGIN TO BUILD ON TUESDAY AND
SHIFT EAST AS AN UPPER LOW LOCATED OFF THE WEST COAST SWINGS
TOWARDS CALIFORNIA.

THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REACH WEST TEXAS
THURSDAY AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER AROUND THE CENTURY MARK
AT MANY INLAND SITES LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND IN RESPONSE.
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO LIMIT MENTIONABLE RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ONLY A SPIT OR TWO OF RAIN
POSSIBLE AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND EACH AFTERNOON. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL BEGIN INCREASING AS MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE
REGION WITH PEAK AFTERNOON VALUES EXCEEDING 105 BY MID-WEEK...
WITH A FEW ISOLATED SITES FLIRTING WITH HEAT INDEX CRITERIA DURING
THIS TIME.

On Weather Underground for my area, the next chance for rain (30%) showed up on Monday August 17th at night, two weeks from today.

Monday Night
Scattered clouds with the possibility of an isolated thunderstorm developing overnight. Low around 75F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

Meanwhile, the cracks in my yard grow wider and deeper, despite my own watering efforts. There are cracks under the mulched beds. I saw low spots in the beds. So I uncovered them, and saw cracks where I could stick half my hand in! But the plants and most of the grass are still fine. They're using up whatever water remains in the soil I guess, shrinking the clay up I am assuming, swallowing all of that mulched organic matter. All that rain in May and June is a memory.
All the supplemental watering in the world still doesn't come close to what rainwater does for everything. At least we are better off than 2011!

C'mon Nino!

[Tireman4]

FXUS64 KHGX 031414
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
914 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH TO CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE WEAK WARM FRONT
WAS STILL LOCATED OFFSHORE. THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION AND NAM12
MODELS STILL KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN CHANCES OFF THE COAST.
THE DRY AIRMASS OVER SE TEXAS WILL SLOWLY MODIFY TODAY AS THE
FRONT WORKS ITS WAY INLAND. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND
NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

[Ntxw]

Cockroach ridge has made a home, never count out August. We tried and tried but it has been persistent enough. We tried and its still here! Good thing strong Nino falls are good.

[Tireman4]

Cockroach ridge has made a home, never count out August. We tried and tried but it has been persistent enough. We tried and its still here! Good thing strong Nino falls are good.

I keep saying...well at least it is not 2011...sheesh..if we get no rain during August...it might be a real close one...ughh....

[weatherdude1108]

I think we can put this weather on a loop for the next three weeks, kind of like a broken record.

[gpsnowman]

This month is about to get ugly. Man oh man the heat is coming.

[Brent]

I know just when you think maybe the worst is over... August happens.

5 weeks til Labor Day... 5 weeks til Labor Day.

[Ntxw]

I know just when you think maybe the worst is over... August happens.

5 weeks til Labor Day... 5 weeks til Labor Day.

Sept 4, 2000 Labor day...DFW maxed out at 111 just sayin