EPAC: GUILLERMO - Recon

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN12 KNHC 040645
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP092015
A. 04/06:06:00Z
B. 18 deg 31 min N
147 deg 24 min W
C. 850 mb 1362 m
D. 35 kt
E. 206 deg 30 nm
F. 277 deg 38 kt
G. 207 deg 46 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 18 C / 1528 m
J. 25 C / 1522 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 0609E GUILLERMO OB 07
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 72 KT 042 / 34 NM 06:19:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 140 / 6 KT
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Kingarabian]

Chris you think the motion is still 310?

[Chris_in_Tampa]

68 knot SFMR (10s estimated surface wind) in the NE quadrant.

10s SFMR:

06:16:00Z: 68kt
06:16:30Z: 66kt
06:17:00Z: 68kt

[Chris_in_Tampa]

I think they use 12 hour motion. I just noticed on my site that the obs earlier misspelled the name. I am going to create an image of 12 hour motion shortly.

Here is over about 23 hours:

[Kingarabian]

Thank you.

320 looks about right.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

They did not go straight through the center and the vortex message may have been slightly off. I positioned the ruler to be a little south of the vortex message based on where I think it was more likely to perhaps be.

Using the various positions for the center from that pass I would say a 12 hour motion between vortex messages of about 319 to 321 degrees.

Edit: 319 to 321 degrees. It was only a few tenths below 319 in my low estimate, so I'll round up.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Actually the latest wind shift for the pass just completed indicates 323 degrees from the last vortex message from the previous Air Force mission. (14 hour movement)

The movement between passes in this mission, very short term, was greater than that, but that could be a missed center, wobbles in the center.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN12 KNHC 040824
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP092015
A. 04/08:01:30Z
B. 18 deg 48 min N
147 deg 34 min W
C. 850 mb 1375 m
D. 56 kt
E. 283 deg 6 nm
F. 065 deg 64 kt
G. 305 deg 26 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 19 C / 1528 m
J. 26 C / 1522 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF305 0609E GUILLERMO OB 12
MAX FL WIND 72 KT 075 / 33 NM 06:19:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 150 / 6 KT

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN12 KNHC 041028
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP092015
A. 04/10:11:00Z
B. 19 deg 06 min N
147 deg 47 min W
C. 850 mb 1332 m
D. 57 kt
E. 066 deg 53 nm
F. 153 deg 73 kt
G. 089 deg 22 nm
H. EXTRAP 989 mb
I. 17 C / 1522 m
J. 25 C / 1520 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 0609E GUILLERMO OB 17
MAX FL WIND 73 KT 089 / 22 NM 09:49:00Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
MAX FL TEMP 27 C 114 / 9 NM FROM FL CNTR
NO CENTER DROPSONDE SFC WIND AVAILABLE.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Sonde in eastern quadrant:

Surface
994mb (29.36 inHg)
62 knots (71 mph)

Dropped in maximum wind band.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN12 KNHC 041136
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE EP092015
A. 04/11:14:40Z
B. 19 deg 08 min N
147 deg 50 min W
C. 850 mb 1344 m
D. 53 kt
E. 126 deg 13 nm
F. 199 deg 51 kt
G. 126 deg 15 nm
H. 991 mb
I. 18 C / 1524 m
J. 23 C / 1512 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 0609E GUILLERMO OB 22
MAX FL WIND 73 KT 094 / 25 NM 09:49:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 63 KT 310 / 40 NM 11:27:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 255 / 20 KT
MAX FL TEMP 24 C 126 / 11 NM FROM FL CNTR

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Mission over